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Wed Oct 21 8:00 pm

UEFA Champions League - Week 9 of 21

Barcelona Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for Barcelona are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Barcelona fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Barcelona Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Barcelona Resultant Probabilities
Qualifing Finish Elimination
1*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
2*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
3*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
4*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
5*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
6*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
7*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
8*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Barcelona
(2‑1)

vs
Aston Villa
(3‑0)
38 Barcelona Wins 20% 20% 14% 11% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 15% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Aston Villa Wins 1% 4% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2%
GalatasarayGalatasary
(1‑2)

vs
Stuttgart
(2‑0‑1)
2 GalatasarayGalatasary Wins 14% 15% 13% 11% 8% 7% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 15% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Stuttgart Wins 13% 14% 12% 11% 9% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Fenerbahce
(0‑1‑2)

vs
Liverpool
(3‑0)
2 Fenerbahce Wins 14% 15% 13% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 15% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Liverpool Wins 13% 13% 12% 11% 9% 8% 6% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
AEK Athens
(1‑2)

vs
Real Madrid
(3‑0)
2 AEK Athens Wins 14% 15% 12% 11% 8% 7% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Current Probabilities 13% 15% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Real Madrid Wins 12% 13% 12% 10% 9% 8% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Leipzig
(1‑2)

vs
Manchester City
(2‑1)
1 Leipzig Wins 13% 16% 13% 10% 9% 7% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Current Probabilities 13% 15% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Manchester City Wins 14% 14% 12% 11% 9% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Lens
(1‑2)

vs
Como
(2‑1)
1 Lens Wins 13% 15% 13% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 15% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Como Wins 14% 14% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
PSV Eindhoven
(1‑1‑1)

vs
Club Brugge
(2‑1)
1 PSV Eindhoven Wins 14% 14% 13% 10% 9% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 15% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Club Brugge Wins 13% 14% 12% 10% 9% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Atletico Madrid
(1‑1‑1)

vs
Bayern Munich
(1‑0‑2)
1 Atletico Madrid Wins 14% 15% 13% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 15% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Bayern Munich Wins 13% 14% 12% 10% 9% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Manchester U.
(1‑2)

vs
Roma
(1‑1‑1)
1 Manchester U. Wins 14% 14% 13% 10% 9% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 15% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Roma Wins 13% 14% 13% 11% 9% 7% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Slavia Prague
(0‑2‑1)

vs
Arsenal
(2‑0‑1)
1 Slavia Prague Wins 19% 14% 11% 9% 8% 7% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 15% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Arsenal Wins 11% 15% 13% 10% 10% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Shakhtar
(1‑1‑1)

vs
Sporting CP
(2‑1)
1 Shakhtar Wins 14% 14% 13% 10% 9% 7% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 15% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Sporting CP Wins 14% 15% 12% 10% 9% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Villarreal
(1‑2)

vs
Paris SG
(3‑0)
1 Villarreal Wins 15% 15% 12% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 15% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Paris SG Wins 12% 13% 12% 11% 9% 8% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Inter Milan
(1‑2)

vs
Feyenoord
(1‑2)
1 Inter Milan Wins 14% 14% 13% 11% 9% 7% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 15% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Feyenoord Wins 13% 15% 12% 11% 9% 7% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Slovan
(0‑3)

vs
Lask Linz
(1‑2)
0 Slovan Wins 13% 15% 13% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 15% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Lask Linz Wins 14% 15% 12% 11% 9% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Viking FK
(0‑2‑1)

vs
Sabah
(1‑2)
0 Viking FK Wins 14% 14% 12% 10% 9% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Current Probabilities 13% 15% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Sabah Wins 13% 15% 12% 10% 9% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Porto
(0‑3)

vs
Napoli
(1‑2)
0 Porto Wins 14% 14% 12% 10% 9% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 15% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Napoli Wins 13% 15% 12% 10% 8% 7% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Lille
(0‑3)

vs
Bodo
(1‑2)
0 Lille Wins 13% 14% 13% 11% 9% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 15% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Bodo Wins 13% 15% 12% 11% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Dortmund
(2‑1)

vs
Real Betis
(3‑0)
0 Dortmund Wins 13% 15% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 15% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Real Betis Wins 13% 14% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this qualifing spot
  • X means the team cannot win this qualifing spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the knockout round