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NFL Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The NFL Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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NFL Post Season Probabilities

  Record  Super Bowl Winner Super Bowl Conference Championship Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference W L T
Cardinals NFC 9 2 0 22% 41% 63% 92% 98%
Patriots AFC 9 2 0 20% 38% 62% 93% 98%
Broncos AFC 8 3 0 11% 22% 43% 75% 92%
Eagles NFC 9 3 0 8% 17% 38% 72% 92%
Packers NFC 8 3 0 8% 17% 37% 69% 91%
Lions NFC 8 4 0 5% 10% 23% 52% 83%
Bengals AFC 7 3 1 4% 9% 21% 43% 66%
Seahawks NFC 8 4 0 4% 8% 17% 40% 63%
Colts AFC 7 4 0 3% 7% 19% 53% 92%
Chiefs AFC 7 4 0 3% 6% 13% 28% 50%
Ravens AFC 7 4 0 3% 5% 12% 30% 54%
Steelers AFC 7 4 0 2% 4% 11% 27% 47%
Cowboys NFC 8 4 0 2% 4% 10% 26% 50%
Chargers AFC 7 4 0 1% 3% 6% 14% 26%
Browns AFC 7 4 0 1% 2% 6% 15% 29%
Dolphins AFC 6 5 0 1% 2% 5% 14% 29%
Forty-Niners NFC 7 5 0 1% 2% 4% 12% 22%
Saints NFC 4 7 0 <1% 1% 3% 17% 45%
Panthers NFC 3 7 1 <1% 1% 2% 11% 30%
Texans AFC 5 6 0 <1% <1% 2% 6% 13%
Falcons NFC 4 7 0 <1% <1% 1% 9% 24%
Bills AFC 6 5 0 <1% <1% 1% 3% 6%
Bears NFC 5 7 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Rams NFC 4 7 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Vikings NFC 4 7 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Redskins NFC 3 8 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Buccaneers NFC 2 9 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Giants NFC 3 8 0 X X X X X
Jets AFC 2 9 0 X X X X X
Titans AFC 2 9 0 X X X X X
Jaguars AFC 1 10 0 X X X X X
Raiders AFC 1 10 0 X X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot