The Most Important Games for the Commanders are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Commanders final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Commanders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Commanders Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Commanders (3‑7) vs Dolphins (3‑7) |
1 | Commanders Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Lions (6‑3) vs Eagles (7‑2) |
1 | Lions Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Eagles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Giants (2‑8) vs Packers (5‑3‑1) |
0 | Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Packers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Bears (6‑3) vs Vikings (4‑5) |
0 | Bears Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Vikings Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Raiders (2‑7) vs Cowboys (3‑5‑1) |
0 | Raiders Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Falcons (3‑6) vs Panthers (5‑5) |
0 | Falcons Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Panthers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Bills (6‑3) vs Buccaneers (6‑3) |
0 | Bills Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Cardinals (3‑6) vs Forty-Niners49ers (6‑4) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Rams (7‑2) vs Seahawks (7‑2) |
0 | Rams Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||