The Most Important Games for the Duke Blue Devils are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Devils final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Duke Blue Devils fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Duke Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Duke (2‑1) vs Georgia Tech (3‑0) |
24 | Duke Wins | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 29% | ||
| Georgia Tech Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 31% | ||
| Louisville (2‑0) vs Virginia Tech (3‑0) |
1 | Louisville Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 29% | ||
| Virginia Tech Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 29% | ||
| Syracuse (2‑1) vs Florida St. (2‑1) |
1 | Syracuse Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 29% | ||
| Florida St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 30% | ||
| North Carolina (3‑0) vs California (2‑2) |
1 | North Carolina Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 29% | ||
| California Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 30% | ||
| Notre Dame (4‑0) vs Stanford (3‑0) |
1 | Notre Dame Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 29% | ||
| Stanford Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 29% | ||
| N.C. State (3‑0) vs Miami (2‑1) |
0 | N.C. State Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 29% | ||
| Miami Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 29% | ||
| Clemson (3‑0) vs Virginia (4‑0) |
0 | Clemson Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 29% | ||
| Virginia Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 29% | ||