Where are the Duke Blue Devils going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Duke standings table presents the probabilities of the Blue Devils winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT |
| Clemson | 6i Clemson Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 07 vs SMU 74-70 Won Sat, Jan 10 @ Notre Dame 76-61 Won Tue, Jan 13 vs Boston College 74-50 Won Sat, Jan 17 vs Miami 69-59 Tue, Jan 20 vs N.C. State Sat, Jan 24 @ Georgia Tech Sat, Jan 31 vs Pittsburgh Wed, Feb 04 @ Stanford |
0 | 6 | 19% | 28% | 24% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Duke | 6 Duke Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 06 @ Louisville 84-73 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs SMU 82-75 Won Wed, Jan 14 @ California 71-56 Won Sat, Jan 17 @ Stanford 80-50 Sat, Jan 24 vs Wake Forest Mon, Jan 26 vs Louisville Sat, Jan 31 @ Virginia Tech Tue, Feb 03 vs Boston College |
0 | 6 | 60% | 24% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Virginia | 5 Virginia Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 07 vs California 84-60 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Stanford 70-55 Won Tue, Jan 13 @ Louisville 79-70 Won Sat, Jan 17 @ SMU 72-68 Sat, Jan 24 vs North Carolina Tue, Jan 27 @ Notre Dame Sat, Jan 31 @ Boston College Tue, Feb 03 vs Pittsburgh |
1 | 6 | 16% | 29% | 25% | 15% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Miami | 4 Miami Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 07 @ Wake Forest 81-77 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Georgia Tech 91-81 Won Tue, Jan 13 @ Notre Dame 81-69 Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ Clemson 59-69 Tue, Jan 20 vs Florida St. Sat, Jan 24 @ Syracuse Wed, Jan 28 vs Stanford Sat, Jan 31 vs California |
1 | 5 | 3% | 9% | 15% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| N.C. State | 3 N.C. State Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 03 vs Virginia 61-76 Won Tue, Jan 06 @ Boston College 79-71 Won Sat, Jan 10 @ Florida St. 113-69 Lost Sat, Jan 17 vs Georgia Tech 74-78 Tue, Jan 20 @ Clemson Sat, Jan 24 @ Pittsburgh Tue, Jan 27 vs Syracuse Sat, Jan 31 @ Wake Forest |
2 | 5 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% |
| Syracuse | 3 Syracuse Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 06 @ Georgia Tech 82-72 Won Sat, Jan 10 @ Pittsburgh 83-72 Won Tue, Jan 13 vs Florida St. 94-86 Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ Boston College 73-81 Wed, Jan 21 vs Virginia Tech Sat, Jan 24 vs Miami Tue, Jan 27 @ N.C. State Sat, Jan 31 vs Notre Dame |
2 | 5 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 8% | 8% |
| Stanford | 3 Stanford Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 07 @ Virginia Tech 69-68 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Virginia 55-70 Won Wed, Jan 14 vs North Carolina 95-90 Lost Sat, Jan 17 vs Duke 50-80 Sat, Jan 24 vs California Wed, Jan 28 @ Miami Sat, Jan 31 @ Florida St. Wed, Feb 04 vs Clemson |
3 | 6 | <1% | 2% | 7% | 12% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Virginia Tech | 3 Virginia Tech Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 07 vs Stanford 68-69 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs California 78-75 Lost Wed, Jan 14 @ SMU 76-77 Won Sat, Jan 17 vs Notre Dame 89-76 Wed, Jan 21 @ Syracuse Sat, Jan 24 @ Louisville Tue, Jan 27 vs Georgia Tech Sat, Jan 31 vs Duke |
3 | 6 | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Louisville | 3 Louisville Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 06 vs Duke 73-84 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Boston College 75-62 Lost Tue, Jan 13 vs Virginia 70-79 Won Sat, Jan 17 @ Pittsburgh 100-59 Sat, Jan 24 vs Virginia Tech Mon, Jan 26 @ Duke Sat, Jan 31 vs SMU Wed, Feb 04 vs Notre Dame |
3 | 6 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| SMU | 2 SMU Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 07 @ Clemson 70-74 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Duke 75-82 Won Wed, Jan 14 vs Virginia Tech 77-76 Lost Sat, Jan 17 vs Virginia 68-72 Tue, Jan 20 @ Wake Forest Sat, Jan 24 vs Florida St. Sat, Jan 31 @ Louisville Tue, Feb 03 vs N.C. State |
3 | 5 | <1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| North Carolina | 2 North Carolina Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 03 @ SMU 83-97 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Wake Forest 87-84 Lost Wed, Jan 14 @ Stanford 90-95 Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ California 78-84 Wed, Jan 21 vs Notre Dame Sat, Jan 24 @ Virginia Sat, Jan 31 @ Georgia Tech Mon, Feb 02 vs Syracuse |
3 | 5 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Wake Forest | 2 Wake Forest Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 03 vs Virginia Tech 81-78 Lost Wed, Jan 07 vs Miami 77-81 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ North Carolina 84-87 Won Sat, Jan 17 @ Florida St. 69-68 Tue, Jan 20 vs SMU Sat, Jan 24 @ Duke Tue, Jan 27 @ Pittsburgh Sat, Jan 31 vs N.C. State |
3 | 5 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 9% |
| Georgia Tech | 2 Georgia Tech Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 06 vs Syracuse 72-82 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Miami 81-91 Lost Wed, Jan 14 vs Pittsburgh 66-89 Won Sat, Jan 17 @ N.C. State 78-74 Sat, Jan 24 vs Clemson Tue, Jan 27 @ Virginia Tech Sat, Jan 31 vs North Carolina Wed, Feb 04 @ California |
4 | 6 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 37% |
| California | 2 California Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 07 @ Virginia 60-84 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Virginia Tech 75-78 Lost Wed, Jan 14 vs Duke 56-71 Won Sat, Jan 17 vs North Carolina 84-78 Sat, Jan 24 @ Stanford Wed, Jan 28 @ Florida St. Sat, Jan 31 @ Miami Wed, Feb 04 vs Georgia Tech |
4 | 6 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 6% |
| Boston College | 1 Boston College Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 06 vs N.C. State 71-79 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Louisville 62-75 Lost Tue, Jan 13 @ Clemson 50-74 Won Sat, Jan 17 vs Syracuse 81-73 Wed, Jan 21 vs Pittsburgh Sat, Jan 24 @ Notre Dame Sat, Jan 31 vs Virginia Tue, Feb 03 @ Duke |
4 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 70% |
| Notre Dame | 1 Notre Dame Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 02 @ California 71-72 Lost Sat, Jan 10 vs Clemson 61-76 Lost Tue, Jan 13 vs Miami 69-81 Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ Virginia Tech 76-89 Wed, Jan 21 @ North Carolina Sat, Jan 24 vs Boston College Tue, Jan 27 vs Virginia Sat, Jan 31 @ Syracuse |
4 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 20% |
| Pittsburgh | 1 Pittsburgh Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 03 vs Clemson 68-73 Lost Sat, Jan 10 vs Syracuse 72-83 Won Wed, Jan 14 @ Georgia Tech 89-66 Lost Sat, Jan 17 vs Louisville 59-100 Wed, Jan 21 @ Boston College Sat, Jan 24 vs N.C. State Tue, Jan 27 vs Wake Forest Sat, Jan 31 @ Clemson |
4 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 54% |
| Florida St. | 0 Florida St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 03 vs Duke 87-91 Lost Sat, Jan 10 vs N.C. State 69-113 Lost Tue, Jan 13 @ Syracuse 86-94 Lost Sat, Jan 17 vs Wake Forest 68-69 Tue, Jan 20 @ Miami Sat, Jan 24 @ SMU Wed, Jan 28 vs California Sat, Jan 31 vs Stanford |
5 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 83% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | >99% | ||
| (9)Louisville | 3 | 3 | <1% |
| (13)Georgia Tech | 2 | 4 | <1% |
| (16)Notre Dame | 1 | 4 | <1% |
| (17)Pittsburgh | 1 | 4 | <1% |
| (6)Syracuse | 3 | 2 | <1% |
| (14)California | 2 | 4 | <1% |
| (1)Clemson | 6 | 0 | <1% |
| (3)Virginia | 5 | 1 | <1% |
| (4)Miami | 4 | 1 | <1% |
| (5)N.C. State | 3 | 2 | <1% |
| (7)Stanford | 3 | 3 | <1% |
| (8)Virginia Tech | 3 | 3 | <1% |
| (10)SMU | 2 | 3 | <1% |
| (11)North Carolina | 2 | 3 | <1% |
| (12)Wake Forest | 2 | 3 | <1% |
| (15)Boston College | 1 | 4 | <1% |
| (18)Florida St. | 0 | 5 | <1% |
| Elimination | <1% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Georgia Tech (11‑8) |
85‑79 | Home | Wed Dec 31, 4:00 pm |
| 9 | Florida St. (7‑11) |
91‑87 | Away | Sat Jan 3, 3:45 pm |
| 10 | Louisville (13‑5) |
84‑73 | Away | Tue Jan 6, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | SMU (13‑5) |
82‑75 | Home | Sat Jan 10, 2:00 pm |
| 11 | California (14‑5) |
71‑56 | Away | Wed Jan 14, 11:10 pm |
| 11 | Stanford (14‑5) |
80‑50 | Away | Sat Jan 17, 6:00 pm |
| 12 | Wake Forest (11‑7) |
Home | Sat Jan 24, 5:45 pm | |
| 13 | Louisville (13‑5) |
Home | Mon Jan 26, 7:00 pm | |
| 13 | Virginia Tech (14‑5) |
Away | Sat Jan 31, 12:00 pm | |
| 14 | Boston College (8‑10) |
Home | Tue Feb 3, 7:00 pm | |
| 14 | North Carolina (14‑4) |
Away | Sat Feb 7, 6:30 pm | |
| 15 | Pittsburgh (8‑10) |
Away | Tue Feb 10, 9:00 pm | |
| 15 | Clemson (16‑3) |
Home | Sat Feb 14, 12:00 pm | |
| 16 | Syracuse (12‑6) |
Home | Mon Feb 16, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Notre Dame (10‑8) |
Away | Tue Feb 24, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Virginia (16‑2) |
Home | Sat Feb 28, 12:00 pm | |
| 18 | N.C. State (12‑6) |
Away | Mon Mar 2, 7:00 pm | |
| 18 | North Carolina (14‑4) |
Home | Sat Mar 7, 6:30 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Texas (10‑7) |
SECSEC | 75‑60 | Home | Tue Nov 4 |
| 1 | Western Carolina (6‑11) |
SouthernSouthern | 95‑54 | Home | Sat Nov 8 |
| 2 | Army (7‑11) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | 114‑59 | Away | Tue Nov 11 |
| 2 | Indiana St. (9‑10) |
Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley | 100‑62 | Home | Fri Nov 14 |
| 3 | Kansas (13‑5) |
Big 12Big 12 | 78‑66 | Home | Tue Nov 18, 9:00 pm |
| 3 | Niagara (5‑12) |
Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic | 100‑42 | Home | Fri Nov 21, 7:00 pm |
| 3 | Howard (11‑8) |
MideasternMid-Eastern | 93‑56 | Home | Sun Nov 23, 4:00 pm |
| 4 | Arkansas (12‑5) |
SECSEC | 80‑71 | Away | Thu Nov 27, 8:00 pm |
| 5 | Florida (13‑5) |
SECSEC | 67‑66 | Home | Tue Dec 2, 7:30 pm |
| 5 | Michigan St. (16‑2) |
Big 10Big 10 | 66‑60 | Away | Sat Dec 6, 12:00 pm |
| 7 | Lipscomb (12‑7) |
Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun | 97‑73 | Home | Tue Dec 16, 6:00 pm |
| 7 | Texas Tech (14‑4) |
Big 12Big 12 | 81‑82 | Home | Sat Dec 20, 8:00 pm |
| 16 | Michigan (15‑1) |
Big 10Big 10 | Home | Sat Feb 21, 6:30 pm |