The Most Important Games for the Alabama Crimson Tide are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crimson Tide final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Alabama Crimson Tide fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Alabama Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| Alabama (7‑2) vs Oklahoma (9‑0) |
40 | Alabama Wins | 11% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Oklahoma Wins | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | ||
| South Carolina (6‑3) vs Mississippi St.Miss. St. (8‑1) |
2 | South Carolina Wins | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Mississippi St.Miss. St. Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Missouri (8‑1) vs Auburn (8‑1) |
1 | Missouri Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Auburn Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Texas A&M (8‑2) vs Texas (7‑2) |
1 | Texas A&M Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Texas Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Ole Miss (8‑1) vs Georgia (8‑1) |
1 | Ole Miss Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Georgia Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Kentucky (9‑1) vs Florida (9‑0) |
1 | Kentucky Wins | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Florida Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Tennessee (9‑0) vs Arkansas (8‑2) |
0 | Tennessee Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Arkansas Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Vanderbilt (9‑1) vs LSU (8‑1) |
0 | Vanderbilt Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | ||
| LSU Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | ||