If it loses one of its remaining games, Texas St. will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 47% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it loses one of its remaining games, Texas St. makes the playoffs 47% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Texas St. making the playoffs.
(42)Texas St. opponents win (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Clemson (93) | ACCACC | 97 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | UTEP (11) | Conference USAConf. USA | 94 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Duke (64) | ACCACC | 94 | 10 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Texas St. (42) | SunbeltSunbelt | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 92 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Auburn (128) | SECSEC | 91 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Penn St. (121) | Big 10Big 10 | 88 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | W. Kentucky (1) | Conference USAConf. USA | 87 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Ohio (21) | MACMAC | 86 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | San José State (68) | Mountain WestMntn West | 86 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
If it loses one of its remaining games, Texas St. misses the playoffs 53% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Texas St. missing the playoffs.
(42)Texas St. opponents lose (SOS related)
(42)Texas St. does not plays in the Sunbelt Championship Game
(6)Arkansas St. plays in the Sunbelt Championship Game
(59)James Madison wins the Sunbelt Championship
(88)LA Monroe wins 12 or more games
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Ohio St. (129) | Big 10Big 10 | 96 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Clemson (93) | ACCACC | 92 | 10 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | South Carolina (104) | SECSEC | 92 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 91 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Tennessee (115) | SECSEC | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Colorado St. (55) | Mountain WestMntn West | 90 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Texas St. (42) | SunbeltSunbelt | 88 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Ball State (3) | MACMAC | 86 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Stanford (103) | ACCACC | 86 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | James Madison (59) | SunbeltSunbelt | 85 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |