If it wins its remaining games, Texas makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 95% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it wins its remaining games, Texas makes the playoffs 95% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Texas making the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Kansas (57) | Big 12Big 12 | 105 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Texas (133) | SECSEC | 101 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Temple (71) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 99 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Louisiana Tech (4) | Conference USAConf. USA | 98 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Nebraska (120) | Big 10Big 10 | 97 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | New Mexico St. (13) | Conference USAConf. USA | 96 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Michigan (134) | Big 10Big 10 | 93 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Pittsburgh (79) | ACCACC | 84 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Wake Forest (112) | ACCACC | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | South Alabama (37) | SunbeltSunbelt | 83 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
If it wins its remaining games, Texas misses the playoffs 5% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Texas missing the playoffs.
(133)Texas opponents lose (SOS related)
(133)Texas does not plays in the SEC Championship Game
(115)Tennessee wins out
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 99 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | New Mexico St. (13) | Conference USAConf. USA | 98 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Central Michigan (18) | MACMAC | 92 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Syracuse (90) | ACCACC | 91 | 11 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Texas (133) | SECSEC | 90 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Virginia (78) | ACCACC | 89 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Oregon St. (85) | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 86 | 12 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Kansas (57) | Big 12Big 12 | 85 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | New Mexico (40) | Mountain WestMntn West | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Texas St. (42) | SunbeltSunbelt | 83 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |