The Most Important Games for the Commanders are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Commanders final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Commanders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Commanders Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Commanders (1‑1) vs Raiders (1‑0) |
18 | Commanders Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 58% | ||
| Raiders Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Browns (0‑2) vs Packers (2‑0) |
3 | Browns Wins | 2% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 58% | ||
| Packers Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 59% | ||
| Bengals (2‑0) vs Vikings (1‑1) |
2 | Bengals Wins | 2% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 58% | ||
| Vikings Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 59% | ||
| Texans (0‑1) vs Buccaneers (1‑0) |
2 | Texans Wins | 2% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 58% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 58% | ||
| Ravens (1‑1) vs Lions (1‑1) |
2 | Ravens Wins | 2% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 58% | ||
| Lions Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 59% | ||
| Giants (0‑2) vs Chiefs (0‑2) |
1 | Giants Wins | 2% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 58% | ||
| Chiefs Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 59% | ||
| Panthers (0‑2) vs Falcons (1‑1) |
1 | Panthers Wins | 2% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 58% | ||
| Falcons Wins | 2% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 58% | ||
| Rams (2‑0) vs Eagles (2‑0) |
1 | Rams Wins | 2% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 58% | ||
| Eagles Wins | 3% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 58% | ||
| Jets (0‑2) vs Buccaneers (1‑0) |
1 | Jets Wins | 2% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 58% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 58% | ||
| Cardinals (2‑0) vs Forty-Niners49ers (2‑0) |
1 | Cardinals Wins | 2% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 58% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 59% | ||
| Bears (0‑2) vs Cowboys (1‑1) |
1 | Bears Wins | 2% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 58% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | 2% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 58% | ||
| Seahawks (1‑1) vs Saints (0‑2) |
0 | Seahawks Wins | 2% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 58% | ||
| Saints Wins | 2% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 58% | ||