The Most Important Games for the Alabama Crimson Tide are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crimson Tide final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Alabama Crimson Tide fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Alabama Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Alabama (20‑3) vs Florida (13‑10) |
1 | Alabama Wins | 86% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 83% | 13% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Florida Wins | 71% | 21% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Vanderbilt (11‑12) vs Tennessee (19‑4) |
0 | Vanderbilt Wins | 89% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 83% | 13% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tennessee Wins | 81% | 15% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| LSU (12‑11) vs Mississippi St.Miss. St. (15‑8) |
0 | LSU Wins | 84% | 13% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 83% | 13% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Mississippi St.Miss. St. Wins | 84% | 13% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Arkansas (16‑7) vs Kentucky (16‑7) |
0 | Arkansas Wins | 83% | 13% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 83% | 13% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Kentucky Wins | 83% | 13% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ole Miss (9‑14) vs Georgia (14‑9) |
0 | Ole Miss Wins | 83% | 13% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 83% | 13% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Georgia Wins | 84% | 13% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas A&M (16‑7) vs Auburn (17‑6) |
0 | Texas A&M Wins | 83% | 13% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 83% | 13% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Auburn Wins | 84% | 12% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Carolina (8‑15) vs Missouri (17‑6) |
0 | South Carolina Wins | 84% | 13% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 83% | 13% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Missouri Wins | 83% | 13% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||