If it wins its remaining games, Texas St. makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 91% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it wins its remaining games, Texas St. makes the playoffs 91% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Texas St. making the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Texas St. (42) | SunbeltSunbelt | 104 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Memphis (47) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 98 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Appalachian St.App. St. (27) | SunbeltSunbelt | 92 | 10 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Baylor (7) | Big 12Big 12 | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | California (87) | ACCACC | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Rice (19) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 91 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Indiana (131) | Big 10Big 10 | 89 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Marshall (50) | SunbeltSunbelt | 88 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Georgia St. (66) | SunbeltSunbelt | 88 | 9 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Texas A&M (127) | SECSEC | 87 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
If it wins its remaining games, Texas St. misses the playoffs 9% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Texas St. missing the playoffs.
(42)Texas St. opponents lose (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Wisconsin (100) | Big 10Big 10 | 99 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | N.C. State (106) | ACCACC | 96 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Rutgers (102) | Big 10Big 10 | 96 | 10 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 96 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Toledo (26) | MACMAC | 95 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Rice (19) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Texas St. (42) | SunbeltSunbelt | 86 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Akron (23) | MACMAC | 85 | 9 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 9 | UCLA (101) | Big 10Big 10 | 85 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Virginia (78) | ACCACC | 84 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |