The Most Important Games for the Union are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Union final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Union fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Union Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Union (0‑1) vs NY City FC (0‑0‑1) |
50 | Union Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 44% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks (1‑0) vs Atlanta United (0‑1) |
6 | EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Atlanta United Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 45% | ||
| Galaxy (0‑0‑1) vs Charlotte FC (0‑0‑1) |
5 | Galaxy Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 45% | ||
| Minnesota United (0‑0‑1) vs FC Cincinnati (1‑0) |
4 | Minnesota United Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 44% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 45% | ||
| Whitecaps (1‑0) vs Toronto FC (0‑1) |
4 | Whitecaps Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Toronto FC Wins | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 45% | ||
| Sporting KC (0‑1) vs Crew (0‑1) |
4 | Sporting KC Wins | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Crew Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 45% | ||
| Austin FC (0‑0‑1) vs D.C. United (1‑0) |
3 | Austin FC Wins | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 44% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Revolution (0‑1) vs Red Bulls (1‑0) |
2 | Revolution Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Red Bulls Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 44% | ||
| FC Dallas (1‑0) vs Nashville SC (1‑0) |
2 | FC Dallas Wins | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Nashville SC Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Orlando City SC (0‑1) vs Inter Miami CF (0‑1) |
1 | Orlando City SC Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Inter Miami CF Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 45% | ||
| CF Montréal (0‑1) vs Fire (0‑1) |
1 | CF Montréal Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Fire Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 44% | ||