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NFL Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The NFL Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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NFL Post Season Probabilities

  Record  Super Bowl Winner Super Bowl Conference Championship Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference W L T
Bengals AFC 2 0 0 11% 19% 32% 53% 69%
Bills AFC 2 0 0 11% 18% 30% 50% 66%
Cardinals NFC 2 0 0 9% 16% 28% 47% 63%
Texans AFC 2 0 0 9% 15% 29% 50% 67%
Panthers NFC 2 0 0 8% 17% 29% 50% 68%
Eagles NFC 2 0 0 7% 14% 25% 43% 58%
Broncos AFC 2 0 0 6% 12% 23% 42% 60%
Falcons NFC 2 1 0 3% 7% 14% 30% 47%
Bears NFC 1 1 0 3% 7% 14% 29% 43%
Chargers AFC 1 1 0 3% 6% 13% 28% 45%
Dolphins AFC 1 1 0 3% 5% 12% 25% 39%
Redskins NFC 1 1 0 2% 5% 12% 25% 39%
Vikings NFC 1 1 0 2% 5% 12% 25% 38%
Cowboys NFC 1 1 0 2% 5% 11% 24% 37%
Forty-Niners NFC 1 1 0 2% 5% 11% 23% 36%
Patriots AFC 1 1 0 2% 5% 11% 23% 35%
Seahawks NFC 1 1 0 2% 5% 10% 23% 35%
Lions NFC 1 1 0 2% 5% 10% 22% 35%
Packers NFC 1 1 0 2% 5% 10% 22% 35%
Ravens AFC 1 1 0 2% 4% 10% 22% 36%
Steelers AFC 1 1 0 2% 4% 9% 21% 33%
Rams NFC 1 1 0 2% 4% 8% 19% 31%
Titans AFC 1 1 0 1% 3% 8% 20% 34%
Jets AFC 1 1 0 1% 3% 7% 18% 29%
Browns AFC 1 1 0 1% 3% 7% 16% 27%
Colts AFC 0 2 0 <1% 1% 3% 10% 18%
Jaguars AFC 0 2 0 <1% 1% 3% 9% 17%
Raiders AFC 0 2 0 <1% 1% 2% 7% 14%
Chiefs AFC 0 2 0 <1% 1% 2% 7% 13%
Giants NFC 0 2 0 <1% 1% 2% 7% 13%
Saints NFC 0 2 0 <1% 1% 2% 7% 13%
Buccaneers NFC 0 3 0 <1% <1% 1% 4% 8%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot