The Most Important Games for the Union are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Union final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Union fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Union Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Union (14‑8‑7) vs Crew (14‑9‑7) |
30 | Union Wins | <1% | 41% | 28% | 16% | 9% | 4% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 26% | 22% | 20% | 16% | 9% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Crew Wins | X | 11% | 18% | 24% | 22% | 14% | 10% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Union (14‑8‑7) vs FC Dallas (10‑10‑9) |
23 | Union Wins | <1% | 33% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 6% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 26% | 22% | 20% | 16% | 9% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| FC Dallas Wins | X | 12% | 18% | 21% | 21% | 15% | 12% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| CF Montréal (11‑15‑4) vs Orlando City SC (14‑7‑9) |
7 | CF Montréal Wins | <1% | 34% | 20% | 17% | 14% | 9% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 26% | 22% | 20% | 16% | 9% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | <1% | 23% | 22% | 20% | 18% | 10% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Charlotte FC (7‑10‑12) vs Revolution (13‑6‑10) |
5 | Charlotte FC Wins | <1% | 29% | 23% | 20% | 14% | 8% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 26% | 22% | 20% | 16% | 9% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Revolution Wins | <1% | 25% | 22% | 19% | 17% | 10% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Sounders (12‑9‑9) vs Nashville SC (12‑9‑8) |
3 | Sounders Wins | <1% | 26% | 23% | 21% | 16% | 8% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 26% | 22% | 20% | 16% | 9% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Nashville SC Wins | <1% | 25% | 22% | 18% | 16% | 10% | 8% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Toronto FC (4‑16‑10) vs FC Cincinnati (18‑4‑8) |
0 | Toronto FC Wins | <1% | 25% | 22% | 20% | 16% | 10% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 26% | 22% | 20% | 16% | 9% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | X | 26% | 22% | 20% | 16% | 10% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Inter Miami CF (9‑15‑5) vs NY City FC (8‑10‑13) |
0 | Inter Miami CF Wins | <1% | 26% | 22% | 20% | 16% | 9% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 26% | 22% | 20% | 16% | 9% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| NY City FC Wins | <1% | 26% | 22% | 20% | 16% | 9% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Red Bulls (8‑12‑10) vs Fire (8‑12‑10) |
0 | Red Bulls Wins | <1% | 26% | 22% | 20% | 16% | 9% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 26% | 22% | 20% | 16% | 9% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Fire Wins | <1% | 26% | 22% | 20% | 16% | 9% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Whitecaps (11‑10‑8) vs D.C. United (9‑13‑9) |
0 | Whitecaps Wins | <1% | 26% | 22% | 20% | 16% | 9% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 26% | 22% | 20% | 16% | 9% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| D.C. United Wins | <1% | 26% | 22% | 20% | 16% | 9% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||