The Most Important Games for the SMU Mustangs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mustangs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. SMU Mustangs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
SMU Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| SMU (17‑8) vs Louisville (19‑6) |
26 | SMU Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 12% | 19% | 25% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 25% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Louisville Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 10% | 27% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Duke (23‑2) vs Syracuse (15‑11) |
6 | Duke Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 24% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 25% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Syracuse Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 13% | 22% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Miami (20‑5) vs Virginia Tech (17‑9) |
3 | Miami Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 26% | 20% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 25% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Virginia Tech Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 22% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boston College (9‑16) vs Florida St. (12‑13) |
2 | Boston College Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 26% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 25% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Florida St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 25% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| California (18‑8) vs Stanford (16‑10) |
1 | California Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 24% | 20% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 25% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Stanford Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 26% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wake Forest (13‑12) vs Clemson (20‑6) |
1 | Wake Forest Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 25% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 25% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Clemson Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 25% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| North Carolina (20‑5) vs N.C. State (18‑8) |
0 | North Carolina Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 26% | 19% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 25% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| N.C. State Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 17% | 23% | 18% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Tech (11‑15) vs Virginia (22‑3) |
0 | Georgia Tech Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 25% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 25% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Virginia Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 15% | 25% | 18% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Pittsburgh (9‑17) vs Notre Dame (12‑14) |
0 | Pittsburgh Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 14% | 25% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 25% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Notre Dame Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 25% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||