If it wins its remaining games, San Diego State makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 92% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it wins its remaining games, San Diego State makes the playoffs 92% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to San Diego State making the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Florida Atlantic (63) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 111 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Miami OH (16) | MACMAC | 104 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | San Diego State (49) | Mountain WestMntn West | 103 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Louisiana Tech (4) | Conference USAConf. USA | 101 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Appalachian St.App. St. (27) | SunbeltSunbelt | 95 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Bowling Green (24) | MACMAC | 95 | 9 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Temple (71) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 92 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Ball State (3) | MACMAC | 92 | 9 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Kent State (15) | MACMAC | 89 | 9 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Florida Intl. (34) | Conference USAConf. USA | 87 | 9 | 3 | - | - | X |
If it wins its remaining games, San Diego State misses the playoffs 8% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to San Diego State missing the playoffs.
(49)San Diego State opponents lose (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Clemson (93) | ACCACC | 99 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Penn St. (121) | Big 10Big 10 | 97 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 96 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Auburn (128) | SECSEC | 95 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Buffalo (48) | MACMAC | 91 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Michigan St. (116) | Big 10Big 10 | 90 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Florida (84) | SECSEC | 89 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | W. Kentucky (1) | Conference USAConf. USA | 89 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Colorado (58) | Big 12Big 12 | 88 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 10 | San Diego State (49) | Mountain WestMntn West | 88 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |