The Spurs What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Spurs play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in |
8** Play-in |
9** Play-in |
10** Play-in |
11 | |
Win Next Game | 4 | 16 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 92% |
Current Standings | 3 | 16 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% |
Lose Next Game | 3 | 17 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in |
8** Play-in |
9** Play-in |
10** Play-in |
11 | |
Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 91% |
Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 95% |
Best Case Scenario Spurs beats Rockets Trail Blazers beats Clippers |
Worst Case Scenario Rockets beats Spurs Clippers beats Trail Blazers |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in |
8** Play-in |
9** Play-in |
10** Play-in |
11 | ||
61 of 61 | 100% | 64 | 16 | 97% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
60 of 61 | 98% | 63 | 17 | 95% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
59 of 61 | 97% | 62 | 18 | 92% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
58 of 61 | 95% | 61 | 19 | 87% | 13% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
57 of 61 | 93% | 60 | 20 | 81% | 19% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
56 of 61 | 92% | 59 | 21 | 74% | 24% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
55 of 61 | 90% | 58 | 22 | 64% | 33% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
54 of 61 | 89% | 57 | 23 | 55% | 39% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
53 of 61 | 87% | 56 | 24 | 45% | 44% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
52 of 61 | 85% | 55 | 25 | 35% | 47% | 16% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
51 of 61 | 84% | 54 | 26 | 25% | 47% | 23% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
50 of 61 | 82% | 53 | 27 | 17% | 42% | 31% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
49 of 61 | 80% | 52 | 28 | 10% | 36% | 37% | 15% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
48 of 61 | 79% | 51 | 29 | 6% | 27% | 37% | 23% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
47 of 61 | 77% | 50 | 30 | 3% | 18% | 35% | 30% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
46 of 61 | 75% | 49 | 31 | 1% | 11% | 29% | 33% | 19% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
45 of 61 | 74% | 48 | 32 | 1% | 6% | 21% | 33% | 26% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
44 of 61 | 72% | 47 | 33 | <1% | 3% | 14% | 28% | 30% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
43 of 61 | 70% | 46 | 34 | <1% | 1% | 7% | 21% | 31% | 24% | 11% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
42 of 61 | 69% | 45 | 35 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 27% | 29% | 19% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
41 of 61 | 67% | 44 | 36 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 21% | 30% | 24% | 12% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
40 of 61 | 66% | 43 | 37 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 26% | 29% | 19% | 7% | 1% | <1% |
39 of 61 | 64% | 42 | 38 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 20% | 29% | 25% | 13% | 4% | <1% |
38 of 61 | 62% | 41 | 39 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 13% | 25% | 30% | 19% | 8% | 2% |
37 of 61 | 61% | 40 | 40 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 18% | 29% | 26% | 14% | 4% |
36 of 61 | 59% | 39 | 41 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 25% | 29% | 21% | 10% |
35 of 61 | 57% | 38 | 42 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 17% | 30% | 28% | 18% |
34 of 61 | 56% | 37 | 43 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 11% | 24% | 31% | 31% |
33 of 61 | 54% | 36 | 44 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 17% | 30% | 46% |
32 of 61 | 52% | 35 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 24% | 64% |
31 of 61 | 51% | 34 | 46 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 78% |
30 of 61 | 49% | 33 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 88% |
29 of 61 | 48% | 32 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 94% |
20 of 61 | 33% | 23 | 57 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
10 of 61 | 16% | 13 | 67 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
0 of 61 | 0% | 3 | 77 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |