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NBA Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The NBA Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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NBA Post Season Probabilities

  Record  Current Series NBA Champions NBA Finals Conference Championship Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference W L
Raptors Eastern 9 2   11% 21% 36% 57% 89%
Grizzlies Western 10 2   10% 16% 28% 47% 81%
Warriors Western 8 2   9% 14% 25% 44% 78%
Wizards Eastern 7 3   7% 16% 28% 47% 79%
Mavericks Western 9 3   7% 11% 21% 39% 72%
Bulls Eastern 8 4   6% 13% 25% 43% 77%
Trail Blazers Western 8 3   6% 10% 20% 38% 70%
Rockets Western 9 3   6% 10% 20% 38% 69%
Spurs Western 7 4   5% 8% 17% 33% 63%
Clippers Western 7 4   4% 7% 14% 29% 59%
Pelicans Western 6 4   4% 6% 13% 29% 58%
Bucks Eastern 7 5   3% 9% 18% 35% 67%
Heat Eastern 6 6   3% 7% 14% 30% 61%
Kings Western 7 5   3% 6% 14% 29% 59%
Cavaliers Eastern 5 5   2% 7% 15% 31% 60%
Hawks Eastern 5 5   2% 6% 13% 29% 58%
Suns Western 7 5   2% 5% 11% 25% 53%
Pacers Eastern 5 7   1% 4% 10% 23% 50%
Celtics Eastern 4 6   1% 4% 10% 23% 50%
Magic Eastern 5 8   1% 4% 9% 22% 48%
Bobcats Eastern 4 8   1% 3% 8% 20% 46%
Nets Eastern 4 7   1% 3% 7% 18% 44%
Jazz Western 5 7   1% 2% 6% 15% 39%
Pistons Eastern 3 9   <1% 1% 4% 11% 31%
Nuggets Western 4 7   <1% 1% 3% 10% 30%
Timberwolves Western 3 7   <1% 1% 3% 9% 28%
Knicks Eastern 3 10   <1% 1% 3% 9% 27%
Lakers Western 3 9   <1% 1% 2% 7% 22%
Thunder Western 3 10   <1% <1% 1% 6% 19%
Sixers Eastern 0 11   <1% <1% 1% 2% 11%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot