If it wins its remaining games, Iowa St. makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 90% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it wins its remaining games, Iowa St. makes the playoffs 90% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Iowa St. making the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Iowa St. (76) | Big 12Big 12 | 102 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | USC (108) | Big 10Big 10 | 99 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Akron (23) | MACMAC | 98 | 11 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | W. Kentucky (1) | Conference USAConf. USA | 97 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Texas A&M (127) | SECSEC | 94 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Ball State (3) | MACMAC | 90 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | SMU (94) | ACCACC | 90 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Indiana (131) | Big 10Big 10 | 89 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Toledo (26) | MACMAC | 88 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Notre Dame (130) | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 88 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
If it wins its remaining games, Iowa St. misses the playoffs 10% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Iowa St. missing the playoffs.
(76)Iowa St. opponents lose (SOS related)
(76)Iowa St. does not plays in the Big 12 Championship Game
(98)Virginia Tech wins 13 or more games
(26)Toledo wins out
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | UAB (35) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 105 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Virginia Tech (98) | ACCACC | 101 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Louisville (80) | ACCACC | 99 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 97 | 10 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Missouri (119) | SECSEC | 95 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Iowa St. (76) | Big 12Big 12 | 95 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 7 | SMU (94) | ACCACC | 92 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Southern Miss (28) | SunbeltSunbelt | 89 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Georgia (118) | SECSEC | 88 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Charlotte (44) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 86 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |