If it loses one of its remaining games, Oregon will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 46% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it loses one of its remaining games, Oregon makes the playoffs 46% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Oregon making the playoffs.
(124)Oregon opponents win (SOS related)
(124)Oregon plays in the Big 10 Championship Game
(131)Indiana loses 11 or more games
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Indiana (131) | Big 10Big 10 | 106 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Oregon (124) | Big 10Big 10 | 101 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Virginia (78) | ACCACC | 92 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Toledo (26) | MACMAC | 91 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Arkansas (113) | SECSEC | 90 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Florida Intl. (34) | Conference USAConf. USA | 90 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 7 | California (87) | ACCACC | 89 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Miami OH (16) | MACMAC | 87 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Texas St. (42) | SunbeltSunbelt | 86 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Stanford (103) | ACCACC | 85 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
If it loses one of its remaining games, Oregon misses the playoffs 54% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Oregon missing the playoffs.
(124)Oregon opponents lose (SOS related)
(124)Oregon does not plays in the Big 10 Championship Game
(131)Indiana wins 11 or more games
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Duke (64) | ACCACC | 96 | 11 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Baylor (7) | Big 12Big 12 | 95 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 93 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Florida St. (97) | ACCACC | 92 | 10 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Miami OH (16) | MACMAC | 92 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Toledo (26) | MACMAC | 90 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | North Carolina (92) | ACCACC | 90 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Utah (53) | Big 12Big 12 | 90 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Oklahoma (132) | SECSEC | 89 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Oregon (124) | Big 10Big 10 | 89 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |