The Most Important Games for Arsenal are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Arsenal fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Arsenal Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qualifing Finish | Elimination | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
2* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
3* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
4* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
5* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
6* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
7* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
8* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | |||
| Arsenal (5‑0) vs Club Brugge (1‑3‑1) |
5 | Arsenal Wins | 58% | 24% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Club Brugge Wins | 11% | 15% | 16% | 20% | 17% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bodo/Glimt (0‑3‑2) vs Dortmund (3‑1‑1) |
1 | Bodo/Glimt Wins | 34% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Dortmund Wins | 33% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| PSV Eindhoven (2‑1‑2) vs Atletico Madrid (3‑2) |
1 | PSV Eindhoven Wins | 33% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Atletico Madrid Wins | 34% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Newcastle (3‑2) vs Leverkusen (2‑1‑2) |
0 | Newcastle Wins | 33% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Leverkusen Wins | 34% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Frankfurt (1‑3‑1) vs Barcelona (2‑2‑1) |
0 | Frankfurt Wins | 34% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Barcelona Wins | 33% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Slavia Prague (0‑2‑3) vs Tottenham (2‑1‑2) |
0 | Slavia Prague Wins | 33% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tottenham Wins | 33% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Inter Milan (4‑1) vs Liverpool (3‑2) |
0 | Inter Milan Wins | 32% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Liverpool Wins | 35% | 22% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bayern Munich (4‑1) vs Sporting CP (3‑1‑1) |
0 | Bayern Munich Wins | 31% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Sporting CP Wins | 40% | 21% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Pafos (1‑1‑3) vs Juventus (1‑1‑3) |
0 | Pafos Wins | 33% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Juventus Wins | 33% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Athletic Bilbao (1‑3‑1) vs Paris SG (4‑1) |
0 | Athletic Bilbao Wins | 41% | 20% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Paris SG Wins | 31% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Marseille (2‑3) vs St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose (2‑3) |
0 | Marseille Wins | 33% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose Wins | 34% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Real Madrid (4‑1) vs Manchester City (3‑1‑1) |
0 | Real Madrid Wins | 32% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Manchester City Wins | 35% | 21% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Benfica (1‑4) vs Napoli (2‑2‑1) |
0 | Benfica Wins | 34% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Napoli Wins | 33% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| GalatasarayGalatasary (3‑2) vs Monaco (1‑1‑3) |
0 | GalatasarayGalatasary Wins | 34% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Monaco Wins | 33% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Chelsea (3‑1‑1) vs Atalanta (3‑1‑1) |
0 | Chelsea Wins | 33% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Atalanta Wins | 34% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ajax (0‑5) vs Qarabag (2‑2‑1) |
0 | Ajax Wins | 34% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Qarabag Wins | 34% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Kairat (0‑4‑1) vs Olympiacos (0‑3‑2) |
0 | Kairat Wins | 34% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Olympiacos Wins | 34% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Villarreal (0‑4‑1) vs Copenhagen (1‑3‑1) |
0 | Villarreal Wins | 34% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Copenhagen Wins | 34% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||