The Most Important Games for the Union are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Union final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Union fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Union Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Union (0‑3) vs Atlanta United (0‑3) |
45 | Union Wins | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 59% | ||
| Atlanta United Wins | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 65% | ||
| Nashville SC (2‑0‑1) vs Crew (0‑1‑2) |
3 | Nashville SC Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 59% | ||
| Crew Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 60% | ||
| FC Cincinnati (1‑2) vs Revolution (0‑2) |
2 | FC Cincinnati Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 59% | ||
| Revolution Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 60% | ||
| Red Bull (2‑1) vs Toronto FC (1‑2) |
2 | Red Bull Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 59% | ||
| Toronto FC Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 60% | ||
| D.C. United (1‑2) vs Fire (1‑1‑1) |
2 | D.C. United Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 59% | ||
| Fire Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 59% | ||
| Rapids (2‑1) vs NY City FC (2‑0‑1) |
1 | Rapids Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 59% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 59% | ||
| Orlando City SC (0‑3) vs CF Montréal (1‑2) |
1 | Orlando City SC Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 59% | ||
| CF Montréal Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 59% | ||
| Charlotte FC (1‑1‑1) vs Inter Miami CF (2‑1) |
1 | Charlotte FC Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 59% | ||
| Inter Miami CF Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 60% | ||