PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Michigan Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, Michigan will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 55% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, Michigan makes the playoffs 55% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Michigan making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (134)Michigan opponents win (SOS related)
Michigan Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 N.C. State (106) ACCACC 108 13 0 - - 100%
2 Michigan (134) Big 10Big 10 98 12 1 - - 100%
3 Tennessee (115) SECSEC 97 11 2 - - 100%
4 East Carolina (29) American AthleticAm. Athletic 97 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Kent State (15) MACMAC 91 12 1 - - X
6 Georgia St. (66) SunbeltSunbelt 90 12 1 - - X
7 Maryland (105) Big 10Big 10 88 11 2 - - X
8 Southern Miss (28) SunbeltSunbelt 87 11 2 - - X
9 Florida (84) SECSEC 87 11 2 - - X
10 California (87) ACCACC 86 10 3 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, Michigan misses the playoffs 45% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Michigan missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (134)Michigan opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (134)Michigan does not plays in the Big 10 Championship Game
  • (105)Maryland wins 11 or more games
  • (102)Rutgers wins the Big 10 Championship
  • (117)Purdue wins the Big 10 Championship
Michigan Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Central Michigan (18) MACMAC 99 13 0 - - 100%
2 Boston College (89) ACCACC 94 12 1 - - 100%
3 Clemson (93) ACCACC 94 12 1 - - 100%
4 San José State (68) Mountain WestMntn West 91 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Michigan (134) Big 10Big 10 88 12 1 - - X
6 Texas St. (42) SunbeltSunbelt 87 11 2 - - X
7 Purdue (117) Big 10Big 10 86 11 1 - - X
8 Rutgers (102) Big 10Big 10 85 12 1 - - X
9 Tennessee (115) SECSEC 85 11 2 - - X
10 Southern Miss (28) SunbeltSunbelt 84 10 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot