If it loses one of its remaining games, Troy will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 50% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it loses one of its remaining games, Troy makes the playoffs 50% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Troy making the playoffs.
(41)Troy opponents win (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | USC (108) | Big 10Big 10 | 110 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Troy (41) | SunbeltSunbelt | 101 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 100 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Tennessee (115) | SECSEC | 100 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | South Carolina (104) | SECSEC | 91 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Navy (82) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 89 | 9 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Rutgers (102) | Big 10Big 10 | 83 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Kennesaw St. (5) | Conference USAConf. USA | 83 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Temple (71) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 83 | 9 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Rice (19) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 83 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
If it loses one of its remaining games, Troy misses the playoffs 50% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Troy missing the playoffs.
(41)Troy opponents lose (SOS related)
(41)Troy does not plays in the Sunbelt Championship Game
(37)South Alabama plays in the Sunbelt Championship Game
(6)Arkansas St. wins the Sunbelt Championship
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | UCF (69) | Big 12Big 12 | 95 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Wake Forest (112) | ACCACC | 95 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Minnesota (109) | Big 10Big 10 | 94 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Hawaii (20) | Mountain WestMntn West | 94 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Clemson (93) | ACCACC | 90 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | East Carolina (29) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 90 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Kent State (15) | MACMAC | 89 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Oklahoma (132) | SECSEC | 88 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 9 | South Alabama (37) | SunbeltSunbelt | 87 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Oregon St. (85) | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 87 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |