The Most Important Games for the Duke Blue Devils are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Devils final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Duke Blue Devils fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Duke Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Duke (8‑2) vs Georgia Tech (4‑5) |
30 | Duke Wins | 19% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Tech Wins | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Louisville (6‑5) vs Florida St. (8‑3) |
3 | Louisville Wins | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Florida St. Wins | 18% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Virginia (6‑4) vs N.C. State (7‑4) |
2 | Virginia Wins | 19% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| N.C. State Wins | 19% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boston College (6‑4) vs SMU (9‑2) |
1 | Boston College Wins | 20% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| SMU Wins | 18% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Clemson (9‑2) vs Wake Forest (8‑3) |
1 | Clemson Wins | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wake Forest Wins | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||