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NBA Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The NBA Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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NBA Post Season Probabilities

  Record  Current Series NBA Champions NBA Finals Conference Championship Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference W L
Hawks Eastern 45 12   32% 56% 76% 94% >99%
Warriors Western 44 11   25% 39% 61% 84% >99%
Grizzlies Western 41 15   12% 21% 42% 72% >99%
Raptors Eastern 37 20   6% 15% 41% 75% >99%
Rockets Western 39 18   6% 13% 27% 59% >99%
Bulls Eastern 36 22   3% 10% 27% 64% >99%
Cavaliers Eastern 37 22   3% 10% 26% 62% >99%
Trail Blazers Western 37 19   3% 7% 18% 49% >99%
Mavericks Western 39 21   3% 7% 17% 45% 99%
Clippers Western 37 21   3% 7% 17% 43% >99%
Wizards Eastern 33 25   1% 4% 11% 41% >99%
Bucks Eastern 32 25   1% 4% 11% 39% >99%
Spurs Western 34 23   1% 3% 10% 26% 91%
Thunder Western 32 26   <1% 2% 5% 14% 66%
Heat Eastern 25 31   <1% <1% 3% 10% 64%
Pelicans Western 30 27   <1% <1% 2% 5% 28%
Nets Eastern 23 32   <1% <1% 1% 4% 36%
Pacers Eastern 23 34   <1% <1% 1% 4% 34%
Hornets Eastern 23 32   <1% <1% 1% 4% 33%
Suns Western 31 28   <1% <1% 1% 3% 16%
Pistons Eastern 23 34   <1% <1% <1% 1% 17%
Celtics Eastern 22 33   <1% <1% <1% 1% 17%
Jazz Western 21 35   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Kings Western 20 35   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Nuggets Western 20 37   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Magic Eastern 19 40   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Lakers Western 15 41   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Timberwolves Western 13 43   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Sixers Eastern 12 45   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Knicks Eastern 10 46   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot