PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Tennessee Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, Tennessee will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 46% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, Tennessee makes the playoffs 46% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Tennessee making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (115)Tennessee opponents win (SOS related)
  • (115)Tennessee plays in the SEC Championship Game
Tennessee Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Boston College (89) ACCACC 99 12 1 - - 100%
2 Tennessee (115) SECSEC 98 12 1 - - 100%
3 Wyoming (14) Mountain WestMntn West 89 12 1 - - 100%
4 Louisiana Tech (4) Conference USAConf. USA 89 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Kentucky (111) SECSEC 87 11 1 - - X
6 Texas A&M (127) SECSEC 87 12 1 - - X
7 Nebraska (120) Big 10Big 10 85 10 2 - - X
8 Arkansas St. (6) SunbeltSunbelt 85 10 2 - - X
9 Southern Miss (28) SunbeltSunbelt 85 10 3 - - X
10 Vanderbilt (96) SECSEC 83 10 2 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, Tennessee misses the playoffs 54% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Tennessee missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (115)Tennessee opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (115)Tennessee does not plays in the SEC Championship Game
  • (127)Texas A&M wins the SEC Championship
Tennessee Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Penn St. (121) Big 10Big 10 106 13 0 - - 100%
2 Duke (64) ACCACC 98 12 1 - - 100%
3 Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. (52) Conference USAConf. USA 97 12 1 - - 100%
4 New Mexico (40) Mountain WestMntn West 95 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 California (87) ACCACC 91 12 1 - - X
6 UMass (67) NCAA IndependentsInd. 91 12 0 - - X
7 Charlotte (44) American AthleticAm. Athletic 90 12 1 - - X
8 Maryland (105) Big 10Big 10 88 10 2 - - X
9 Washington St. (83) NCAA IndependentsInd. 82 10 2 - - X
10 Utah St. (65) Mountain WestMntn West 82 9 3 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot