PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Texas Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, Texas will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 58% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, Texas makes the playoffs 58% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Texas making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (133)Texas opponents win (SOS related)
Texas Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Maryland (105) Big 10Big 10 95 13 0 - - 100%
2 Texas (133) SECSEC 95 12 1 - - 100%
3 Arkansas St. (6) SunbeltSunbelt 94 12 1 - - 100%
4 W. Kentucky (1) Conference USAConf. USA 92 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Temple (71) American AthleticAm. Athletic 91 11 2 - - X
6 Arizona (12) Big 12Big 12 90 12 1 - - X
7 Utah St. (65) Mountain WestMntn West 89 12 1 - - X
8 Ole Miss (110) SECSEC 89 11 2 - - X
9 Georgia St. (66) SunbeltSunbelt 87 10 3 - - X
10 Georgia Tech (91) ACCACC 87 11 2 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, Texas misses the playoffs 42% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Texas missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (133)Texas opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (133)Texas does not plays in the SEC Championship Game
  • (110)Ole Miss wins the SEC Championship
  • (115)Tennessee wins the SEC Championship
  • (123)LSU wins 12 or more games
Texas Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Western Michigan (17) MACMAC 105 12 1 - - 100%
2 Iowa St. (76) Big 12Big 12 101 12 1 - - 100%
3 Houston (75) Big 12Big 12 100 12 1 - - 100%
4 Utah St. (65) Mountain WestMntn West 100 13 0 - - 100%
 
5 Coastal Carolina (10) SunbeltSunbelt 97 12 1 - - X
6 Fresno State (31) Mountain WestMntn West 91 11 2 - - X
7 Kennesaw St. (5) Conference USAConf. USA 91 12 1 - - X
8 Charlotte (44) American AthleticAm. Athletic 89 12 1 - - X
9 LSU (123) SECSEC 89 12 1 - - X
10 Michigan St. (116) Big 10Big 10 88 11 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot