PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Mar 19 1:00 am

MLS - Week 5 of 35

Whitecaps What If?

The Whitecaps What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Whitecaps play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Whitecaps What If?

Next Game - Minnesota United (2‑0‑1)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Win Next Game 1 2 2 5 1% 3% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 7% 8% 47%
Current Standings 0 2 2 2 1% 3% 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 50%
Lose Next Game 0 3 2 2 1% 2% 4% 5% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 51%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Best Case Scenario 1% 3% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 7% 8% 47%
Current Standings 1% 3% 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 50%
Worst Case Scenario 1% 2% 4% 5% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 51%
Best Case Scenario
   Whitecaps beats Minnesota United
Worst Case Scenario
   Minnesota United beats Whitecaps
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
30 of 30 100% 30 2 2 92 97% 3% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
29 of 30 97% 29 3 2 89 90% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 30 93% 28 4 2 86 75% 24% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 30 90% 27 5 2 83 56% 39% 5% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 30 87% 26 6 2 80 35% 49% 15% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
25 of 30 83% 25 7 2 77 18% 47% 29% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
24 of 30 80% 24 8 2 74 7% 33% 41% 17% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
23 of 30 77% 23 9 2 71 2% 18% 39% 31% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^
22 of 30 73% 22 10 2 68 <1% 7% 28% 40% 21% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1%
21 of 30 70% 21 11 2 65 <1% 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2% <1% <1% <1%
20 of 30 67% 20 12 2 62 <1% <1% 5% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1% <1% <1%
19 of 30 63% 19 13 2 59 <1% <1% 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 4% <1% <1%
18 of 30 60% 18 14 2 56 <1% <1% <1% 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2% <1%
17 of 30 57% 17 15 2 53 <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 25% 37% 22% 6% 1%
16 of 30 53% 16 16 2 50 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
15 of 30 50% 15 17 2 47 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 22% 36% 27% 10%
14 of 30 47% 14 18 2 44 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 29% 36% 24%
13 of 30 43% 13 19 2 41 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 17% 35% 45%
12 of 30 40% 12 20 2 38 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 25% 68%
11 of 30 37% 11 21 2 35 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 12% 86%
10 of 30 33% 10 22 2 32 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 96%
5 of 30 17% 5 27 2 17 X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
0 of 30 0% 0 32 2 2 X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home bye in the playoffs
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs