PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

UMass Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Winout

If it wins its remaining games, UMass makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 60% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it wins its remaining games, UMass makes the playoffs 60% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to UMass making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (67)UMass opponents win (SOS related)
UMass Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 UMass (67) NCAA IndependentsInd. 110 12 0 - - 100%
2 Mississippi St.Miss. St. (114) SECSEC 97 11 2 - - 100%
3 Troy (41) SunbeltSunbelt 95 12 1 - - 100%
4 Kansas St. (38) Big 12Big 12 94 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 TCU (22) Big 12Big 12 91 12 1 - - X
6 Nevada (43) Mountain WestMntn West 90 12 2 - - X
7 Toledo (26) MACMAC 89 10 3 - - X
8 Vanderbilt (96) SECSEC 89 11 2 - - X
9 Colorado St. (55) Mountain WestMntn West 85 10 2 - - X
10 NorthwesternN. Western (107) Big 10Big 10 82 10 3 - - X




If it wins its remaining games, UMass misses the playoffs 40% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to UMass missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (67)UMass opponents lose (SOS related)
UMass Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Boston College (89) ACCACC 94 12 1 - - 100%
2 South Carolina (104) SECSEC 93 11 2 - - 100%
3 San José State (68) Mountain WestMntn West 90 13 0 - - 100%
4 Clemson (93) ACCACC 89 11 1 - - 100%
 
5 Florida St. (97) ACCACC 89 9 3 - - X
6 Florida Atlantic (63) American AthleticAm. Athletic 88 12 1 - - X
7 Miami (81) ACCACC 87 10 3 - - X
8 UMass (67) NCAA IndependentsInd. 86 12 0 - - X
9 Old Dominion (51) SunbeltSunbelt 84 11 2 - - X
10 North Carolina (92) ACCACC 84 10 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot