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Wed Nov 26 5:15 pm

UEFA Champions League - Week 13 of 20

Barcelona Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for Barcelona are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Barcelona fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Barcelona Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Barcelona Resultant Probabilities
Qualifing Finish Elimination
1*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
2*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
3*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
4*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
5*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
6*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
7*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
8*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Barcelona
(2‑2‑1)

vs
Frankfurt
(1‑3‑1)
40 Barcelona Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 12% 14% 10% 8% 8% 10% 10% 7% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 7% 6% 6% 7% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Frankfurt Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 13% 13% 8% 5% 7% 9% 9% 8% 5% 3% 1% 1% 6%
Bodo/Glimt
(0‑3‑2)

vs
Dortmund
(3‑1‑1)
3 Bodo/Glimt Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 7% 6% 6% 8% 10% 10% 8% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% 2%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 7% 6% 6% 7% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Dortmund Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 8% 6% 6% 7% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Newcastle
(3‑2)

vs
Leverkusen
(2‑1‑2)
3 Newcastle Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 7% 8% 5% 6% 8% 10% 10% 8% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 7% 6% 6% 7% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Leverkusen Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 8% 6% 6% 7% 10% 11% 9% 6% 5% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% 2%
PSV Eindhoven
(2‑1‑2)

vs
Atletico Madrid
(3‑2)
2 PSV Eindhoven Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 7% 6% 5% 7% 9% 10% 9% 6% 4% 5% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 7% 6% 6% 7% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Atletico Madrid Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 7% 6% 6% 7% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Real Madrid
(4‑1)

vs
Manchester City
(3‑1‑1)
1 Real Madrid Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 7% 6% 6% 8% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% 2%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 7% 6% 6% 7% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Manchester City Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 7% 6% 5% 7% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% 2%
Athletic Bilbao
(1‑3‑1)

vs
Paris SG
(4‑1)
1 Athletic Bilbao Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 7% 5% 5% 7% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% 2%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 7% 6% 6% 7% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Paris SG Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 7% 7% 5% 7% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Inter Milan
(4‑1)

vs
Liverpool
(3‑2)
1 Inter Milan Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 8% 6% 6% 8% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 7% 6% 6% 7% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Liverpool Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 7% 6% 6% 7% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% 2%
Bayern Munich
(4‑1)

vs
Sporting CP
(3‑1‑1)
1 Bayern Munich Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 8% 6% 6% 8% 10% 11% 9% 5% 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% 2%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 7% 6% 6% 7% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Sporting CP Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 6% 7% 6% 5% 6% 9% 11% 11% 7% 4% 5% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% 2%
GalatasarayGalatasary
(3‑2)

vs
Monaco
(1‑1‑3)
1 GalatasarayGalatasary Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 8% 6% 5% 7% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 5% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 7% 6% 6% 7% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Monaco Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 7% 6% 6% 8% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% 2%
Chelsea
(3‑1‑1)

vs
Atalanta
(3‑1‑1)
1 Chelsea Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 8% 6% 5% 7% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 7% 6% 6% 7% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Atalanta Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 7% 6% 6% 7% 10% 11% 9% 6% 5% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% 2%
Slavia Prague
(0‑2‑3)

vs
Tottenham
(2‑1‑2)
1 Slavia Prague Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 6% 7% 6% 6% 8% 11% 11% 9% 5% 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% 2%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 7% 6% 6% 7% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Tottenham Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 7% 6% 5% 7% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 5% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% 2%
St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose
(2‑3)

vs
Marseille
(2‑3)
1 St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 7% 6% 6% 8% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% 2%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 7% 6% 6% 7% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Marseille Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 7% 6% 6% 8% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% 2%
Ajax
(0‑5)

vs
Qarabag
(2‑2‑1)
0 Ajax Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 7% 6% 6% 8% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% 2%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 7% 6% 6% 7% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Qarabag Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 8% 6% 6% 7% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Benfica
(1‑4)

vs
Napoli
(2‑2‑1)
0 Benfica Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 7% 6% 6% 7% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% 2%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 7% 6% 6% 7% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Napoli Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 8% 6% 5% 7% 10% 11% 9% 6% 5% 4% 5% 5% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Juventus
(1‑1‑3)

vs
Pafos
(1‑1‑3)
0 Juventus Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 7% 6% 6% 7% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% 2%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 7% 6% 6% 7% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Pafos Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 7% 6% 6% 8% 11% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Kairat
(0‑4‑1)

vs
Olympiacos
(0‑3‑2)
0 Kairat Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 7% 6% 6% 8% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 7% 6% 6% 7% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Olympiacos Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 7% 6% 6% 7% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% 2%
Club Brugge
(1‑3‑1)

vs
Arsenal
(5‑0)
0 Club Brugge Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 7% 6% 6% 8% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 7% 6% 6% 7% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Arsenal Wins X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 8% 6% 6% 7% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 5% 5% 4% 3% 1% 1% <1% 1% 2%
Copenhagen
(1‑3‑1)

vs
Villarreal
(0‑4‑1)
0 Copenhagen Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 8% 6% 6% 8% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 7% 6% 6% 7% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Villarreal Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 7% 6% 6% 8% 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 5% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% 2%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this qualifing spot
  • X means the team cannot win this qualifing spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the knockout round