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NBA Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The NBA Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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NBA Post Season Probabilities

  Record  Current Series NBA Champions NBA Finals Conference Championship Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference W L
Cavaliers Eastern 50 15   44% 63% 85% 98% 100%
Lakers Western 47 18   18% 39% 60% 85% >99%
Magic Eastern 45 20   12% 22% 62% 91% >99%
Mavericks Western 45 21   8% 20% 41% 72% >99%
Nuggets Western 43 21   5% 15% 31% 64% >99%
Jazz Western 42 22   4% 11% 26% 60% >99%
Celtics Eastern 40 23   3% 7% 23% 76% >99%
Hawks Eastern 40 23   2% 6% 22% 76% >99%
Thunder Western 39 24   1% 5% 13% 37% 99%
Suns Western 40 25   1% 4% 13% 37% >99%
Spurs Western 37 25   1% 3% 9% 24% 95%
Trail Blazers Western 38 28   <1% 2% 6% 19% 94%
Bucks Eastern 34 29   <1% <1% 3% 21% 98%
Bobcats Eastern 32 31   <1% <1% 2% 12% 86%
Raptors Eastern 32 31   <1% <1% 2% 10% 85%
Bulls Eastern 31 32   <1% <1% 1% 3% 39%
Heat Eastern 33 32   <1% <1% 2% 13% 92%
Grizzlies Western 34 31   <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Hornets Western 32 33   <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Rockets Western 32 31   <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Clippers Western 25 40   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Sixers Eastern 23 41   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Pistons Eastern 22 42   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Knicks Eastern 22 42   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Kings Western 22 43   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Wizards Eastern 21 40   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Pacers Eastern 21 43   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Warriors Western 17 46   X X X X X
Timberwolves Western 14 51   X X X X X
Nets Eastern 7 57   X X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot

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