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NFL Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The NFL Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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NFL Post Season Probabilities

  Record  Super Bowl Winner Super Bowl Conference Championship Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference W L T
Patriots AFC 11 3 0 22% 41% 71% 99% 100%
Broncos AFC 11 3 0 21% 38% 71% 100% 100%
Cardinals NFC 11 3 0 18% 37% 58% 90% 100%
Seahawks NFC 10 4 0 9% 19% 35% 70% 94%
Packers NFC 10 4 0 8% 18% 42% 74% 92%
Lions NFC 10 4 0 5% 12% 29% 58% 90%
Cowboys NFC 10 4 0 4% 9% 22% 52% 84%
Colts AFC 10 4 0 4% 8% 20% 66% 100%
Bengals AFC 9 4 1 3% 5% 14% 44% 85%
Steelers AFC 9 5 0 1% 3% 10% 36% 78%
Ravens AFC 9 5 0 1% 3% 8% 31% 74%
Eagles NFC 9 5 0 1% 3% 8% 22% 40%
Saints NFC 6 8 0 <1% 1% 5% 23% 66%
Chiefs AFC 8 6 0 <1% 1% 3% 10% 26%
Chargers AFC 8 6 0 <1% 1% 2% 8% 19%
Falcons NFC 5 9 0 <1% <1% 1% 6% 19%
Panthers NFC 5 8 1 <1% <1% 1% 5% 15%
Bills AFC 8 6 0 <1% <1% 1% 4% 11%
Texans AFC 7 7 0 <1% <1% <1% 2% 8%
Dolphins AFC 7 7 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Browns AFC 7 7 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Forty-Niners NFC 7 7 0 X X X X X
Rams NFC 6 8 0 X X X X X
Vikings NFC 6 8 0 X X X X X
Bears NFC 5 9 0 X X X X X
Giants NFC 5 9 0 X X X X X
Jets AFC 3 11 0 X X X X X
Redskins NFC 3 11 0 X X X X X
Buccaneers NFC 2 12 0 X X X X X
Jaguars AFC 2 12 0 X X X X X
Raiders AFC 2 12 0 X X X X X
Titans AFC 2 12 0 X X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot