The Most Important Games for the Commanders are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Commanders final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Commanders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Commanders Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Forty-Niners49ers (7‑1) vs Cowboys (4‑5) |
6 | Forty-Niners49ers Wins | <1% | <1% | 9% | 7% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 9% | 6% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 83% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | <1% | <1% | 8% | 5% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 86% | ||
| Saints (3‑5) vs Panthers (3‑5) |
2 | Saints Wins | <1% | <1% | 9% | 6% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 9% | 6% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 83% | ||
| Panthers Wins | <1% | <1% | 9% | 6% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 83% | ||
| Rams (5‑4) vs Cardinals (3‑6) |
1 | Rams Wins | <1% | <1% | 9% | 6% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 9% | 6% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 83% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | 8% | 6% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 83% | ||
| Patriots (5‑4) vs Lions (6‑2) |
1 | Patriots Wins | <1% | <1% | 9% | 7% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 9% | 6% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 83% | ||
| Lions Wins | <1% | <1% | 8% | 7% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 83% | ||
| Raiders (4‑5) vs Seahawks (5‑4) |
1 | Raiders Wins | <1% | <1% | 9% | 7% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 9% | 6% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 83% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | <1% | <1% | 9% | 7% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 83% | ||
| Falcons (3‑6) vs Chiefs (6‑2) |
0 | Falcons Wins | <1% | <1% | 8% | 7% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 9% | 6% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 83% | ||
| Chiefs Wins | <1% | <1% | 9% | 7% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 83% | ||
| Vikings (6‑2) vs Packers (6‑3) |
0 | Vikings Wins | <1% | <1% | 9% | 7% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 9% | 6% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 83% | ||
| Packers Wins | <1% | <1% | 8% | 7% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 83% | ||