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Wed Nov 27 5:00 pm

UEFA Champions League - Week 12 of 20

Barcelona Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for Barcelona are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Barcelona fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Barcelona Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Barcelona Resultant Probabilities
Qualifing Finish Elimination
1*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
2*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
3*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
4*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
5*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
6*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
7*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
8*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Barcelona
(4‑1)

vs
Dortmund
(4‑1)
39 Barcelona Wins 9% 25% 24% 13% 7% 6% 4% 4% 3% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities 3% 11% 12% 12% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Dortmund Wins <1% 1% 6% 11% 9% 8% 8% 10% 10% 7% 5% 4% 3% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Shakhtar
(1‑3‑1)

vs
Bayern Munich
(3‑2)
5 Shakhtar Wins 3% 11% 13% 12% 10% 8% 8% 7% 6% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 3% 11% 12% 12% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Bayern Munich Wins 3% 11% 12% 11% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 4% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Inter Milan
(4‑0‑1)

vs
Leverkusen
(3‑1‑1)
4 Inter Milan Wins 1% 7% 17% 13% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 5% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 3% 11% 12% 12% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Leverkusen Wins 4% 14% 9% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Club Brugge
(2‑2‑1)

vs
Sporting CP
(3‑1‑1)
4 Club Brugge Wins 3% 10% 13% 11% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 3% 11% 12% 12% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Sporting CP Wins 3% 10% 12% 11% 9% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
RS Belgrade
(1‑4)

vs
AC Milan
(3‑2)
4 RS Belgrade Wins 3% 10% 13% 12% 9% 8% 8% 8% 6% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 3% 11% 12% 12% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
AC Milan Wins 3% 10% 13% 11% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Sturm Graz
(1‑4)

vs
Lille
(3‑1‑1)
3 Sturm Graz Wins 3% 11% 12% 11% 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 5% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 3% 11% 12% 12% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Lille Wins 3% 11% 13% 11% 9% 8% 6% 7% 7% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Slovan
(0‑5)

vs
Atletico Madrid
(3‑2)
3 Slovan Wins 3% 11% 13% 12% 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 5% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 3% 11% 12% 12% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Atletico Madrid Wins 3% 10% 12% 11% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Bologna
(0‑4‑1)

vs
Benfica
(3‑2)
3 Bologna Wins 3% 11% 13% 11% 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 3% 11% 12% 12% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Benfica Wins 3% 10% 12% 11% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
RB Leipzig
(0‑5)

vs
Aston Villa
(3‑1‑1)
2 RB Leipzig Wins 3% 11% 12% 12% 9% 7% 8% 7% 7% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 3% 11% 12% 12% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Aston Villa Wins 3% 10% 12% 11% 10% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Juventus
(2‑1‑2)

vs
Manchester City
(2‑1‑2)
2 Juventus Wins 4% 11% 12% 12% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 3% 11% 12% 12% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Manchester City Wins 3% 10% 12% 11% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Real Madrid
(2‑3)

vs
Atalanta
(3‑0‑2)
2 Real Madrid Wins 3% 10% 13% 12% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 3% 11% 12% 12% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Atalanta Wins 3% 11% 12% 11% 8% 7% 8% 8% 7% 6% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
PSV Eindhoven
(2‑1‑2)

vs
Brest
(3‑1‑1)
0 PSV Eindhoven Wins 3% 11% 13% 11% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 3% 11% 12% 12% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brest Wins 3% 11% 13% 11% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Stuttgart
(1‑3‑1)

vs
Young Boys
(0‑5)
0 Stuttgart Wins 3% 11% 12% 11% 9% 7% 8% 7% 7% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 3% 11% 12% 12% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Young Boys Wins 3% 11% 12% 11% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Sparta Prague
(1‑3‑1)

vs
Feyenoord
(2‑2‑1)
0 Sparta Prague Wins 3% 11% 12% 11% 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 3% 11% 12% 12% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Feyenoord Wins 4% 10% 13% 11% 9% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Arsenal
(3‑1‑1)

vs
Monaco
(3‑1‑1)
0 Arsenal Wins 3% 10% 11% 11% 10% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 3% 11% 12% 12% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Monaco Wins 3% 11% 14% 12% 8% 8% 6% 6% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Celtic
(2‑1‑2)

vs
Zagreb
(2‑2‑1)
0 Celtic Wins 3% 11% 13% 12% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 3% 11% 12% 12% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Zagreb Wins 3% 10% 13% 12% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Paris SG
(1‑3‑1)

vs
Salzburg
(1‑4)
0 Paris SG Wins 3% 10% 13% 12% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 3% 11% 12% 12% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Salzburg Wins 3% 10% 13% 11% 9% 8% 7% 8% 7% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Liverpool
(5‑0)

vs
Girona
(1‑4)
0 Liverpool Wins 2% 11% 13% 11% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 3% 11% 12% 12% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Girona Wins 9% 10% 11% 10% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this qualifing spot
  • X means the team cannot win this qualifing spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the knockout round