The Whitecaps What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Whitecaps play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 12 | 3 | 5 | 41 | 59% | 26% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 11 | 3 | 5 | 38 | 54% | 27% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 11 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 43% | 30% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 67% | 21% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 54% | 27% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 39% | 30% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario FC Dallas beats Minnesota United Whitecaps beats Galaxy Dynamo beats San Diego FC |
Worst Case Scenario Minnesota United beats FC Dallas Galaxy beats Whitecaps San Diego FC beats Dynamo |
|||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
| 15 of 15 | 100% | 26 | 3 | 5 | 83 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 15 | 93% | 25 | 4 | 5 | 80 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 15 | 87% | 24 | 5 | 5 | 77 | >99% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 15 | 80% | 23 | 6 | 5 | 74 | 98% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 15 | 73% | 22 | 7 | 5 | 71 | 92% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 15 | 67% | 21 | 8 | 5 | 68 | 77% | 22% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 15 | 60% | 20 | 9 | 5 | 65 | 52% | 42% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 15 | 53% | 19 | 10 | 5 | 62 | 25% | 52% | 21% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 7 of 15 | 47% | 18 | 11 | 5 | 59 | 7% | 37% | 42% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 6 of 15 | 40% | 17 | 12 | 5 | 56 | 1% | 13% | 39% | 35% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 5 of 15 | 33% | 16 | 13 | 5 | 53 | <1% | 1% | 14% | 37% | 34% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 4 of 15 | 27% | 15 | 14 | 5 | 50 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 32% | 36% | 16% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| 3 of 15 | 20% | 14 | 15 | 5 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 26% | 38% | 22% | 5% | 1% |
| 2 of 15 | 13% | 13 | 16 | 5 | 44 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 35% | 31% | 15% |
| 1 of 15 | 7% | 12 | 17 | 5 | 41 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 26% | 66% |
| 0 of 15 | 0% | 11 | 18 | 5 | 38 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 97% |