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Thu Dec 12 11:45 am

UEFA Champions League - Week 19 of 20

Arsenal Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for Arsenal are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Arsenal fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Arsenal Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Arsenal Resultant Probabilities
Qualifing Finish Elimination
1*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 2*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 3*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 4*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 5*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 6*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 7*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 8*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Arsenal
(4‑1‑1)
vs
Zagreb
(2‑2‑2)		 43 Arsenal Wins 3% 31% 24% 7% 8% 10% 10% 5% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities 1% 18% 15% 7% 9% 12% 11% 7% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Zagreb Wins X <1% <1% 1% 7% 15% 18% 13% 6% 3% 3% 5% 7% 7% 6% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Monaco
(3‑2‑1)
vs
Aston Villa
(4‑1‑1)		 4 Monaco Wins 1% 18% 14% 7% 10% 14% 12% 6% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 18% 15% 7% 9% 12% 11% 7% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Aston Villa Wins 1% 18% 14% 5% 7% 12% 12% 9% 4% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Liverpool
(6‑0)
vs
Lille
(4‑1‑1)		 4 Liverpool Wins X 19% 16% 7% 10% 13% 12% 6% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 18% 15% 7% 9% 12% 11% 7% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Lille Wins 8% 17% 10% 4% 7% 11% 12% 9% 5% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Bologna
(0‑4‑2)
vs
Dortmund
(4‑2)		 3 Bologna Wins 2% 19% 15% 9% 12% 14% 9% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 18% 15% 7% 9% 12% 11% 7% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Dortmund Wins 1% 19% 15% 5% 9% 13% 12% 8% 4% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Sparta Prague
(1‑4‑1)
vs
Inter Milan
(4‑1‑1)		 3 Sparta Prague Wins 2% 20% 15% 8% 13% 13% 8% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 18% 15% 7% 9% 12% 11% 7% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Inter Milan Wins 1% 18% 14% 6% 9% 13% 12% 8% 4% 3% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Feyenoord
(3‑2‑1)
vs
Bayern Munich
(4‑2)		 3 Feyenoord Wins 1% 18% 16% 9% 13% 14% 9% 4% 2% 1% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 18% 15% 7% 9% 12% 11% 7% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Bayern Munich Wins 1% 18% 14% 5% 7% 13% 13% 9% 4% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Girona
(1‑5)
vs
AC Milan
(4‑2)		 3 Girona Wins 1% 19% 15% 8% 11% 13% 10% 6% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities 1% 18% 15% 7% 9% 12% 11% 7% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
AC Milan Wins 1% 18% 14% 6% 9% 12% 11% 7% 4% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Club Brugge
(3‑2‑1)
vs
Juventus
(3‑1‑2)		 3 Club Brugge Wins 2% 18% 15% 7% 10% 13% 12% 7% 3% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 18% 15% 7% 9% 12% 11% 7% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Juventus Wins 1% 18% 15% 7% 8% 11% 11% 8% 5% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Benfica
(3‑2‑1)
vs
Barcelona
(5‑1)		 2 Benfica Wins 2% 27% 7% 6% 10% 12% 11% 7% 3% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 18% 15% 7% 9% 12% 11% 7% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Barcelona Wins 1% 10% 21% 8% 9% 13% 12% 8% 4% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Sturm Graz
(1‑5)
vs
Atalanta
(3‑1‑2)		 2 Sturm Graz Wins 1% 18% 16% 7% 11% 12% 11% 6% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 18% 15% 7% 9% 12% 11% 7% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Atalanta Wins 1% 18% 15% 7% 9% 13% 11% 7% 4% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Celtic
(2‑1‑3)
vs
Young Boys
(0‑6)		 1 Celtic Wins 1% 18% 15% 7% 9% 13% 11% 7% 3% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 18% 15% 7% 9% 12% 11% 7% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Young Boys Wins 1% 17% 14% 7% 10% 13% 11% 7% 4% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Manchester City
(2‑2‑2)
vs
Paris SG
(2‑3‑1)		 1 Manchester City Wins 1% 19% 15% 7% 9% 12% 11% 7% 3% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 18% 15% 7% 9% 12% 11% 7% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Paris SG Wins 1% 19% 15% 7% 9% 12% 11% 7% 4% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
PSV Eindhoven
(2‑2‑2)
vs
RS Belgrade
(1‑5)		 1 PSV Eindhoven Wins 1% 19% 14% 6% 10% 12% 12% 7% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 18% 15% 7% 9% 12% 11% 7% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
RS Belgrade Wins 1% 19% 15% 7% 9% 13% 11% 7% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Real Madrid
(3‑3)
vs
Salzburg
(1‑5)		 1 Real Madrid Wins 1% 19% 14% 7% 9% 13% 12% 7% 4% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 18% 15% 7% 9% 12% 11% 7% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Salzburg Wins 1% 18% 15% 7% 9% 12% 11% 7% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
RB Leipzig
(0‑6)
vs
Sporting CP
(3‑2‑1)		 1 RB Leipzig Wins 1% 19% 14% 7% 9% 12% 11% 7% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 18% 15% 7% 9% 12% 11% 7% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Sporting CP Wins 1% 18% 15% 6% 9% 13% 11% 7% 3% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Shakhtar
(1‑4‑1)
vs
Brest
(4‑1‑1)		 0 Shakhtar Wins 1% 18% 14% 7% 9% 13% 12% 7% 4% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 18% 15% 7% 9% 12% 11% 7% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brest Wins 1% 19% 15% 6% 9% 12% 11% 7% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Leverkusen
(4‑1‑1)
vs
Atletico Madrid
(4‑2)		 0 Leverkusen Wins 1% 16% 15% 7% 9% 12% 13% 8% 4% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 18% 15% 7% 9% 12% 11% 7% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Atletico Madrid Wins 2% 19% 14% 6% 10% 12% 11% 7% 4% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Stuttgart
(2‑3‑1)
vs
Slovan
(0‑6)		 0 Stuttgart Wins 2% 18% 15% 6% 9% 12% 12% 7% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 18% 15% 7% 9% 12% 11% 7% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Slovan Wins 1% 18% 15% 7% 10% 12% 11% 7% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this qualifing spot
  • X means the team cannot win this qualifing spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the knockout round