The Most Important Games for the Union are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Union final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Union fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Union Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Union (8‑12‑9) vs D.C. United (8‑12‑9) |
66 | Union Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 33% | 22% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 25% | 20% | 45% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 15% | 72% | ||
| Rapids (14‑10‑5) vs Toronto FC (11‑16‑3) |
13 | Rapids Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 27% | 20% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 25% | 20% | 45% | ||
| Toronto FC Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 24% | 51% | ||
| FC Cincinnati (17‑8‑4) vs Nashville SC (8‑13‑8) |
8 | FC Cincinnati Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 26% | 20% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 25% | 20% | 45% | ||
| Nashville SC Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 23% | 19% | 48% | ||
| Revolution (8‑16‑4) vs Charlotte FC (10‑11‑8) |
8 | Revolution Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 21% | 18% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 25% | 20% | 45% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 26% | 21% | 44% | ||
| Red Bulls (10‑6‑13) vs Atlanta United (8‑13‑8) |
8 | Red Bulls Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 27% | 21% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 25% | 20% | 45% | ||
| Atlanta United Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 22% | 19% | 49% | ||
| Inter Miami CF (19‑4‑6) vs NY City FC (11‑11‑7) |
5 | Inter Miami CF Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 24% | 20% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 25% | 20% | 45% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 26% | 21% | 44% | ||
| Fire (7‑15‑8) vs CF Montréal (7‑12‑10) |
4 | Fire Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 26% | 21% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 25% | 20% | 45% | ||
| CF Montréal Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 24% | 20% | 46% | ||
| Crew (15‑5‑8) vs Orlando City SC (12‑10‑7) |
1 | Crew Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 25% | 20% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 25% | 20% | 45% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 26% | 20% | 44% | ||