PlayoffStatus.com

Tue Feb 27 5:45 am

MLS - Week 1 of 35

Union What If?

The Union What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Union play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Union What If?

Next Game - Sporting KC (0‑0‑1)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Win Next Game 1 0 1 4 8% 7% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 35%
Current Standings 0 0 1 1 6% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 6% 7% 7% 42%
Lose Next Game 0 1 1 1 4% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 48%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Best Case Scenario 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 33%
Current Standings 6% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 6% 7% 7% 42%
Worst Case Scenario 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 49%
Best Case Scenario
   FC Dallas beats CF MontrĂ©al
   Union beats Sporting KC
Worst Case Scenario
   CF MontrĂ©al beats FC Dallas
   Sporting KC beats Union
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
33 of 33 100% 33 0 1 100 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 33 91% 30 3 1 91 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 33 76% 25 8 1 76 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
22 of 33 67% 22 11 1 67 93% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
21 of 33 64% 21 12 1 64 80% 19% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
20 of 33 61% 20 13 1 61 54% 37% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
19 of 33 58% 19 14 1 58 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 33 55% 18 15 1 55 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 33 52% 17 16 1 52 <1% 2% 9% 24% 32% 22% 9% 2% <1% <1%
16 of 33 48% 16 17 1 49 <1% <1% <1% 2% 9% 22% 30% 24% 10% 3%
15 of 33 45% 15 18 1 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 8% 20% 30% 41%
14 of 33 42% 14 19 1 43 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 92%
10 of 33 30% 10 23 1 31 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 33 15% 5 28 1 16 X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
0 of 33 0% 0 33 1 1 X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home bye in the playoffs
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs