The Most Important Games for the Commanders are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Commanders final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Commanders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Commanders Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Buccaneers (7‑6) vs Falcons (4‑9) |
0 | Buccaneers Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Falcons Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Bears (9‑4) vs Browns (3‑10) |
0 | Bears Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Browns Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Eagles (8‑5) vs Raiders (2‑11) |
0 | Eagles Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Raiders Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Commanders (3‑10) vs Giants (2‑11) |
0 | Commanders Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Giants Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Texans (8‑5) vs Cardinals (3‑10) |
0 | Texans Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Broncos (11‑2) vs Packers (9‑3‑1) |
0 | Broncos Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Packers Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers (9‑4) vs Titans (2‑11) |
0 | Forty-Niners49ers Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Titans Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Rams (10‑3) vs Lions (8‑5) |
0 | Rams Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Lions Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Saints (3‑10) vs Panthers (7‑6) |
0 | Saints Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Panthers Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Seahawks (10‑3) vs Colts (8‑5) |
0 | Seahawks Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Colts Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Cowboys (6‑6‑1) vs Vikings (5‑8) |
0 | Cowboys Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Vikings Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||