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Fri Sep 16 11:00 am

UEFA Champions League - Week 3 of 9

Sevilla FC What If?

The Sevilla FC What If table presents qualifing probabilities depended upon how Sevilla FC plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Sevilla FC What If?

Next Game - Dortmund (1‑1)

  Resultant Record Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
  W L T Pts 1*
Advancement to the
Knockout Round
2*
Advancement to the
Knockout Round
3
Win Next Game 1 1 1 4 <1% 38% 61%
Current Standings 0 1 1 1 <1% 18% 82%
Lose Next Game 0 2 1 1 <1% 3% 97%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
  1*
Advancement to the
Knockout Round
2*
Advancement to the
Knockout Round
3
Best Case Scenario <1% 38% 61%
Current Standings <1% 18% 82%
Worst Case Scenario <1% 3% 97%
Best Case Scenario
   Sevilla FC beats Dortmund
Worst Case Scenario
   Dortmund beats Sevilla FC
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the qualifing probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
W L T Pts 1*
Advancement to the
Knockout Round
2*
Advancement to the
Knockout Round
3
4 of 4 100% 4 1 1 13 41% 59% ^
3 of 4 75% 3 2 1 10 2% 86% 12%
2 of 4 50% 2 3 1 7 X 16% 84%
1 of 4 25% 1 4 1 4 X X 100%
0 of 4 0% 0 5 1 1 X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this qualifing spot
  • X means the team cannot win this qualifing spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes advancement to the knockout round