If it loses one of its remaining games, Iowa St. will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 50% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it loses one of its remaining games, Iowa St. makes the playoffs 50% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Iowa St. making the playoffs.
(76)Iowa St. opponents win (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Michigan (134) | Big 10Big 10 | 99 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Iowa St. (76) | Big 12Big 12 | 99 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | San Diego State (49) | Mountain WestMntn West | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | N.C. State (106) | ACCACC | 92 | 11 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Louisville (80) | ACCACC | 91 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Mississippi St.Miss. St. (114) | SECSEC | 90 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Middle Tenn. St. (9) | Conference USAConf. USA | 89 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Northern Illinois (32) | MACMAC | 88 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Air Force (46) | Mountain WestMntn West | 85 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Louisiana Tech (4) | Conference USAConf. USA | 83 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
If it loses one of its remaining games, Iowa St. misses the playoffs 50% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Iowa St. missing the playoffs.
(76)Iowa St. opponents lose (SOS related)
(76)Iowa St. does not plays in the Big 12 Championship Game
(39)Oklahoma St. wins the Big 12 Championship
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Virginia Tech (98) | ACCACC | 100 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Florida (84) | SECSEC | 100 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Arkansas (113) | SECSEC | 98 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Buffalo (48) | MACMAC | 97 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | UAB (35) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 97 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | South Carolina (104) | SECSEC | 93 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Colorado St. (55) | Mountain WestMntn West | 92 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Georgia (118) | SECSEC | 92 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | California (87) | ACCACC | 91 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Old Dominion (51) | SunbeltSunbelt | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |