PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Hawaii Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, Hawaii will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 35% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, Hawaii makes the playoffs 35% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Hawaii making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (20)Hawaii opponents win (SOS related)
Hawaii Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 N.C. State (106) ACCACC 105 12 1 - - 100%
2 Nebraska (120) Big 10Big 10 105 13 0 - - 100%
3 Florida Atlantic (63) American AthleticAm. Athletic 94 12 1 - - 100%
4 Hawaii (20) Mountain WestMntn West 93 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Michigan St. (116) Big 10Big 10 90 11 1 - - X
6 Iowa (122) Big 10Big 10 88 11 2 - - X
7 Kansas St. (38) Big 12Big 12 87 11 2 - - X
8 Virginia Tech (98) ACCACC 87 10 2 - - X
9 Clemson (93) ACCACC 86 10 2 - - X
10 Louisiana Tech (4) Conference USAConf. USA 85 11 2 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, Hawaii misses the playoffs 65% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Hawaii missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (20)Hawaii opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (20)Hawaii does not plays in the Mntn West Championship Game
Hawaii Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Clemson (93) ACCACC 109 12 1 - - 100%
2 Boston College (89) ACCACC 101 12 1 - - 100%
3 Florida St. (97) ACCACC 93 9 3 - - 100%
4 South Florida (70) American AthleticAm. Athletic 91 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 TCU (22) Big 12Big 12 91 12 1 - - X
6 Hawaii (20) Mountain WestMntn West 91 12 1 - - X
7 Appalachian St.App. St. (27) SunbeltSunbelt 90 12 1 - - X
8 Michigan (134) Big 10Big 10 88 13 0 - - X
9 Duke (64) ACCACC 87 9 3 - - X
10 Northern Illinois (32) MACMAC 86 11 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot