The Most Important Games for the Union are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Union final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Union fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Union Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Union (17‑7‑6) vs Revolution (8‑14‑8) |
23 | Union Wins | 62% | 25% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 50% | 25% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Revolution Wins | 28% | 28% | 21% | 15% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Galaxy (4‑16‑9) vs FC Cincinnati (17‑9‑4) |
7 | Galaxy Wins | 58% | 24% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 50% | 25% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | 45% | 27% | 16% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| D.C. United (5‑15‑10) vs Inter Miami CF (14‑6‑7) |
5 | D.C. United Wins | 58% | 22% | 12% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 50% | 25% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Inter Miami CF Wins | 49% | 26% | 15% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| NY City FC (15‑9‑5) vs Charlotte FC (17‑11‑2) |
4 | NY City FC Wins | 54% | 25% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 50% | 25% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | 47% | 25% | 16% | 9% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Orlando City SC (13‑7‑9) vs Nashville SC (15‑10‑5) |
1 | Orlando City SC Wins | 51% | 25% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 50% | 25% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Nashville SC Wins | 51% | 25% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Fire (12‑11‑6) vs Minnesota United (15‑6‑9) |
0 | Fire Wins | 51% | 26% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 50% | 25% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Minnesota United Wins | 50% | 26% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Crew (13‑7‑10) vs Toronto FC (5‑13‑11) |
0 | Crew Wins | 51% | 26% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 50% | 25% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Toronto FC Wins | 50% | 25% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Atlanta United (5‑13‑11) vs San Diego FC (17‑8‑5) |
0 | Atlanta United Wins | 50% | 25% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 50% | 25% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| San Diego FC Wins | 50% | 25% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| CF Montréal (5‑16‑9) vs Red Bulls (11‑12‑7) |
0 | CF Montréal Wins | 50% | 25% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 50% | 25% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Red Bulls Wins | 50% | 25% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||