PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Sep 24 3:45 am

NCAA Football - Week 5 of 13

LSU Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Current

Based upon current play, LSU makes the 2023 NCAA Football Playoffs 17% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

Based upon current play, LSU makes the playoffs 17% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to LSU making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (11)LSU wins 7 or more games
  • (11)LSU wins the SEC Championship
  • (8)Alabama does not plays in the SEC Championship Game
LSU Most Likely Outcome - Current - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Michigan (1) Big 10Big 10 112 12 1 - - 100%
2 Florida St. (7) ACCACC 110 12 1 - - 100%
3 Georgia (6) SECSEC 108 12 1 - - 100%
4 LSU (11) SECSEC 106 10 3 - - 100%
 
5 Maryland (23) Big 10Big 10 105 11 1 - - X
6 North Carolina (20) ACCACC 97 13 0 - - X
7 Washington (10) PAC 12PAC 12 97 11 2 - - X
8 Ohio St. (2) Big 10Big 10 92 9 3 - - X
9 Colorado (32) PAC 12PAC 12 91 11 2 - - X
10 Georgia St. (30) SunbeltSunbelt 90 12 1 - - X




Based upon current play, LSU misses the playoffs 83% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to LSU missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (11)LSU loses 3 or more games
LSU Most Likely Outcome - Current - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Michigan (1) Big 10Big 10 117 13 0 - - 100%
2 Texas (5) Big 12Big 12 114 13 0 - - 100%
3 Alabama (8) SECSEC 103 10 3 - - 100%
4 Oregon (4) PAC 12PAC 12 101 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 Penn St. (3) Big 10Big 10 92 10 2 - - X
6 Florida St. (7) ACCACC 92 11 2 - - X
7 Georgia St. (30) SunbeltSunbelt 91 12 1 - - X
8 Utah (9) PAC 12PAC 12 89 10 2 - - X
9 Miami (15) ACCACC 87 11 2 - - X
10 Notre Dame (24) NCAA IndependentsInd. 85 10 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot