The Most Important Games for Ajax are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Ajax fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Ajax Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qualifing Finish | Elimination | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
2* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
3* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
4* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
5* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
6* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
7* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
8* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | |||
| Ajax (0‑5) vs Qarabag (2‑2‑1) |
6 | Ajax Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Qarabag Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Arsenal (5‑0) vs Club Brugge (1‑3‑1) |
1 | Arsenal Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Club Brugge Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| GalatasarayGalatasary (3‑2) vs Monaco (1‑1‑3) |
1 | GalatasarayGalatasary Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Monaco Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Barcelona (2‑2‑1) vs Frankfurt (1‑3‑1) |
1 | Barcelona Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Frankfurt Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Villarreal (0‑4‑1) vs Copenhagen (1‑3‑1) |
1 | Villarreal Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Copenhagen Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose (2‑3) vs Marseille (2‑3) |
1 | St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Marseille Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Juventus (1‑1‑3) vs Pafos (1‑1‑3) |
0 | Juventus Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Pafos Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Atletico Madrid (3‑2) vs PSV Eindhoven (2‑1‑2) |
0 | Atletico Madrid Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| PSV Eindhoven Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 97% | ||
| Paris SG (4‑1) vs Athletic Bilbao (1‑3‑1) |
0 | Paris SG Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Athletic Bilbao Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Napoli (2‑2‑1) vs Benfica (1‑4) |
0 | Napoli Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Benfica Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 97% | ||
| Newcastle (3‑2) vs Leverkusen (2‑1‑2) |
0 | Newcastle Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Leverkusen Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 97% | ||
| Liverpool (3‑2) vs Inter Milan (4‑1) |
0 | Liverpool Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Inter Milan Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Tottenham (2‑1‑2) vs Slavia Prague (0‑2‑3) |
0 | Tottenham Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Slavia Prague Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 97% | ||
| Kairat (0‑4‑1) vs Olympiacos (0‑3‑2) |
0 | Kairat Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Olympiacos Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 97% | ||
| Dortmund (3‑1‑1) vs Bodo/Glimt (0‑3‑2) |
0 | Dortmund Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Bodo/Glimt Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Bayern Munich (4‑1) vs Sporting CP (3‑1‑1) |
0 | Bayern Munich Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Sporting CP Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Atalanta (3‑1‑1) vs Chelsea (3‑1‑1) |
0 | Atalanta Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Chelsea Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Real Madrid (4‑1) vs Manchester City (3‑1‑1) |
0 | Real Madrid Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Manchester City Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||