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NBA Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The NBA Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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NBA Post Season Probabilities

  Record  Current Series NBA Champions NBA Finals Conference Championship Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference W L
Warriors Western 61 13   43% 56% 73% 91% 100%
Hawks Eastern 56 19   25% 56% 76% 94% 100%
Cavaliers Eastern 48 27   6% 21% 52% 83% 100%
Grizzlies Western 51 24   5% 11% 30% 61% 100%
Rockets Western 50 24   5% 10% 28% 59% 100%
Clippers Western 49 26   4% 7% 19% 53% 100%
Trail Blazers Western 48 25   3% 6% 17% 51% 100%
Bulls Eastern 45 29   2% 10% 27% 68% 100%
Raptors Eastern 44 30   2% 8% 23% 65% 100%
Spurs Western 48 26   2% 5% 17% 43% >99%
Mavericks Western 45 29   1% 3% 12% 31% >99%
Wizards Eastern 41 33   1% 3% 8% 41% 100%
Bucks Eastern 36 38   <1% 1% 7% 25% 99%
Heat Eastern 34 40   <1% 1% 4% 12% 84%
Thunder Western 42 32   <1% 1% 3% 10% 92%
Nets Eastern 33 40   <1% <1% 2% 6% 53%
Celtics Eastern 33 41   <1% <1% 1% 3% 36%
Pacers Eastern 32 42   <1% <1% <1% 2% 20%
Pelicans Western 39 34   <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
Hornets Eastern 31 42   <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
Suns Western 38 37   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Pistons Eastern 29 45   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Jazz Western 33 41   X X X X X
Nuggets Western 28 46   X X X X X
Kings Western 26 47   X X X X X
Magic Eastern 22 52   X X X X X
Lakers Western 20 53   X X X X X
Sixers Eastern 18 57   X X X X X
Timberwolves Western 16 58   X X X X X
Knicks Eastern 14 60   X X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot