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NBA Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The NBA Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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NBA Post Season Probabilities

  Record  Current Series NBA Champions NBA Finals Conference Championship Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference W L
Spurs Western 62 19   31% 39% 59% 83% 100%
Thunder Western 58 23   15% 22% 44% 73% 100%
Pacers Eastern 55 26   13% 38% 63% 88% 100%
Heat Eastern 54 27   11% 33% 59% 82% 100%
Clippers Western 57 24   11% 16% 35% 69% 100%
Rockets Western 54 27   6% 9% 21% 56% 100%
Trail Blazers Western 53 28   3% 6% 14% 44% 100%
Raptors Eastern 48 33   2% 10% 24% 65% 100%
Bulls Eastern 48 33   2% 10% 23% 63% 100%
Warriors Western 50 31   2% 3% 11% 31% 100%
Nets Eastern 44 37   1% 4% 11% 37% 100%
Grizzlies Western 49 32   1% 3% 8% 24% 100%
Mavericks Western 49 32   1% 2% 7% 20% 100%
Wizards Eastern 43 38   <1% 3% 9% 31% 100%
Bobcats Eastern 42 39   <1% 2% 7% 21% 100%
Hawks Eastern 37 44   <1% 1% 4% 12% 100%
Suns Western 47 34   X X X X X
Timberwolves Western 40 41   X X X X X
Knicks Eastern 36 45   X X X X X
Nuggets Western 36 45   X X X X X
Pelicans Western 33 48   X X X X X
Cavaliers Eastern 32 49   X X X X X
Pistons Eastern 29 52   X X X X X
Kings Western 28 53   X X X X X
Lakers Western 26 55   X X X X X
Celtics Eastern 25 56   X X X X X
Jazz Western 24 57   X X X X X
Magic Eastern 23 58   X X X X X
Sixers Eastern 18 63   X X X X X
Bucks Eastern 15 66   X X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot