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NBA Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The NBA Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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NBA Post Season Probabilities

  Record  Current Series NBA Champions NBA Finals Conference Championship Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference W L
Heat Eastern 66 16 1-0 61% 91% 100% ^ ^
Spurs Western 58 24 2-0 31% 84% 100% ^ ^
Grizzlies Western 56 26 0-2 5% 16% 100% ^ ^
Pacers Eastern 50 32 0-1 2% 9% 100% ^ ^
Thunder Western 60 22   X X X 100% ^
Knicks Eastern 54 28   X X X 100% ^
Warriors Western 47 35   X X X 100% ^
Bulls Eastern 45 37   X X X 100% ^
Nuggets Western 57 25   X X X X 100%
Clippers Western 56 26   X X X X 100%
Nets Eastern 49 33   X X X X 100%
Lakers Western 45 37   X X X X 100%
Rockets Western 45 37   X X X X 100%
Hawks Eastern 44 38   X X X X 100%
Celtics Eastern 41 41   X X X X 100%
Bucks Eastern 38 44   X X X X 100%
Jazz Western 43 39   X X X X X
Mavericks Western 41 41   X X X X X
Raptors Eastern 34 48   X X X X X
Sixers Eastern 34 48   X X X X X
Trail Blazers Western 33 49   X X X X X
Timberwolves Western 31 51   X X X X X
Pistons Eastern 29 53   X X X X X
Wizards Eastern 29 53   X X X X X
Kings Western 28 54   X X X X X
Hornets Western 27 55   X X X X X
Suns Western 25 57   X X X X X
Cavaliers Eastern 24 58   X X X X X
Bobcats Eastern 21 61   X X X X X
Magic Eastern 20 62   X X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot