The Most Important Games for the Commanders are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Commanders final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Commanders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Commanders Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Commanders (8‑5) vs Saints (5‑8) |
30 | Commanders Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 28% | 50% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 20% | 45% | 33% | ||
| Saints Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 44% | 46% | ||
| Raiders (2‑11) vs Falcons (6‑7) |
7 | Raiders Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 21% | 51% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 20% | 45% | 33% | ||
| Falcons Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 20% | 44% | 34% | ||
| Chargers (8‑5) vs Buccaneers (7‑6) |
4 | Chargers Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | X | 1% | 20% | 47% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 20% | 45% | 33% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 20% | 44% | 35% | ||
| Packers (9‑4) vs Seahawks (8‑5) |
2 | Packers Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | X | <1% | 12% | 56% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 20% | 45% | 33% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 30% | 34% | 34% | ||
| Patriots (3‑10) vs Cardinals (6‑7) |
2 | Patriots Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 20% | 47% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 20% | 45% | 33% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 20% | 46% | 33% | ||
| Steelers (10‑3) vs Eagles (11‑2) |
1 | Steelers Wins | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 19% | 45% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 20% | 45% | 33% | ||
| Eagles Wins | <1% | <1% | X | X | 1% | 21% | 46% | 32% | ||
| Panthers (3‑10) vs Cowboys (5‑8) |
1 | Panthers Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 20% | 46% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 20% | 45% | 33% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 20% | 45% | 33% | ||
| Forty-Niners49'ers (6‑7) vs Rams (7‑6) |
1 | Forty-Niners49'ers Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 21% | 46% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 20% | 45% | 33% | ||
| Rams Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 20% | 46% | 33% | ||
| Bears (4‑9) vs Vikings (11‑2) |
1 | Bears Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 21% | 43% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 20% | 45% | 33% | ||
| Vikings Wins | X | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 20% | 46% | 33% | ||
| Bills (10‑3) vs Lions (12‑1) |
1 | Bills Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 21% | 46% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 20% | 45% | 33% | ||
| Lions Wins | X | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 20% | 46% | 33% | ||
| Giants (2‑11) vs Ravens (8‑5) |
0 | Giants Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 20% | 45% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 20% | 45% | 33% | ||
| Ravens Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 20% | 45% | 33% | ||