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Fri Oct 2 4:00 am

MLS - Week 34 of 38

Whitecaps Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Whitecaps are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Whitecaps final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Whitecaps fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Whitecaps Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Whitecaps Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Whitecaps
(15‑6‑5)

vs
Fire
(12‑8‑6)
6 Whitecaps Wins 90% 8% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 83% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Fire Wins 75% 17% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Whitecaps
(15‑6‑5)

vs
LAFC
(11‑9‑8)
5 Whitecaps Wins 91% 7% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 83% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
LAFC Wins 75% 17% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Charlotte FC
(12‑8‑7)

vs
FC Dallas
(13‑6‑8)
2 Charlotte FC Wins 86% 10% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 83% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
FC Dallas Wins 79% 14% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Galaxy
(9‑10‑9)

vs
St. Louis City SC
(13‑6‑8)
2 Galaxy Wins 86% 10% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 83% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
St. Louis City SC Wins 82% 13% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Rapids
(11‑13‑3)

vs
EarthquakesEarthquaks
(13‑8‑6)
1 Rapids Wins 83% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 83% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins 82% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Real Salt Lake
(9‑13‑5)

vs
Union
(11‑10‑6)
0 Real Salt Lake Wins 84% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 83% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Union Wins 83% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Minnesota United
(7‑12‑8)

vs
Dynamo
(13‑9‑5)
0 Minnesota United Wins 83% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 83% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Dynamo Wins 83% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
San Diego FC
(8‑11‑8)

vs
Red Bull
(9‑12‑6)
0 San Diego FC Wins 83% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 83% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Red Bull Wins 83% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Nashville SC
(18‑3‑6)

vs
Austin FC
(7‑10‑10)
0 Nashville SC Wins 83% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 83% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Austin FC Wins 83% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Sporting KC
(6‑18‑3)

vs
Timbers
(9‑13‑5)
0 Sporting KC Wins 83% 11% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 83% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Timbers Wins 83% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Sounders
(10‑9‑8)

vs
Revolution
(14‑9‑4)
0 Sounders Wins 83% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 83% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Revolution Wins 83% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *   denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home bye in the playoffs
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs