PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Illinois Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, Illinois will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 46% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, Illinois makes the playoffs 46% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Illinois making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (99)Illinois opponents win (SOS related)
  • (99)Illinois plays in the Big 10 Championship Game
Illinois Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Wisconsin (100) Big 10Big 10 100 12 1 - - 100%
2 Western Michigan (17) MACMAC 98 12 1 - - 100%
3 Louisville (80) ACCACC 97 13 0 - - 100%
4 Illinois (99) Big 10Big 10 95 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Colorado (58) Big 12Big 12 91 13 0 - - X
6 UCLA (101) Big 10Big 10 90 10 2 - - X
7 Texas A&M (127) SECSEC 89 11 2 - - X
8 Oregon (124) Big 10Big 10 88 9 3 - - X
9 Minnesota (109) Big 10Big 10 87 10 2 - - X
10 Wake Forest (112) ACCACC 87 11 1 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, Illinois misses the playoffs 54% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Illinois missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (99)Illinois opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (99)Illinois does not plays in the Big 10 Championship Game
  • (101)UCLA wins the Big 10 Championship
  • (105)Maryland wins the Big 10 Championship
  • (100)Wisconsin wins 12 or more games
Illinois Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Clemson (93) ACCACC 102 12 1 - - 100%
2 Texas Tech (61) Big 12Big 12 95 12 1 - - 100%
3 Boston College (89) ACCACC 94 11 2 - - 100%
4 Maryland (105) Big 10Big 10 90 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Alabama (126) SECSEC 88 12 1 - - X
6 New Mexico (40) Mountain WestMntn West 88 11 2 - - X
7 Northern Illinois (32) MACMAC 88 11 2 - - X
8 Charlotte (44) American AthleticAm. Athletic 87 12 1 - - X
9 Illinois (99) Big 10Big 10 85 11 1 - - X
10 Baylor (7) Big 12Big 12 84 11 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot