PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Sep 24 3:45 am

NCAA Football - Week 5 of 13

Michigan St. Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Current

Based upon current play, Michigan St. makes the 2023 NCAA Football Playoffs <1% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

Based upon current play, Michigan St. makes the playoffs <1% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Michigan St. making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (59)Michigan St. wins 9 or more games
  • (59)Michigan St. plays in the Big 10 Championship Game
  • (59)Michigan St. beats (2)Ohio St.
  • (59)Michigan St. beats (1)Michigan
  • (59)Michigan St. beats (3)Penn St.
Michigan St. Most Likely Outcome - Current - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Florida St. (7) ACCACC 112 13 0 - - 100%
2 Washington (10) PAC 12PAC 12 103 13 0 - - 100%
3 Maryland (23) Big 10Big 10 101 12 1 - - 100%
4 Michigan St. (59) Big 10Big 10 100 10 2 - - 100%
 
5 Tennessee (16) SECSEC 96 9 3 - - X
6 James Madison (27) SunbeltSunbelt 95 13 0 - - X
7 Ohio St. (2) Big 10Big 10 95 9 3 - - X
8 Florida (18) SECSEC 95 8 4 - - X
9 Kansas (22) Big 12Big 12 93 12 1 - - X
10 Penn St. (3) Big 10Big 10 93 9 3 - - X




Based upon current play, Michigan St. misses the playoffs >99% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Michigan St. missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • None Found
Michigan St. Most Likely Outcome - Current - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Michigan (1) Big 10Big 10 117 13 0 - - 100%
2 Texas (5) Big 12Big 12 114 13 0 - - 100%
3 Alabama (8) SECSEC 103 10 3 - - 100%
4 Oregon (4) PAC 12PAC 12 101 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 Penn St. (3) Big 10Big 10 92 10 2 - - X
6 Florida St. (7) ACCACC 92 11 2 - - X
7 Georgia St. (30) SunbeltSunbelt 91 12 1 - - X
8 Utah (9) PAC 12PAC 12 89 10 2 - - X
9 Miami (15) ACCACC 87 11 2 - - X
10 Notre Dame (24) NCAA IndependentsInd. 85 10 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot