PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Texas Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Winout

If it wins its remaining games, Texas makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 95% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it wins its remaining games, Texas makes the playoffs 95% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Texas making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • None Found
Texas Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Kansas (57) Big 12Big 12 105 13 0 - - 100%
2 Texas (133) SECSEC 101 13 0 - - 100%
3 Temple (71) American AthleticAm. Athletic 99 12 1 - - 100%
4 Louisiana Tech (4) Conference USAConf. USA 98 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 Nebraska (120) Big 10Big 10 97 12 1 - - X
6 New Mexico St. (13) Conference USAConf. USA 96 11 2 - - X
7 Michigan (134) Big 10Big 10 93 11 2 - - X
8 Pittsburgh (79) ACCACC 84 12 1 - - X
9 Wake Forest (112) ACCACC 84 11 2 - - X
10 South Alabama (37) SunbeltSunbelt 83 12 1 - - X




If it wins its remaining games, Texas misses the playoffs 5% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Texas missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (133)Texas opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (133)Texas does not plays in the SEC Championship Game
  • (115)Tennessee wins out
Texas Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Boston College (89) ACCACC 99 12 1 - - 100%
2 New Mexico St. (13) Conference USAConf. USA 98 12 1 - - 100%
3 Central Michigan (18) MACMAC 92 12 1 - - 100%
4 Syracuse (90) ACCACC 91 11 1 - - 100%
 
5 Texas (133) SECSEC 90 13 0 - - X
6 Virginia (78) ACCACC 89 11 2 - - X
7 Oregon St. (85) NCAA IndependentsInd. 86 12 0 - - X
8 Kansas (57) Big 12Big 12 85 11 2 - - X
9 New Mexico (40) Mountain WestMntn West 84 11 2 - - X
10 Texas St. (42) SunbeltSunbelt 83 11 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot