The Union What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Union play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 7 | 10 | 9 | 30 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 17% | 17% | 57% |
Current Standings | 6 | 10 | 9 | 27 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 12% | 73% |
Lose Next Game | 6 | 11 | 9 | 27 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 11% | 80% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 17% | 17% | 56% |
Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 12% | 73% |
Worst Case Scenario | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 9% | 83% |
Best Case Scenario Union beats Crew Dynamo beats Toronto FC |
Worst Case Scenario Crew beats Union Toronto FC beats Dynamo |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
9 of 9 | 100% | 15 | 10 | 9 | 54 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 31% | 48% | 16% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
8 of 9 | 89% | 14 | 11 | 9 | 51 | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 30% | 45% | 19% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
7 of 9 | 78% | 13 | 12 | 9 | 48 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 29% | 51% | 15% | <1% | <1% |
6 of 9 | 67% | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 36% | 49% | 10% | 1% |
5 of 9 | 56% | 11 | 14 | 9 | 42 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 38% | 39% | 17% |
4 of 9 | 44% | 10 | 15 | 9 | 39 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 22% | 73% |
3 of 9 | 33% | 9 | 16 | 9 | 36 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
2 of 9 | 22% | 8 | 17 | 9 | 33 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
1 of 9 | 11% | 7 | 18 | 9 | 30 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
0 of 9 | 0% | 6 | 19 | 9 | 27 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |