If it wins its remaining games, New Mexico St. makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 91% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it wins its remaining games, New Mexico St. makes the playoffs 91% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to New Mexico St. making the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Utah (53) | Big 12Big 12 | 110 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Baylor (7) | Big 12Big 12 | 105 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | New Mexico St. (13) | Conference USAConf. USA | 97 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Louisville (80) | ACCACC | 96 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Texas Tech (61) | Big 12Big 12 | 92 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Kentucky (111) | SECSEC | 91 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Iowa (122) | Big 10Big 10 | 87 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | West Virginia (77) | Big 12Big 12 | 87 | 9 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 9 | San Diego State (49) | Mountain WestMntn West | 87 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Georgia Tech (91) | ACCACC | 84 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
If it wins its remaining games, New Mexico St. misses the playoffs 9% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to New Mexico St. missing the playoffs.
(13)New Mexico St. opponents lose (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Florida Atlantic (63) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 104 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Syracuse (90) | ACCACC | 102 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 101 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Toledo (26) | MACMAC | 98 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Navy (82) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 93 | 10 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | UCF (69) | Big 12Big 12 | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | New Mexico St. (13) | Conference USAConf. USA | 90 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Charlotte (44) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 89 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Georgia (118) | SECSEC | 87 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Purdue (117) | Big 10Big 10 | 85 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |