The Most Important Games for the Commanders are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Commanders final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Commanders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Commanders Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Cowboys (4‑5‑1) vs Eagles (8‑2) |
0 | Cowboys Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Eagles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Seahawks (7‑3) vs Titans (1‑9) |
0 | Seahawks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Titans Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Giants (2‑9) vs Lions (6‑4) |
0 | Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Lions Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Steelers (6‑4) vs Bears (7‑3) |
0 | Steelers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Bears Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Vikings (4‑6) vs Packers (6‑3‑1) |
0 | Vikings Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Packers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Cardinals (3‑7) vs Jaguars (6‑4) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers (7‑4) vs Panthers (6‑5) |
0 | Forty-Niners49ers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Panthers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Saints (2‑8) vs Falcons (3‑7) |
0 | Saints Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Falcons Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Rams (8‑2) vs Buccaneers (6‑4) |
0 | Rams Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||