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Thu Sep 24 11:30 pm

NFL - Week 3 of 18

NFL Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The NFL Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NFL Post Season Probabilities
Record Super Bowl Winner Super Bowl Conference Championship Conf Game Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference Conf W L T
Vikings NFC 2 0 0 9% 17% 29% 47% 72%
Bills AFC 2 0 0 9% 16% 28% 46% 70%
Seahawks NFC 2 0 0 9% 16% 27% 44% 66%
Chiefs AFC 2 0 0 8% 14% 25% 42% 65%
Forty-Niners49ers NFC 2 0 0 8% 14% 24% 41% 62%
Bengals AFC 2 0 0 7% 14% 26% 45% 69%
Raiders AFC 2 0 0 7% 13% 23% 40% 63%
Eagles NFC 2 0 0 7% 12% 23% 41% 64%
Patriots AFC 1 1 0 3% 7% 13% 27% 47%
Jaguars AFC 1 1 0 3% 6% 14% 30% 54%
Broncos AFC 1 1 0 3% 6% 13% 26% 45%
Lions NFC 1 1 0 3% 6% 12% 26% 46%
Bears NFC 1 1 0 3% 5% 11% 23% 43%
Saints NFC 1 1 0 2% 5% 12% 27% 48%
Steelers AFC 1 1 0 2% 5% 11% 24% 44%
Browns AFC 1 1 0 2% 5% 10% 23% 44%
Giants NFC 1 1 0 2% 4% 10% 23% 43%
Panthers NFC 1 1 0 2% 4% 10% 23% 42%
Ravens AFC 1 1 0 2% 4% 10% 22% 43%
Rams NFC 1 1 0 2% 4% 9% 20% 38%
Jets AFC 1 1 0 2% 4% 9% 20% 37%
Cardinals NFC 1 1 0 2% 3% 8% 18% 35%
Cowboys NFC 1 1 0 1% 3% 8% 20% 39%
Falcons NFC 1 2 0 1% 2% 6% 16% 32%
Packers NFC 1 2 0 1% 2% 6% 14% 30%
Dolphins AFC 0 2 0 1% 2% 4% 11% 24%
Texans AFC 0 2 0 <1% 1% 4% 14% 29%
Colts AFC 0 2 0 <1% 1% 4% 12% 26%
Titans AFC 0 2 0 <1% 1% 3% 11% 24%
Buccaneers NFC 0 2 0 <1% 1% 3% 10% 22%
Commanders NFC 0 2 0 <1% 1% 2% 7% 18%
Chargers AFC 0 2 0 <1% 1% 2% 7% 16%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot