The Most Important Games for the Union are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Union final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Union fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Union Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Union (4‑10‑4) vs NY City FC (7‑6‑5) |
21 | Union Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 82% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Atlanta United (3‑12‑3) vs Red Bull (7‑7‑4) |
2 | Atlanta United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 82% | ||
| Red Bull Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 83% | ||
| CF Montréal (4‑10‑4) vs D.C. United (5‑5‑8) |
2 | CF Montréal Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 82% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 83% | ||
| Timbers (7‑8‑3) vs Fire (9‑6‑2) |
0 | Timbers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 82% | ||
| Fire Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 82% | ||
| Nashville SC (12‑2‑4) vs Inter Miami CF (11‑2‑5) |
0 | Nashville SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 82% | ||
| Inter Miami CF Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 82% | ||
| Toronto FC (3‑7‑8) vs Revolution (9‑5‑3) |
0 | Toronto FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 82% | ||
| Revolution Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 82% | ||
| FC Cincinnati (7‑6‑5) vs Orlando City SC (6‑10‑2) |
0 | FC Cincinnati Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 82% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Crew (5‑8‑5) vs Charlotte FC (7‑7‑4) |
0 | Crew Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 82% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 82% | ||