PlayoffStatus.com

Mon Sep 30 11:45 pm

NFL - Week 5 of 18

NFL Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The NFL Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NFL Post Season Probabilities
Record Super Bowl Winner Super Bowl Conference Championship Conf Game Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference Conf W L T
Vikings NFC 4 0 0 14% 24% 39% 62% 89%
Chiefs AFC 4 0 0 13% 24% 40% 62% 88%
Steelers AFC 3 1 0 7% 15% 27% 48% 74%
Texans AFC 3 1 0 7% 14% 27% 48% 75%
Buccaneers NFC 3 1 0 7% 13% 25% 44% 69%
Seahawks NFC 3 1 0 6% 11% 22% 41% 66%
Commanders NFC 3 1 0 5% 11% 22% 40% 67%
Bills AFC 3 1 0 5% 10% 20% 39% 64%
Lions NFC 3 1 0 5% 10% 18% 35% 60%
Broncos AFC 2 2 0 3% 7% 14% 28% 50%
Ravens AFC 2 2 0 3% 7% 14% 28% 49%
Colts AFC 2 2 0 3% 6% 13% 28% 51%
Falcons NFC 2 2 0 3% 5% 12% 24% 43%
Eagles NFC 2 2 0 2% 5% 11% 25% 48%
Chargers AFC 2 2 0 2% 5% 11% 25% 47%
Jets AFC 2 2 0 2% 4% 10% 23% 44%
Forty-Niners49'ers NFC 2 2 0 2% 4% 9% 21% 39%
Packers NFC 2 2 0 2% 4% 8% 20% 39%
Raiders AFC 2 2 0 1% 4% 8% 19% 38%
Saints NFC 2 2 0 1% 3% 8% 19% 38%
Cowboys NFC 2 2 0 1% 3% 8% 18% 35%
Bears NFC 2 2 0 1% 3% 7% 17% 35%
Patriots AFC 1 3 0 1% 2% 5% 14% 30%
Bengals AFC 1 3 0 <1% 1% 4% 11% 24%
Dolphins AFC 1 3 0 <1% 1% 3% 9% 21%
Titans AFC 1 3 0 <1% 1% 3% 9% 21%
Cardinals NFC 1 3 0 <1% 1% 3% 9% 20%
Rams NFC 1 3 0 <1% 1% 3% 9% 20%
Giants NFC 1 3 0 <1% 1% 3% 8% 18%
Browns AFC 1 3 0 <1% 1% 2% 6% 16%
Panthers NFC 1 3 0 <1% 1% 2% 6% 15%
Jaguars AFC 0 4 0 <1% <1% <1% 2% 6%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot