The Most Important Games for Chelsea are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Chelsea fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Chelsea Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qualifing Finish | Elimination | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
2* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
3* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
4* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
5* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
6* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
7* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
8* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | |||
| Chelsea (3‑1‑1) vs Atalanta (3‑1‑1) |
59 | Chelsea Wins | 2% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Atalanta Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bodo/Glimt (0‑3‑2) vs Dortmund (3‑1‑1) |
5 | Bodo/Glimt Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Dortmund Wins | <1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| PSV Eindhoven (2‑1‑2) vs Atletico Madrid (3‑2) |
3 | PSV Eindhoven Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Atletico Madrid Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Newcastle (3‑2) vs Leverkusen (2‑1‑2) |
3 | Newcastle Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Leverkusen Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Frankfurt (1‑3‑1) vs Barcelona (2‑2‑1) |
3 | Frankfurt Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Barcelona Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Madrid (4‑1) vs Manchester City (3‑1‑1) |
2 | Real Madrid Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Manchester City Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Athletic Bilbao (1‑3‑1) vs Paris SG (4‑1) |
2 | Athletic Bilbao Wins | 1% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Paris SG Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Inter Milan (4‑1) vs Liverpool (3‑2) |
2 | Inter Milan Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Liverpool Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bayern Munich (4‑1) vs Sporting CP (3‑1‑1) |
2 | Bayern Munich Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sporting CP Wins | 1% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Slavia Prague (0‑2‑3) vs Tottenham (2‑1‑2) |
1 | Slavia Prague Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Tottenham Wins | 1% | 2% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Copenhagen (1‑3‑1) vs Villarreal (0‑4‑1) |
1 | Copenhagen Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Villarreal Wins | <1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Monaco (1‑1‑3) vs GalatasarayGalatasary (3‑2) |
1 | Monaco Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| GalatasarayGalatasary Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Kairat (0‑4‑1) vs Olympiacos (0‑3‑2) |
0 | Kairat Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Olympiacos Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Juventus (1‑1‑3) vs Pafos (1‑1‑3) |
0 | Juventus Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Pafos Wins | 1% | 2% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Club Brugge (1‑3‑1) vs Arsenal (5‑0) |
0 | Club Brugge Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arsenal Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Qarabag (2‑2‑1) vs Ajax (0‑5) |
0 | Qarabag Wins | 1% | 2% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ajax Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Marseille (2‑3) vs St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose (2‑3) |
0 | Marseille Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Benfica (1‑4) vs Napoli (2‑2‑1) |
0 | Benfica Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Napoli Wins | 1% | 2% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||