PlayoffStatus.com

Tue Feb 27 12:30 am

NBA - Week 19 of 25

Thunder What If?

The Thunder What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Thunder play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Thunder What If?

Next Game - Rockets (25‑32)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7**
Play-in
8**
Play-in
9**
Play-in
10**
Play-in
11
Win Next Game 41 17 38% 37% 18% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 40 17 36% 36% 19% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Lose Next Game 40 18 27% 37% 23% 10% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7**
Play-in
8**
Play-in
9**
Play-in
10**
Play-in
11
Best Case Scenario 47% 32% 15% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 36% 36% 19% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Worst Case Scenario 26% 36% 24% 11% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Best Case Scenario
   Spurs beats Timberwolves
   Thunder beats Rockets
   Kings beats Nuggets
Worst Case Scenario
   Timberwolves beats Spurs
   Rockets beats Thunder
   Nuggets beats Kings
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7**
Play-in
8**
Play-in
9**
Play-in
10**
Play-in
11
25 of 25 100% 65 17 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 25 84% 61 21 92% 8% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 25 80% 60 22 82% 17% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 25 76% 59 23 68% 31% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
18 of 25 72% 58 24 51% 46% 3% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
17 of 25 68% 57 25 32% 57% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
16 of 25 64% 56 26 18% 56% 24% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
15 of 25 60% 55 27 7% 47% 39% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
14 of 25 56% 54 28 2% 29% 51% 18% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
13 of 25 52% 53 29 1% 15% 49% 34% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
12 of 25 48% 52 30 <1% 5% 37% 48% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
11 of 25 44% 51 31 <1% 1% 21% 52% 22% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
10 of 25 40% 50 32 <1% <1% 8% 42% 38% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
9 of 25 36% 49 33 <1% <1% 2% 23% 43% 25% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1%
8 of 25 32% 48 34 <1% <1% <1% 8% 32% 39% 18% 3% <1% <1% <1%
7 of 25 28% 47 35 <1% <1% <1% 2% 15% 36% 34% 12% 1% <1% <1%
6 of 25 24% 46 36 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 21% 39% 28% 7% <1% <1%
5 of 25 20% 45 37 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7% 29% 43% 19% 2% <1%
4 of 25 16% 44 38 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 13% 42% 36% 7% <1%
3 of 25 12% 43 39 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 27% 48% 20% 1%
2 of 25 8% 42 40 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 11% 46% 38% 5%
1 of 25 4% 41 41 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 31% 50% 15%
0 of 25 0% 40 42 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 16% 51% 33%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • ** denotes Play-in Tournament Participant