The Most Important Games for the Union are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Union final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Union fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Union Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Union (6‑10‑9) vs Crew (12‑4‑7) |
34 | Union Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 17% | 17% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 12% | 73% | ||
| Crew Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 11% | 80% | ||
| Galaxy (14‑5‑7) vs Atlanta United (7‑11‑7) |
5 | Galaxy Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 13% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 12% | 73% | ||
| Atlanta United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 11% | 76% | ||
| Dynamo (10‑7‑7) vs Toronto FC (9‑14‑3) |
5 | Dynamo Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 13% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 12% | 73% | ||
| Toronto FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 12% | 76% | ||
| Sporting KC (6‑14‑6) vs Orlando City SC (9‑9‑7) |
4 | Sporting KC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 12% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 12% | 73% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 11% | 13% | 74% | ||
| Austin FC (8‑10‑7) vs Nashville SC (6‑11‑8) |
3 | Austin FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 13% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 12% | 73% | ||
| Nashville SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 12% | 74% | ||
| Revolution (7‑14‑2) vs CF Montréal (6‑10‑9) |
3 | Revolution Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 13% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 12% | 73% | ||
| CF Montréal Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 12% | 74% | ||
| NY City FC (11‑9‑5) vs Fire (6‑12‑7) |
2 | NY City FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 13% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 12% | 73% | ||
| Fire Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 12% | 75% | ||
| FC Dallas (8‑11‑6) vs D.C. United (6‑11‑8) |
2 | FC Dallas Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 13% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 12% | 73% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 12% | 73% | ||
| Red Bulls (10‑4‑11) vs Charlotte FC (10‑8‑7) |
1 | Red Bulls Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 12% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 12% | 73% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 13% | 72% | ||
| FC Cincinnati (15‑7‑3) vs Inter Miami CF (16‑4‑5) |
0 | FC Cincinnati Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 12% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 12% | 73% | ||
| Inter Miami CF Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 13% | 73% | ||