The Whitecaps What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Whitecaps play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41 | 2% | 6% | 12% | 27% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
Current Standings | 11 | 8 | 5 | 38 | 1% | 4% | 9% | 22% | 21% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 2% |
Lose Next Game | 11 | 9 | 5 | 38 | <1% | 2% | 6% | 19% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 2% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 2% | 6% | 14% | 29% | 23% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% |
Current Standings | 1% | 4% | 9% | 22% | 21% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 2% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 2% | 6% | 18% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 3% |
Best Case Scenario Whitecaps beats LAFC Toronto FC beats Dynamo |
Worst Case Scenario LAFC beats Whitecaps Dynamo beats Toronto FC |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
10 of 10 | 100% | 21 | 8 | 5 | 68 | 81% | 19% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
9 of 10 | 90% | 20 | 9 | 5 | 65 | 42% | 48% | 10% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
8 of 10 | 80% | 19 | 10 | 5 | 62 | 9% | 41% | 40% | 11% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
7 of 10 | 70% | 18 | 11 | 5 | 59 | 1% | 10% | 40% | 45% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
6 of 10 | 60% | 17 | 12 | 5 | 56 | <1% | <1% | 9% | 53% | 33% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
5 of 10 | 50% | 16 | 13 | 5 | 53 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 15% | 44% | 33% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
4 of 10 | 40% | 15 | 14 | 5 | 50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 35% | 39% | 14% | 1% | <1% |
3 of 10 | 30% | 14 | 15 | 5 | 47 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 25% | 45% | 23% | 3% |
2 of 10 | 20% | 13 | 16 | 5 | 44 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 20% | 49% | 29% |
1 of 10 | 10% | 12 | 17 | 5 | 41 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 21% | 77% |
0 of 10 | 0% | 11 | 18 | 5 | 38 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 98% |