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NFL Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The NFL Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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NFL Post Season Probabilities

  Record  Super Bowl Winner Super Bowl Conference Championship Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference W L T
Patriots AFC 12 4 0 50% 100% ^ ^ ^
Seahawks NFC 12 4 0 50% 100% ^ ^ ^
Packers NFC 12 4 0 X X 100% ^ ^
Colts AFC 11 5 0 X X 100% ^ ^
Broncos AFC 12 4 0 X X X 100% ^
Cowboys NFC 12 4 0 X X X 100% ^
Ravens AFC 10 6 0 X X X 100% ^
Panthers NFC 7 8 1 X X X 100% ^
Cardinals NFC 11 5 0 X X X X 100%
Lions NFC 11 5 0 X X X X 100%
Steelers AFC 11 5 0 X X X X 100%
Bengals AFC 10 5 1 X X X X 100%
Eagles NFC 10 6 0 X X X X X
Bills AFC 9 7 0 X X X X X
Chargers AFC 9 7 0 X X X X X
Chiefs AFC 9 7 0 X X X X X
Texans AFC 9 7 0 X X X X X
Dolphins AFC 8 8 0 X X X X X
Forty-Niners NFC 8 8 0 X X X X X
Browns AFC 7 9 0 X X X X X
Saints NFC 7 9 0 X X X X X
Vikings NFC 7 9 0 X X X X X
Falcons NFC 6 10 0 X X X X X
Giants NFC 6 10 0 X X X X X
Rams NFC 6 10 0 X X X X X
Bears NFC 5 11 0 X X X X X
Jets AFC 4 12 0 X X X X X
Redskins NFC 4 12 0 X X X X X
Jaguars AFC 3 13 0 X X X X X
Raiders AFC 3 13 0 X X X X X
Buccaneers NFC 2 14 0 X X X X X
Titans AFC 2 14 0 X X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot