If it loses one of its remaining games, Illinois will make the 2023 NCAA Football Playoffs <1% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it loses one of its remaining games, Illinois makes the playoffs <1% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Illinois making the playoffs.
(53)Illinois opponents win (SOS related)
(10)Washington opponents lose (SOS related)
(2)Ohio St. loses 4 or more games
(1)Michigan loses 3 or more games
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Penn St. (3) | Big 10Big 10 | 121 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Florida St. (7) | ACCACC | 105 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | N.C. State (51) | ACCACC | 96 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Illinois (53) | Big 10Big 10 | 93 | 10 | 3 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Marshall (36) | SunbeltSunbelt | 92 | 13 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Texas A&M (25) | SECSEC | 92 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Washington (10) | PAC 12PAC 12 | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Florida (18) | SECSEC | 90 | 9 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Oregon (4) | PAC 12PAC 12 | 88 | 9 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Missouri (17) | SECSEC | 88 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
If it loses one of its remaining games, Illinois misses the playoffs >99% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Illinois missing the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Georgia (6) | SECSEC | 113 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Washington (10) | PAC 12PAC 12 | 105 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Penn St. (3) | Big 10Big 10 | 104 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Michigan (1) | Big 10Big 10 | 100 | 10 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Ohio St. (2) | Big 10Big 10 | 100 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Florida (18) | SECSEC | 92 | 9 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Oregon (4) | PAC 12PAC 12 | 92 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | North Carolina (20) | ACCACC | 91 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Utah (9) | PAC 12PAC 12 | 89 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Florida St. (7) | ACCACC | 89 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |