The Most Important Games for the Alabama Crimson Tide are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crimson Tide final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Alabama Crimson Tide fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Alabama Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| Alabama (2‑0) vs Mississippi St.Miss. St. (2‑0) |
22 | Alabama Wins | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Mississippi St.Miss. St. Wins | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | ||
| South Carolina (2‑0) vs LSU (2‑0) |
3 | South Carolina Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | ||
| LSU Wins | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Georgia (3‑0) vs Ole Miss (3‑0) |
2 | Georgia Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Ole Miss Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Auburn (1‑0) vs Texas A&M (2‑0) |
1 | Auburn Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Texas A&M Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Vanderbilt (3‑0) vs Tennessee (1‑0) |
1 | Vanderbilt Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Tennessee Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Arkansas (2‑1) vs Missouri (2‑1) |
1 | Arkansas Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Missouri Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Texas (2‑0) vs Florida (3‑0) |
0 | Texas Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Florida Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Oklahoma (1‑1) vs Kentucky (2‑1) |
0 | Oklahoma Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Kentucky Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | ||