The Most Important Games for the Commanders are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Commanders final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Commanders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Commanders Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Commanders (2‑1) vs Eagles (3‑0) |
36 | Commanders Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Eagles Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 58% | ||
| Jaguars (1‑2) vs Falcons (2‑1) |
3 | Jaguars Wins | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Falcons Wins | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Patriots (1‑2) vs Cowboys (2‑1) |
2 | Patriots Wins | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Panthers (0‑3) vs Vikings (0‑3) |
1 | Panthers Wins | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Vikings Wins | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 55% | ||
| Buccaneers (2‑1) vs Saints (2‑1) |
1 | Buccaneers Wins | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Saints Wins | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Seahawks (2‑1) vs Giants (1‑2) |
1 | Seahawks Wins | 5% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Giants Wins | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Rams (1‑2) vs Colts (2‑1) |
0 | Rams Wins | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Colts Wins | 5% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Bears (0‑3) vs Broncos (0‑3) |
0 | Bears Wins | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 54% | ||
| Cardinals (1‑2) vs Forty-Niners49'ers (3‑0) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Forty-Niners49'ers Wins | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 54% | ||