The Warriors What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Warriors play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in |
8** Play-in |
9** Play-in |
10** Play-in |
11 | |
Win Next Game | 11 | 12 | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 31% |
Current Standings | 10 | 12 | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 34% |
Lose Next Game | 10 | 13 | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 34% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in |
8** Play-in |
9** Play-in |
10** Play-in |
11 | |
Best Case Scenario | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 33% |
Current Standings | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 34% |
Worst Case Scenario | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 35% |
Best Case Scenario Hawks beats Nuggets Timberwolves beats Pelicans Nets beats Kings |
Worst Case Scenario Nuggets beats Hawks Pelicans beats Timberwolves Kings beats Nets |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in |
8** Play-in |
9** Play-in |
10** Play-in |
11 | ||
60 of 60 | 100% | 70 | 12 | 99% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
56 of 60 | 93% | 66 | 16 | 93% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
55 of 60 | 92% | 65 | 17 | 90% | 10% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
54 of 60 | 90% | 64 | 18 | 85% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
53 of 60 | 88% | 63 | 19 | 79% | 20% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
52 of 60 | 87% | 62 | 20 | 74% | 25% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
51 of 60 | 85% | 61 | 21 | 66% | 32% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
50 of 60 | 83% | 60 | 22 | 59% | 38% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
49 of 60 | 82% | 59 | 23 | 49% | 44% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
48 of 60 | 80% | 58 | 24 | 41% | 48% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
47 of 60 | 78% | 57 | 25 | 32% | 50% | 17% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
46 of 60 | 77% | 56 | 26 | 22% | 50% | 23% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
45 of 60 | 75% | 55 | 27 | 16% | 45% | 30% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
44 of 60 | 73% | 54 | 28 | 10% | 38% | 36% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
43 of 60 | 72% | 53 | 29 | 6% | 29% | 38% | 21% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
42 of 60 | 70% | 52 | 30 | 3% | 20% | 35% | 28% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
41 of 60 | 68% | 51 | 31 | 1% | 12% | 30% | 33% | 18% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
40 of 60 | 67% | 50 | 32 | 1% | 7% | 23% | 33% | 25% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
39 of 60 | 65% | 49 | 33 | <1% | 3% | 15% | 30% | 30% | 16% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
38 of 60 | 63% | 48 | 34 | <1% | 2% | 9% | 24% | 31% | 23% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
37 of 60 | 62% | 47 | 35 | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 30% | 28% | 15% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
36 of 60 | 60% | 46 | 36 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 24% | 32% | 21% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
35 of 60 | 58% | 45 | 37 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 18% | 29% | 28% | 15% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
34 of 60 | 57% | 44 | 38 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 26% | 30% | 21% | 8% | 1% | <1% |
33 of 60 | 55% | 43 | 39 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 18% | 30% | 28% | 13% | 3% | <1% |
32 of 60 | 53% | 42 | 40 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 26% | 31% | 20% | 7% | 1% |
31 of 60 | 52% | 41 | 41 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 18% | 31% | 28% | 12% | 3% |
30 of 60 | 50% | 40 | 42 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 26% | 32% | 21% | 7% |
29 of 60 | 48% | 39 | 43 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 18% | 32% | 28% | 14% |
28 of 60 | 47% | 38 | 44 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 28% | 32% | 25% |
27 of 60 | 45% | 37 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 20% | 34% | 38% |
26 of 60 | 43% | 36 | 46 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 13% | 31% | 54% |
25 of 60 | 42% | 35 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 23% | 69% |
24 of 60 | 40% | 34 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 81% |
23 of 60 | 38% | 33 | 49 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 90% |
22 of 60 | 37% | 32 | 50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 95% |
20 of 60 | 33% | 30 | 52 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
10 of 60 | 17% | 20 | 62 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
0 of 60 | 0% | 10 | 72 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |