The Union What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Union play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 18 | 7 | 6 | 60 | 67% | 22% | 8% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 17 | 7 | 6 | 57 | 55% | 24% | 12% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 17 | 8 | 6 | 57 | 31% | 28% | 20% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 74% | 18% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 55% | 24% | 12% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | 25% | 29% | 22% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Union beats Revolution Galaxy beats FC Cincinnati |
Worst Case Scenario Revolution beats Union FC Cincinnati beats Galaxy |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
| 4 of 4 | 100% | 21 | 7 | 6 | 69 | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 4 | 75% | 20 | 8 | 6 | 66 | 90% | 10% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 4 | 50% | 19 | 9 | 6 | 63 | 46% | 41% | 12% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 4 | 25% | 18 | 10 | 6 | 60 | 2% | 16% | 38% | 34% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 4 | 0% | 17 | 11 | 6 | 57 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 15% | 38% | 35% | 10% | 1% | <1% | ^ |