Based upon current play, Virginia makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 3% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
Based upon current play, Virginia makes the playoffs 3% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Virginia making the playoffs.
(78)Virginia wins 12 or more games
(78)Virginia plays in the ACC Championship Game
(78)Virginia opponents win (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | San Diego State (49) | Mountain WestMntn West | 110 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Virginia (78) | ACCACC | 99 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | New Mexico St. (13) | Conference USAConf. USA | 96 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Oregon St. (85) | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 95 | 10 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Utah (53) | Big 12Big 12 | 93 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Colorado St. (55) | Mountain WestMntn West | 92 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Rice (19) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 89 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Louisiana Tech (4) | Conference USAConf. USA | 86 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Troy (41) | SunbeltSunbelt | 86 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Ga. Southern (8) | SunbeltSunbelt | 85 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
Based upon current play, Virginia misses the playoffs 97% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Virginia missing the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 102 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | LA Monroe (88) | SunbeltSunbelt | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Oklahoma St. (39) | Big 12Big 12 | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Utah St. (65) | Mountain WestMntn West | 88 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Texas Tech (61) | Big 12Big 12 | 87 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 6 | UTEP (11) | Conference USAConf. USA | 86 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 7 | W. Kentucky (1) | Conference USAConf. USA | 84 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 8 | East Carolina (29) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Virginia Tech (98) | ACCACC | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Tennessee (115) | SECSEC | 82 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |