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NFL Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The NFL Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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NFL Post Season Probabilities

  Record  Super Bowl Winner Super Bowl Conference Championship Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference W L T
Titans AFC 5 0 0 14% 27% 49% 81% 95%
Giants NFC 4 0 0 13% 25% 39% 64% 80%
Redskins NFC 4 1 0 8% 15% 27% 51% 74%
Steelers AFC 4 1 0 7% 13% 27% 54% 80%
Bills AFC 4 1 0 7% 13% 25% 47% 68%
Broncos AFC 4 1 0 7% 13% 27% 52% 75%
Patriots AFC 3 1 0 7% 12% 22% 40% 57%
Cowboys NFC 4 1 0 6% 12% 21% 39% 58%
Cardinals NFC 3 2 0 4% 8% 19% 41% 65%
Falcons NFC 3 2 0 4% 8% 17% 31% 43%
Buccaneers NFC 3 2 0 3% 8% 17% 32% 44%
Panthers NFC 3 2 0 3% 7% 15% 27% 37%
Saints NFC 2 2 0 3% 6% 13% 25% 34%
Dolphins AFC 2 2 0 2% 5% 10% 21% 35%
Ravens AFC 2 2 0 2% 4% 9% 22% 37%
Jets AFC 2 2 0 2% 4% 8% 19% 31%
Colts AFC 2 2 0 2% 4% 9% 19% 33%
Packers NFC 2 3 0 1% 3% 7% 19% 35%
Bears NFC 2 3 0 1% 3% 7% 20% 36%
Forty-Niners NFC 2 3 0 1% 2% 5% 14% 25%
Chargers AFC 2 3 0 1% 1% 4% 11% 21%
Chiefs AFC 2 3 0 1% 2% 4% 12% 22%
Jaguars AFC 2 3 0 1% 2% 4% 10% 21%
Seahawks NFC 1 3 0 <1% 1% 3% 9% 16%
Vikings NFC 1 3 0 <1% 1% 4% 11% 20%
Lions NFC 1 3 0 <1% 1% 3% 10% 18%
Eagles NFC 2 3 0 <1% 1% 2% 6% 11%
Raiders AFC 1 3 0 <1% 1% 2% 6% 12%
Browns AFC 1 3 0 <1% <1% 1% 5% 10%
Rams NFC 0 4 0 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Bengals AFC 0 5 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Texans AFC 0 4 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot

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