The Most Important Games for the SMU Mustangs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mustangs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. SMU Mustangs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
SMU Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| SMU (15‑7) vs Pittsburgh (9‑14) |
26 | SMU Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Pittsburgh Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Duke (21‑1) vs North Carolina (18‑4) |
4 | Duke Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| North Carolina Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Tech (11‑12) vs Stanford (14‑9) |
3 | Georgia Tech Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Stanford Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boston College (9‑13) vs Miami (17‑5) |
2 | Boston College Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Miami Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wake Forest (11‑11) vs Louisville (16‑6) |
1 | Wake Forest Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Louisville Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Clemson (19‑4) vs California (17‑6) |
1 | Clemson Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| California Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Syracuse (13‑10) vs Virginia (19‑3) |
1 | Syracuse Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Virginia Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Virginia Tech (16‑7) vs N.C. State (17‑6) |
0 | Virginia Tech Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| N.C. State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Florida St. (10‑12) vs Notre Dame (11‑12) |
0 | Florida St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Notre Dame Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||