The Whitecaps What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Whitecaps play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 8 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 74% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 7 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 73% | 15% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Lose Next Game | 7 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 65% | 17% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 74% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 73% | 15% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Worst Case Scenario | 65% | 17% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Best Case Scenario Whitecaps beats Real Salt Lake |
Worst Case Scenario Real Salt Lake beats Whitecaps |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
24 of 24 | 100% | 31 | 1 | 2 | 95 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
20 of 24 | 83% | 27 | 5 | 2 | 83 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
17 of 24 | 71% | 24 | 8 | 2 | 74 | 94% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
16 of 24 | 67% | 23 | 9 | 2 | 71 | 85% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
15 of 24 | 63% | 22 | 10 | 2 | 68 | 70% | 27% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
14 of 24 | 58% | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65 | 48% | 42% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
13 of 24 | 54% | 20 | 12 | 2 | 62 | 24% | 46% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
12 of 24 | 50% | 19 | 13 | 2 | 59 | 8% | 31% | 38% | 19% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
11 of 24 | 46% | 18 | 14 | 2 | 56 | 1% | 12% | 31% | 34% | 18% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
10 of 24 | 42% | 17 | 15 | 2 | 53 | <1% | 2% | 11% | 27% | 33% | 21% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
9 of 24 | 38% | 16 | 16 | 2 | 50 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 23% | 33% | 25% | 9% | 1% | <1% |
8 of 24 | 33% | 15 | 17 | 2 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 17% | 31% | 30% | 14% | 3% |
7 of 24 | 29% | 14 | 18 | 2 | 44 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 26% | 34% | 27% |
6 of 24 | 25% | 13 | 19 | 2 | 41 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 22% | 71% |
5 of 24 | 21% | 12 | 20 | 2 | 38 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 96% |
0 of 24 | 0% | 7 | 25 | 2 | 23 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |