PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Rice Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, Rice will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 54% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, Rice makes the playoffs 54% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Rice making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (19)Rice opponents win (SOS related)
Rice Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Michigan (134) Big 10Big 10 119 13 0 - - 100%
2 Air Force (46) Mountain WestMntn West 100 12 1 - - 100%
3 Rice (19) American AthleticAm. Athletic 100 12 1 - - 100%
4 Georgia Tech (91) ACCACC 94 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Ohio St. (129) Big 10Big 10 92 11 2 - - X
6 Liberty (2) Conference USAConf. USA 92 12 1 - - X
7 Toledo (26) MACMAC 92 11 2 - - X
8 Tulsa (30) American AthleticAm. Athletic 89 11 2 - - X
9 UConn (125) NCAA IndependentsInd. 89 10 2 - - X
10 Fresno State (31) Mountain WestMntn West 88 9 4 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, Rice misses the playoffs 46% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Rice missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (19)Rice opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (19)Rice does not plays in the Am. Athletic Championship Game
  • (30)Tulsa wins the Am. Athletic Championship
  • (54)North Texas wins the Am. Athletic Championship
  • (71)Temple wins the Am. Athletic Championship
Rice Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Memphis (47) American AthleticAm. Athletic 103 12 1 - - 100%
2 Liberty (2) Conference USAConf. USA 101 13 0 - - 100%
3 Akron (23) MACMAC 97 12 1 - - 100%
4 Marshall (50) SunbeltSunbelt 97 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 Troy (41) SunbeltSunbelt 94 10 3 - - X
6 San Diego State (49) Mountain WestMntn West 90 12 1 - - X
7 Rice (19) American AthleticAm. Athletic 90 11 1 - - X
8 North Texas (54) American AthleticAm. Athletic 90 10 3 - - X
9 Florida St. (97) ACCACC 85 12 1 - - X
10 Temple (71) American AthleticAm. Athletic 83 9 3 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot