The Whitecaps What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Whitecaps play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 12 | 10 | 8 | 44 | 1% | 16% | 15% | 15% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 1% |
Current Standings | 11 | 10 | 8 | 41 | 1% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% |
Lose Next Game | 11 | 11 | 8 | 41 | X | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 2% | 22% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 1% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% |
Worst Case Scenario | X | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 18% | 21% | 22% |
Best Case Scenario Union beats FC Dallas Whitecaps beats Rapids Whitecaps beats D.C. United |
Worst Case Scenario FC Dallas beats Union Rapids beats Whitecaps D.C. United beats Whitecaps |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
5 of 5 | 100% | 16 | 10 | 8 | 56 | 14% | 86% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
4 of 5 | 80% | 15 | 11 | 8 | 53 | X | 41% | 45% | 13% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
3 of 5 | 60% | 14 | 12 | 8 | 50 | X | 1% | 13% | 33% | 36% | 14% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
2 of 5 | 40% | 13 | 13 | 8 | 47 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 31% | 40% | 17% | 2% | <1% |
1 of 5 | 20% | 12 | 14 | 8 | 44 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 33% | 45% | 15% |
0 of 5 | 0% | 11 | 15 | 8 | 41 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 9% | 91% |