PlayoffStatus.com

Tue Feb 27 5:45 am

MLS - Week 1 of 35

Whitecaps What If?

The Whitecaps What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Whitecaps play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Whitecaps What If?

Next Game - Charlotte FC (1‑0)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Win Next Game 1 0 0 3 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 28%
Current Standings 0 0 0 0 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 35%
Lose Next Game 0 1 0 0 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 41%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Best Case Scenario 10% 10% 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 27%
Current Standings 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 35%
Worst Case Scenario 5% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 42%
Best Case Scenario
   Whitecaps beats Charlotte FC
   NY City FC beats St. Louis City SC
Worst Case Scenario
   Charlotte FC beats Whitecaps
   St. Louis City SC beats NY City FC
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
34 of 34 100% 34 0 0 102 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 34 88% 30 4 0 90 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 34 74% 25 9 0 75 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
22 of 34 65% 22 12 0 66 91% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
21 of 34 62% 21 13 0 63 75% 23% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
20 of 34 59% 20 14 0 60 47% 40% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
19 of 34 56% 19 15 0 57 17% 39% 31% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 34 53% 18 16 0 54 2% 14% 32% 31% 16% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 34 50% 17 17 0 51 <1% 1% 6% 20% 31% 26% 12% 3% <1% <1%
16 of 34 47% 16 18 0 48 <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 20% 31% 26% 12% 3%
15 of 34 44% 15 19 0 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 19% 30% 43%
14 of 34 41% 14 20 0 42 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 91%
10 of 34 29% 10 24 0 30 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 34 15% 5 29 0 15 X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
0 of 34 0% 0 34 0 0 X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home bye in the playoffs
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs