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Sat Oct 18 3:00 am

NHL - Week 2 of 28

Penguins What If?

The Penguins What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Penguins play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Penguins What If?

Next Game - Sharks (0‑2‑2)

  Resultant Record Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L OTLi
Overtime Loses
 Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Win Next Game 4 2 0 8 12% 14% 13% - - - 7% 6% 48%
Current Standings 3 2 0 6 12% 13% 13% - - - 6% 6% 49%
Lose Next Game 3 3 0 6 12% 13% 13% - - - 7% 6% 50%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L OTL Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
77 of 77 100% 80 2 0 160 100% ^ ^ - - - ^ ^ ^
70 of 77 91% 73 9 0 146 99% 1% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
67 of 77 87% 70 12 0 140 95% 5% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
66 of 77 86% 69 13 0 138 91% 9% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
65 of 77 84% 68 14 0 136 87% 13% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
64 of 77 83% 67 15 0 134 81% 18% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
63 of 77 82% 66 16 0 132 75% 23% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
62 of 77 81% 65 17 0 130 69% 28% 3% - - - <1% <1% <1%
61 of 77 79% 64 18 0 128 61% 34% 5% - - - <1% <1% <1%
60 of 77 78% 63 19 0 126 54% 38% 8% - - - 1% <1% <1%
59 of 77 77% 62 20 0 124 46% 43% 11% - - - 1% <1% <1%
58 of 77 75% 61 21 0 122 39% 45% 15% - - - 2% <1% <1%
57 of 77 74% 60 22 0 120 32% 45% 19% - - - 3% <1% <1%
56 of 77 73% 59 23 0 118 27% 45% 23% - - - 5% <1% <1%
55 of 77 71% 58 24 0 116 22% 44% 27% - - - 7% 1% <1%
54 of 77 70% 57 25 0 114 17% 41% 31% - - - 9% 1% <1%
53 of 77 69% 56 26 0 112 13% 39% 34% - - - 12% 2% <1%
52 of 77 68% 55 27 0 110 11% 35% 36% - - - 16% 3% <1%
51 of 77 66% 54 28 0 108 9% 31% 36% - - - 18% 5% <1%
50 of 77 65% 53 29 0 106 7% 28% 38% - - - 20% 7% 1%
49 of 77 64% 52 30 0 104 5% 25% 37% - - - 22% 9% 2%
48 of 77 62% 51 31 0 102 4% 21% 36% - - - 24% 13% 3%
47 of 77 61% 50 32 0 100 3% 18% 34% - - - 25% 15% 5%
46 of 77 60% 49 33 0 98 3% 15% 32% - - - 25% 18% 7%
45 of 77 58% 48 34 0 96 2% 12% 31% - - - 24% 21% 10%
44 of 77 57% 47 35 0 94 1% 11% 28% - - - 22% 23% 15%
43 of 77 56% 46 36 0 92 1% 9% 26% - - - 21% 25% 19%
42 of 77 55% 45 37 0 90 1% 8% 23% - - - 18% 25% 26%
41 of 77 53% 44 38 0 88 <1% 6% 21% - - - 16% 25% 31%
40 of 77 52% 43 39 0 86 <1% 5% 19% - - - 13% 24% 39%
39 of 77 51% 42 40 0 84 <1% 4% 17% - - - 11% 24% 45%
38 of 77 49% 41 41 0 82 <1% 3% 14% - - - 9% 21% 52%
37 of 77 48% 40 42 0 80 <1% 2% 12% - - - 7% 19% 59%
36 of 77 47% 39 43 0 78 <1% 2% 10% - - - 5% 17% 66%
35 of 77 45% 38 44 0 76 <1% 1% 8% - - - 3% 14% 73%
34 of 77 44% 37 45 0 74 <1% 1% 7% - - - 3% 11% 79%
33 of 77 43% 36 46 0 72 <1% 1% 6% - - - 2% 8% 84%
32 of 77 42% 35 47 0 70 <1% 1% 4% - - - 1% 6% 88%
31 of 77 40% 34 48 0 68 <1% <1% 3% - - - 1% 4% 92%
30 of 77 39% 33 49 0 66 <1% <1% 3% - - - <1% 3% 94%
20 of 77 26% 23 59 0 46 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
10 of 77 13% 13 69 0 26 X X <1% - - - X X >99%
0 of 77 0% 3 79 0 6 X X X - - - X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs