PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Minnesota Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, Minnesota will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 46% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, Minnesota makes the playoffs 46% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Minnesota making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (109)Minnesota opponents win (SOS related)
  • (109)Minnesota plays in the Big 10 Championship Game
Minnesota Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Minnesota (109) Big 10Big 10 107 12 1 - - 100%
2 Boston College (89) ACCACC 103 12 1 - - 100%
3 Maryland (105) Big 10Big 10 96 10 2 - - 100%
4 North Texas (54) American AthleticAm. Athletic 94 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Duke (64) ACCACC 94 11 1 - - X
6 Toledo (26) MACMAC 91 11 2 - - X
7 Nevada (43) Mountain WestMntn West 91 11 3 - - X
8 Purdue (117) Big 10Big 10 91 11 2 - - X
9 Sam Houston (36) Conference USAConf. USA 90 12 1 - - X
10 Rutgers (102) Big 10Big 10 86 10 2 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, Minnesota misses the playoffs 54% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Minnesota missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (109)Minnesota opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (109)Minnesota does not plays in the Big 10 Championship Game
  • (117)Purdue wins the Big 10 Championship
Minnesota Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Oregon St. (85) NCAA IndependentsInd. 108 12 0 - - 100%
2 South Florida (70) American AthleticAm. Athletic 95 12 1 - - 100%
3 Kentucky (111) SECSEC 93 12 1 - - 100%
4 Troy (41) SunbeltSunbelt 92 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Coastal Carolina (10) SunbeltSunbelt 90 12 1 - - X
6 Bowling Green (24) MACMAC 88 12 1 - - X
7 Navy (82) American AthleticAm. Athletic 87 10 2 - - X
8 Louisiana Tech (4) Conference USAConf. USA 86 12 1 - - X
9 Miami OH (16) MACMAC 86 10 2 - - X
10 Central Michigan (18) MACMAC 84 10 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot