The Most Important Games for the Union are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Union final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Union fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Union Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Union (6‑3‑1) vs CF Montréal (0‑7‑3) |
17 | Union Wins | 33% | 22% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| CF Montréal Wins | 24% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Toronto FC (1‑5‑4) vs Revolution (4‑4‑1) |
2 | Toronto FC Wins | 31% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Revolution Wins | 31% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Atlanta United (2‑5‑3) vs Nashville SC (5‑4‑1) |
2 | Atlanta United Wins | 32% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Nashville SC Wins | 31% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Red Bulls (4‑3‑3) vs Inter Miami CF (5‑1‑3) |
1 | Red Bulls Wins | 32% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Inter Miami CF Wins | 30% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Orlando City SC (4‑2‑4) vs Fire (3‑4‑3) |
1 | Orlando City SC Wins | 32% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Fire Wins | 31% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Crew (6‑1‑3) vs Charlotte FC (6‑3‑1) |
1 | Crew Wins | 32% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | 30% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| D.C. United (2‑5‑3) vs Rapids (4‑2‑4) |
1 | D.C. United Wins | 31% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Rapids Wins | 30% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| NY City FC (4‑4‑2) vs FC Cincinnati (7‑2‑1) |
0 | NY City FC Wins | 31% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | 30% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||