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Fri Sep 16 11:00 am

UEFA Champions League - Week 3 of 9

FC Porto What If?

The FC Porto What If table presents qualifing probabilities depended upon how FC Porto plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

FC Porto What If?

Next Game - Leverkusen (1‑1)

  Resultant Record Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
  W L T Pts 1*
Advancement to the
Knockout Round
2*
Advancement to the
Knockout Round
3
Win Next Game 1 2 0 3 11% 22% 67%
Current Standings 0 2 0 0 6% 15% 79%
Lose Next Game 0 3 0 0 <1% 3% 97%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
  1*
Advancement to the
Knockout Round
2*
Advancement to the
Knockout Round
3
Best Case Scenario 11% 22% 67%
Current Standings 6% 15% 79%
Worst Case Scenario <1% 3% 97%
Best Case Scenario
   FC Porto beats Leverkusen
Worst Case Scenario
   Leverkusen beats FC Porto
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the qualifing probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
W L T Pts 1*
Advancement to the
Knockout Round
2*
Advancement to the
Knockout Round
3
4 of 4 100% 4 2 0 12 83% 17% ^
3 of 4 75% 3 3 0 9 2% 52% 46%
2 of 4 50% 2 4 0 6 X <1% >99%
1 of 4 25% 1 5 0 3 X X 100%
0 of 4 0% 0 6 0 0 X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this qualifing spot
  • X means the team cannot win this qualifing spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes advancement to the knockout round