PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Jan 28 9:30 pm

SEC Basketball - Week 12 of 17

Alabama What If?

The Alabama Crimson Tide What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Alabama plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Alabama What If?

Next Game - Vanderbilt (10‑10)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L 1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4*
First and Second
Round Byes
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8**
First Round Bye
9**
First Round Bye
10**
First Round Bye
11 12 13 14
Win Next Game 9 0 72% 22% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 8 0 70% 23% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Lose Next Game 8 1 56% 31% 9% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4*
First and Second
Round Byes
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8**
First Round Bye
9**
First Round Bye
10**
First Round Bye
11 12 13 14
Current Standings 70% 23% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Best Case Scenario
None
Worst Case Scenario
None
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L 1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4*
First and Second
Round Byes
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8**
First Round Bye
9**
First Round Bye
10**
First Round Bye
11 12 13 14
10 of 10 100% 18 0 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
9 of 10 90% 17 1 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
8 of 10 80% 16 2 96% 4% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
7 of 10 70% 15 3 80% 20% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
6 of 10 60% 14 4 48% 46% 6% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 of 10 50% 13 5 14% 51% 29% 5% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
4 of 10 40% 12 6 1% 19% 42% 30% 8% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
3 of 10 30% 11 7 <1% 1% 13% 33% 35% 15% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
2 of 10 20% 10 8 <1% <1% 1% 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
1 of 10 10% 9 9 X X <1% <1% 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^
0 of 10 0% 8 10 X X X X <1% <1% 5% 21% 40% 29% 5% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament