PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

UMass Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, UMass will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 14% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, UMass makes the playoffs 14% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to UMass making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (67)UMass opponents win (SOS related)
UMass Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 East Carolina (29) American AthleticAm. Athletic 109 13 0 - - 100%
2 UMass (67) NCAA IndependentsInd. 100 11 1 - - 100%
3 Virginia (78) ACCACC 97 12 1 - - 100%
4 Appalachian St.App. St. (27) SunbeltSunbelt 94 10 3 - - 100%
 
5 Georgia St. (66) SunbeltSunbelt 93 9 3 - - X
6 Boston College (89) ACCACC 90 11 2 - - X
7 Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. (52) Conference USAConf. USA 89 10 3 - - X
8 Old Dominion (51) SunbeltSunbelt 89 8 4 - - X
9 Mississippi St.Miss. St. (114) SECSEC 88 11 2 - - X
10 Washington St. (83) NCAA IndependentsInd. 87 12 0 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, UMass misses the playoffs 86% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to UMass missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (67)UMass opponents lose (SOS related)
UMass Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Clemson (93) ACCACC 113 13 0 - - 100%
2 East Carolina (29) American AthleticAm. Athletic 105 13 0 - - 100%
3 W. Kentucky (1) Conference USAConf. USA 103 13 0 - - 100%
4 Oklahoma (132) SECSEC 98 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Duke (64) ACCACC 97 12 1 - - X
6 Purdue (117) Big 10Big 10 95 13 0 - - X
7 Kansas (57) Big 12Big 12 94 13 0 - - X
8 Alabama (126) SECSEC 90 10 3 - - X
9 Arizona (12) Big 12Big 12 90 12 1 - - X
10 Ohio (21) MACMAC 88 12 1 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot