PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Texas St. Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, Texas St. will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 47% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, Texas St. makes the playoffs 47% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Texas St. making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (42)Texas St. opponents win (SOS related)
Texas St. Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Clemson (93) ACCACC 97 12 1 - - 100%
2 UTEP (11) Conference USAConf. USA 94 11 2 - - 100%
3 Duke (64) ACCACC 94 10 2 - - 100%
4 Texas St. (42) SunbeltSunbelt 93 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Boston College (89) ACCACC 92 11 2 - - X
6 Auburn (128) SECSEC 91 13 0 - - X
7 Penn St. (121) Big 10Big 10 88 12 1 - - X
8 W. Kentucky (1) Conference USAConf. USA 87 10 2 - - X
9 Ohio (21) MACMAC 86 11 2 - - X
10 San José State (68) Mountain WestMntn West 86 12 1 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, Texas St. misses the playoffs 53% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Texas St. missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (42)Texas St. opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (42)Texas St. does not plays in the Sunbelt Championship Game
  • (6)Arkansas St. plays in the Sunbelt Championship Game
  • (59)James Madison wins the Sunbelt Championship
  • (88)LA Monroe wins 12 or more games
Texas St. Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Ohio St. (129) Big 10Big 10 96 13 0 - - 100%
2 Clemson (93) ACCACC 92 10 2 - - 100%
3 South Carolina (104) SECSEC 92 11 2 - - 100%
4 Boston College (89) ACCACC 91 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Tennessee (115) SECSEC 91 11 2 - - X
6 Colorado St. (55) Mountain WestMntn West 90 12 1 - - X
7 Texas St. (42) SunbeltSunbelt 88 12 1 - - X
8 Ball State (3) MACMAC 86 10 3 - - X
9 Stanford (103) ACCACC 86 10 2 - - X
10 James Madison (59) SunbeltSunbelt 85 10 3 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot