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NBA Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The NBA Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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NBA Post Season Probabilities

  Record  Current Series NBA Champions NBA Finals Conference Championship Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference W L
Warriors Western 22 3   22% 32% 52% 79% >99%
Raptors Eastern 21 6   12% 27% 46% 74% >99%
Grizzlies Western 21 5   12% 19% 36% 64% 99%
Wizards Eastern 19 6   10% 23% 41% 69% >99%
Trail Blazers Western 21 6   9% 14% 28% 58% 99%
Rockets Western 19 6   7% 12% 25% 52% 96%
Hawks Eastern 18 7   6% 16% 32% 62% 99%
Bulls Eastern 17 9   5% 14% 29% 58% 99%
Mavericks Western 19 8   4% 8% 17% 40% 88%
Clippers Western 18 8   4% 7% 16% 39% 87%
Cavaliers Eastern 15 10   3% 9% 21% 48% 95%
Spurs Western 17 10   2% 5% 12% 29% 76%
Bucks Eastern 14 13   1% 5% 12% 32% 83%
Heat Eastern 12 15   1% 2% 7% 20% 63%
Pelicans Western 13 12   1% 2% 6% 17% 53%
Celtics Eastern 10 14   <1% 1% 4% 12% 45%
Nets Eastern 10 15   <1% 1% 3% 9% 38%
Magic Eastern 10 19   <1% 1% 3% 9% 37%
Thunder Western 13 14   <1% 1% 2% 7% 29%
Suns Western 13 14   <1% 1% 2% 6% 25%
Pacers Eastern 8 18   <1% <1% 2% 6% 26%
Nuggets Western 11 15   <1% <1% 2% 5% 24%
Kings Western 11 15   <1% <1% 2% 4% 19%
Bobcats Eastern 7 19   <1% <1% 1% 2% 12%
Lakers Western 8 18   <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Jazz Western 8 19   <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Pistons Eastern 5 22   <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Knicks Eastern 5 23   <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Timberwolves Western 5 20   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Sixers Eastern 2 23   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot