PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Texas St. Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Winout

If it wins its remaining games, Texas St. makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 91% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it wins its remaining games, Texas St. makes the playoffs 91% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Texas St. making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • None Found
Texas St. Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Texas St. (42) SunbeltSunbelt 104 13 0 - - 100%
2 Memphis (47) American AthleticAm. Athletic 98 12 1 - - 100%
3 Appalachian St.App. St. (27) SunbeltSunbelt 92 10 2 - - 100%
4 Baylor (7) Big 12Big 12 91 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 California (87) ACCACC 91 11 2 - - X
6 Rice (19) American AthleticAm. Athletic 91 10 2 - - X
7 Indiana (131) Big 10Big 10 89 13 0 - - X
8 Marshall (50) SunbeltSunbelt 88 10 3 - - X
9 Georgia St. (66) SunbeltSunbelt 88 9 3 - - X
10 Texas A&M (127) SECSEC 87 12 1 - - X




If it wins its remaining games, Texas St. misses the playoffs 9% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Texas St. missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (42)Texas St. opponents lose (SOS related)
Texas St. Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Wisconsin (100) Big 10Big 10 99 12 1 - - 100%
2 N.C. State (106) ACCACC 96 11 2 - - 100%
3 Rutgers (102) Big 10Big 10 96 10 2 - - 100%
4 Boston College (89) ACCACC 96 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Toledo (26) MACMAC 95 11 2 - - X
6 Rice (19) American AthleticAm. Athletic 93 12 1 - - X
7 Texas St. (42) SunbeltSunbelt 86 13 0 - - X
8 Akron (23) MACMAC 85 9 3 - - X
9 UCLA (101) Big 10Big 10 85 10 3 - - X
10 Virginia (78) ACCACC 84 10 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot