The Most Important Games for the Union are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Union final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Union fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Union Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Union (11‑10‑6) vs Real Salt Lake (9‑13‑5) |
35 | Union Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 23% | 41% | 12% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 39% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Real Salt Lake Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 5% | 14% | 38% | 21% | 11% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Atlanta United (7‑14‑6) vs FC Cincinnati (8‑9‑9) |
5 | Atlanta United Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 41% | 15% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 39% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 2% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 37% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Fire (12‑8‑6) vs NY City FC (8‑10‑9) |
4 | Fire Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 18% | 45% | 15% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 39% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 2% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 20% | 32% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | ||
| FC Dallas (13‑6‑8) vs Charlotte FC (12‑8‑7) |
3 | FC Dallas Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 21% | 36% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 39% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 17% | 43% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Crew (8‑14‑5) vs Orlando City SC (10‑13‑4) |
3 | Crew Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 20% | 40% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 39% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 19% | 39% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 2% | ||
| CF Montréal (6‑15‑6) vs Toronto FC (6‑10‑11) |
3 | CF Montréal Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 40% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 39% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Toronto FC Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 39% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Inter Miami CF (12‑5‑10) vs D.C. United (6‑8‑12) |
2 | Inter Miami CF Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 19% | 40% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 39% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 2% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 18% | 36% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 2% | ||
| San Diego FC (8‑11‑8) vs Red Bull (9‑12‑6) |
2 | San Diego FC Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 39% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 39% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Red Bull Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 39% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Sounders (10‑9‑8) vs Revolution (14‑9‑4) |
2 | Sounders Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 19% | 38% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 39% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Revolution Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 19% | 41% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Whitecaps (15‑6‑5) vs Fire (12‑8‑6) |
2 | Whitecaps Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 19% | 38% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 39% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Fire Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 18% | 43% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Nashville SC (18‑3‑6) vs Austin FC (7‑10‑10) |
1 | Nashville SC Wins | X | 1% | 4% | 10% | 18% | 40% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 39% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Austin FC Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 19% | 39% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 2% | ||