The Most Important Games for the Alabama Crimson Tide are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crimson Tide final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Alabama Crimson Tide fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Alabama Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Alabama (5‑3) vs Vanderbilt (4‑5) |
25 | Alabama Wins | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% | ||
| Vanderbilt Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | ||
| LSU (5‑4) vs Texas A&M (7‑3) |
1 | LSU Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% | ||
| Texas A&M Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% | ||
| Arkansas (6‑4) vs Auburn (6‑2) |
1 | Arkansas Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% | ||
| Auburn Wins | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% | ||
| Missouri (7‑2) vs Georgia (6‑4) |
0 | Missouri Wins | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% | ||
| Georgia Wins | 4% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | ||
| Tennessee (6‑3) vs Ole Miss (9‑0) |
0 | Tennessee Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% | ||
| Ole Miss Wins | 4% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% | ||
| Kentucky (7‑2) vs Florida (6‑3) |
0 | Kentucky Wins | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% | ||
| Florida Wins | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% | ||
| South Carolina (8‑1) vs Mississippi St.Miss. St. (7‑2) |
0 | South Carolina Wins | 4% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% | ||
| Mississippi St.Miss. St. Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% | ||