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Wed Jan 21 5:45 pm

UEFA Champions League - Week 20 of 20

Barcelona Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for Barcelona are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Barcelona fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Barcelona Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Barcelona Resultant Probabilities
Qualifing Finish Elimination
1*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
2*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
3*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
4*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
5*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
6*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
7*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
8*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Barcelona
(4‑2‑1)

vs
Copenhagen
(2‑3‑2)
94 Barcelona Wins X X <1% 4% 18% 33% 26% 13% 5% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 3% 13% 25% 19% 10% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Copenhagen Wins X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 27% 38% 22% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Frankfurt
(1‑5‑1)

vs
Tottenham
(4‑1‑2)
8 Frankfurt Wins X X <1% 4% 16% 27% 17% 8% 3% 3% 4% 5% 5% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 3% 13% 25% 19% 10% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Tottenham Wins X X X <1% 4% 16% 27% 17% 8% 4% 4% 5% 6% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Napoli
(2‑3‑2)

vs
Chelsea
(4‑2‑1)
6 Napoli Wins X X <1% 3% 15% 28% 19% 7% 3% 4% 5% 5% 5% 4% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 3% 13% 25% 19% 10% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Chelsea Wins X X <1% 2% 11% 21% 20% 13% 6% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Benfica
(2‑5)

vs
Real Madrid
(5‑2)
5 Benfica Wins X X 1% 7% 26% 23% 12% 5% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 5% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 3% 13% 25% 19% 10% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Real Madrid Wins X X X <1% 7% 26% 23% 12% 5% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
GalatasarayGalatasary
(3‑3‑1)

vs
Manchester City
(4‑2‑1)
4 GalatasarayGalatasary Wins X X <1% 3% 16% 29% 18% 7% 3% 4% 5% 6% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 3% 13% 25% 19% 10% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Manchester City Wins X X <1% 3% 13% 24% 19% 11% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 3% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Qarabag
(3‑3‑1)

vs
Liverpool
(5‑2)
4 Qarabag Wins X X 1% 11% 25% 21% 10% 4% 2% 2% 4% 5% 6% 5% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 3% 13% 25% 19% 10% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Liverpool Wins X X X 1% 11% 25% 20% 11% 5% 3% 4% 6% 6% 5% 3% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Athletic Bilbao
(2‑3‑2)

vs
Sporting CP
(4‑2‑1)
4 Athletic Bilbao Wins X X <1% 3% 15% 27% 19% 8% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 4% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 3% 13% 25% 19% 10% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Sporting CP Wins X X <1% 3% 12% 23% 19% 11% 5% 2% 4% 6% 6% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Bodo/Glimt
(1‑3‑3)

vs
Atletico Madrid
(4‑2‑1)
3 Bodo/Glimt Wins X X <1% 3% 14% 25% 20% 9% 4% 4% 5% 6% 6% 3% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 3% 13% 25% 19% 10% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Atletico Madrid Wins X X <1% 3% 13% 24% 19% 10% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose
(2‑5)

vs
Atalanta
(4‑2‑1)
1 St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose Wins X X <1% 3% 13% 25% 19% 10% 5% 4% 5% 6% 6% 4% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 3% 13% 25% 19% 10% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Atalanta Wins X X <1% 3% 13% 25% 19% 10% 4% 2% 4% 5% 6% 6% 4% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Juventus
(3‑1‑3)

vs
Monaco
(2‑2‑3)
0 Juventus Wins X X <1% 3% 13% 24% 19% 10% 3% 2% 3% 5% 6% 6% 5% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 3% 13% 25% 19% 10% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Monaco Wins X X <1% 3% 13% 24% 19% 10% 5% 4% 5% 6% 6% 5% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Paris SG
(4‑2‑1)

vs
Newcastle
(4‑2‑1)
0 Paris SG Wins X X <1% 2% 12% 26% 20% 10% 4% 3% 4% 5% 5% 5% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 3% 13% 25% 19% 10% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Newcastle Wins X X <1% 3% 12% 24% 19% 10% 4% 3% 4% 5% 5% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Inter Milan
(4‑3)

vs
Dortmund
(3‑2‑2)
0 Inter Milan Wins X X <1% 3% 13% 25% 19% 9% 4% 3% 4% 6% 6% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 3% 13% 25% 19% 10% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Dortmund Wins X X <1% 3% 13% 25% 19% 9% 4% 3% 4% 6% 6% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Ajax
(2‑5)

vs
Olympiacos
(2‑3‑2)
0 Ajax Wins X X <1% 3% 13% 25% 19% 10% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 3% 13% 25% 19% 10% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Olympiacos Wins X X <1% 3% 13% 25% 19% 10% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Arsenal
(7‑0)

vs
Kairat
(0‑6‑1)
0 Arsenal Wins X X <1% 3% 13% 25% 19% 10% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 3% 13% 25% 19% 10% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Kairat Wins X X <1% 3% 13% 25% 19% 10% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Club Brugge
(2‑4‑1)

vs
Marseille
(3‑4)
0 Club Brugge Wins X X <1% 3% 13% 25% 19% 10% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 3% 13% 25% 19% 10% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Marseille Wins X X <1% 3% 13% 25% 19% 10% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Leverkusen
(2‑2‑3)

vs
Villarreal
(0‑6‑1)
0 Leverkusen Wins X X <1% 3% 13% 25% 19% 10% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 3% 13% 25% 19% 10% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Villarreal Wins X X <1% 3% 13% 25% 19% 10% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
PSV Eindhoven
(2‑3‑2)

vs
Bayern Munich
(6‑1)
0 PSV Eindhoven Wins X X <1% 3% 13% 25% 19% 10% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 3% 13% 25% 19% 10% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Bayern Munich Wins X X <1% 3% 13% 25% 19% 10% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Pafos
(1‑3‑3)

vs
Slavia Prague
(0‑4‑3)
0 Pafos Wins X X <1% 3% 13% 25% 19% 10% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 3% 13% 25% 19% 10% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Slavia Prague Wins X X <1% 3% 13% 25% 19% 10% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this qualifing spot
  • X means the team cannot win this qualifing spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the knockout round