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Tue Jan 21 5:30 pm

UEFA Champions League - Week 19 of 20

AC Milan Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for AC Milan are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. AC Milan fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

AC Milan Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
AC Milan Resultant Probabilities
Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
1*
Advancement to the
Knockout Round
2*
Advancement to the
Knockout Round
3
AC Milan
(4‑2)

vs
Girona
(1‑5)
56 AC Milan Wins X <1% 4%
Current Probabilities 14% 16% 10%
Girona Wins 7% 8% 8%
RB Leipzig
(0‑6)

vs
Sporting CP
(3‑2‑1)
4 RB Leipzig Wins X <1% 3%
Current Probabilities 10% 11% 8%
Sporting CP Wins 7% 8% 8%
Zagreb
(2‑2‑2)

vs
Arsenal
(4‑1‑1)
4 Zagreb Wins X <1% 5%
Current Probabilities 12% 11% 6%
Arsenal Wins 6% 8% 8%
Feyenoord
(3‑2‑1)

vs
Bayern Munich
(4‑2)
3 Feyenoord Wins X <1% 6%
Current Probabilities 13% 10% 6%
Bayern Munich Wins 7% 5% 5%
Shakhtar
(1‑4‑1)

vs
Brest
(4‑1‑1)
3 Shakhtar Wins X <1% 3%
Current Probabilities 10% 11% 8%
Brest Wins 7% 8% 8%
Salzburg
(1‑5)

vs
Real Madrid
(3‑3)
2 Salzburg Wins X <1% 3%
Current Probabilities 10% 12% 8%
Real Madrid Wins 7% 8% 10%
Sparta Prague
(1‑4‑1)

vs
Inter Milan
(4‑1‑1)
2 Sparta Prague Wins X <1% 7%
Current Probabilities 13% 9% 5%
Inter Milan Wins 6% 7% 8%
Young Boys
(0‑6)

vs
Celtic
(2‑1‑3)
0 Young Boys Wins X <1% 3%
Current Probabilities 10% 11% 8%
Celtic Wins 7% 8% 8%
Paris SG
(2‑3‑1)

vs
Manchester City
(2‑2‑2)
0 Paris SG Wins X <1% 3%
Current Probabilities 10% 11% 8%
Manchester City Wins 7% 8% 8%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this qualifing spot
  • X means the team cannot win this qualifing spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes advancement to the knockout round