The Most Important Games for Barcelona are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Barcelona fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Barcelona Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qualifing Finish | Elimination | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
2* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
3* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
4* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
5* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
6* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
7* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
8* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | |||
| Barcelona (5‑1) vs Benfica (3‑2‑1) |
25 | Barcelona Wins | 20% | 54% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 33% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Benfica Wins | <1% | 6% | 17% | 19% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Sturm Graz (1‑5) vs Atalanta (3‑1‑2) |
3 | Sturm Graz Wins | 9% | 33% | 12% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 33% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Atalanta Wins | 9% | 33% | 11% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Liverpool (6‑0) vs Lille (4‑1‑1) |
3 | Liverpool Wins | 5% | 36% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 33% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lille Wins | 29% | 14% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Shakhtar (1‑4‑1) vs Brest (4‑1‑1) |
2 | Shakhtar Wins | 9% | 34% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 33% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Brest Wins | 9% | 32% | 11% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bologna (0‑4‑2) vs Dortmund (4‑2) |
2 | Bologna Wins | 9% | 34% | 14% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 33% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Dortmund Wins | 9% | 33% | 10% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Monaco (3‑2‑1) vs Aston Villa (4‑1‑1) |
2 | Monaco Wins | 8% | 34% | 12% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 33% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Aston Villa Wins | 9% | 32% | 10% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Zagreb (2‑2‑2) vs Arsenal (4‑1‑1) |
2 | Zagreb Wins | 8% | 37% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 33% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Arsenal Wins | 9% | 31% | 10% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Sparta Prague (1‑4‑1) vs Inter Milan (4‑1‑1) |
1 | Sparta Prague Wins | 9% | 38% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 33% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Inter Milan Wins | 9% | 31% | 11% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Feyenoord (3‑2‑1) vs Bayern Munich (4‑2) |
1 | Feyenoord Wins | 9% | 34% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 33% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bayern Munich Wins | 8% | 33% | 10% | 13% | 11% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Club Brugge (3‑2‑1) vs Juventus (3‑1‑2) |
1 | Club Brugge Wins | 9% | 33% | 13% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 33% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Juventus Wins | 9% | 34% | 12% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Girona (1‑5) vs AC Milan (4‑2) |
1 | Girona Wins | 9% | 33% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 33% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| AC Milan Wins | 9% | 33% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Leverkusen (4‑1‑1) vs Atletico Madrid (4‑2) |
0 | Leverkusen Wins | 8% | 31% | 8% | 13% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 33% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Atletico Madrid Wins | 9% | 35% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Real Madrid (3‑3) vs Salzburg (1‑5) |
0 | Real Madrid Wins | 9% | 33% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 33% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Salzburg Wins | 9% | 33% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| RB Leipzig (0‑6) vs Sporting CP (3‑2‑1) |
0 | RB Leipzig Wins | 9% | 32% | 11% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 33% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Sporting CP Wins | 9% | 33% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Young Boys (0‑6) vs Celtic (2‑1‑3) |
0 | Young Boys Wins | 9% | 33% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 33% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Celtic Wins | 9% | 33% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| RS Belgrade (1‑5) vs PSV Eindhoven (2‑2‑2) |
0 | RS Belgrade Wins | 9% | 33% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 33% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| PSV Eindhoven Wins | 9% | 33% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Slovan (0‑6) vs Stuttgart (2‑3‑1) |
0 | Slovan Wins | 9% | 33% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 33% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Stuttgart Wins | 9% | 33% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Paris SG (2‑3‑1) vs Manchester City (2‑2‑2) |
0 | Paris SG Wins | 9% | 33% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 33% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Manchester City Wins | 9% | 33% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||