Where are the SMU Mustangs going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The SMU standings table presents the probabilities of the Mustangs winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT |
| Duke | 12i Duke Recent Games Won Tue, Feb 03 vs Boston College 67-49 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ North Carolina 68-71 Won Tue, Feb 10 @ Pittsburgh 70-54 Won Sat, Feb 14 vs Clemson 67-54 Mon, Feb 16 vs Syracuse Sat, Feb 21 vs Michigan Tue, Feb 24 @ Notre Dame Sat, Feb 28 vs Virginia |
1 | 13 | 80% | 17% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Virginia | 10 Virginia Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 31 @ Boston College 73-66 Won Tue, Feb 03 vs Pittsburgh 67-47 Won Sat, Feb 07 vs Syracuse 72-59 Won Tue, Feb 10 @ Florida St. 61-58 Sat, Feb 14 @ Ohio St. Wed, Feb 18 @ Georgia Tech Sat, Feb 21 vs Miami Tue, Feb 24 vs N.C. State |
2 | 12 | 17% | 44% | 18% | 12% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Clemson | 10 Clemson Recent Games Won Wed, Feb 04 @ Stanford 66-64 Won Sat, Feb 07 @ California 77-55 Lost Wed, Feb 11 vs Virginia Tech 66-76 Lost Sat, Feb 14 @ Duke 54-67 Wed, Feb 18 @ Wake Forest Sat, Feb 21 vs Florida St. Sat, Feb 28 vs Louisville Tue, Mar 03 @ North Carolina |
3 | 13 | <1% | 20% | 36% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Miami | 9 Miami Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs California 85-86 Won Sat, Feb 07 @ Boston College 74-68 Won Tue, Feb 10 vs North Carolina 75-66 Won Sat, Feb 14 @ N.C. State 77-76 Tue, Feb 17 vs Virginia Tech Sat, Feb 21 @ Virginia Tue, Feb 24 @ Florida St. Sat, Feb 28 vs Boston College |
3 | 12 | 1% | 11% | 18% | 27% | 19% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| N.C. State | 9 N.C. State Recent Games Won Tue, Feb 03 @ SMU 84-83 Won Sat, Feb 07 vs Virginia Tech 82-73 Lost Mon, Feb 09 @ Louisville 77-118 Lost Sat, Feb 14 vs Miami 76-77 Tue, Feb 17 vs North Carolina Tue, Feb 24 @ Virginia Sat, Feb 28 @ Notre Dame Mon, Mar 02 vs Duke |
4 | 13 | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 18% | 24% | 26% | 10% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| North Carolina | 8 North Carolina Recent Games Won Mon, Feb 02 vs Syracuse 87-77 Won Sat, Feb 07 vs Duke 71-68 Lost Tue, Feb 10 @ Miami 66-75 Won Sat, Feb 14 vs Pittsburgh 79-65 Tue, Feb 17 @ N.C. State Sat, Feb 21 @ Syracuse Mon, Feb 23 vs Louisville Sat, Feb 28 vs Virginia Tech |
4 | 12 | <1% | 3% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 18% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Louisville | 8 Louisville Recent Games Won Wed, Feb 04 vs Notre Dame 76-65 Won Sat, Feb 07 @ Wake Forest 88-80 Won Mon, Feb 09 vs N.C. State 118-77 Won Sat, Feb 14 @ Baylor 82-71 Tue, Feb 17 @ SMU Sat, Feb 21 vs Georgia Tech Mon, Feb 23 @ North Carolina Sat, Feb 28 @ Clemson |
4 | 12 | <1% | 2% | 12% | 17% | 21% | 22% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| SMU | 6 SMU Recent Games Lost Tue, Feb 03 vs N.C. State 83-84 Won Sat, Feb 07 @ Pittsburgh 86-67 Won Tue, Feb 10 vs Notre Dame 89-81 Lost Sat, Feb 14 @ Syracuse 78-79 Tue, Feb 17 vs Louisville Sat, Feb 21 vs Boston College Wed, Feb 25 @ California Sat, Feb 28 @ Stanford |
6 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 25% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Virginia Tech | 6 Virginia Tech Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Duke 58-72 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ N.C. State 73-82 Won Wed, Feb 11 @ Clemson 76-66 Lost Sat, Feb 14 vs Florida St. 69-92 Tue, Feb 17 @ Miami Sat, Feb 21 vs Wake Forest Sat, Feb 28 @ North Carolina Tue, Mar 03 vs Boston College |
7 | 13 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 18% | 20% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| Syracuse | 6 Syracuse Recent Games Lost Mon, Feb 02 @ North Carolina 77-87 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ Virginia 59-72 Won Wed, Feb 11 vs California 107-100 Won Sat, Feb 14 vs SMU 79-78 Mon, Feb 16 @ Duke Sat, Feb 21 vs North Carolina Sat, Feb 28 @ Wake Forest Tue, Mar 03 @ Louisville |
7 | 13 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 1% | <1% |
| California | 6 California Recent Games Won Wed, Feb 04 vs Georgia Tech 90-85 Lost Sat, Feb 07 vs Clemson 55-77 Lost Wed, Feb 11 @ Syracuse 100-107 Won Sat, Feb 14 @ Boston College 86-75 Sat, Feb 21 vs Stanford Wed, Feb 25 vs SMU Sat, Feb 28 vs Pittsburgh Wed, Mar 04 @ Georgia Tech |
7 | 13 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 17% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| Florida St. | 5 Florida St. Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 31 vs Stanford 88-80 Won Sat, Feb 07 @ Notre Dame 82-79 Lost Tue, Feb 10 vs Virginia 58-61 Won Sat, Feb 14 @ Virginia Tech 92-69 Tue, Feb 17 vs Boston College Sat, Feb 21 @ Clemson Tue, Feb 24 vs Miami Sat, Feb 28 @ Georgia Tech |
7 | 12 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 14% | 3% | 1% |
| Stanford | 5 Stanford Recent Games Lost Wed, Feb 04 vs Clemson 64-66 Won Sat, Feb 07 vs Georgia Tech 95-72 Won Wed, Feb 11 @ Boston College 70-64 Lost Sat, Feb 14 @ Wake Forest 63-68 Sat, Feb 21 @ California Wed, Feb 25 vs Pittsburgh Sat, Feb 28 vs SMU Wed, Mar 04 @ Notre Dame |
8 | 13 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 19% | 14% | 8% | 1% |
| Wake Forest | 4 Wake Forest Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs N.C. State 78-96 Lost Sat, Feb 07 vs Louisville 80-88 Won Wed, Feb 11 @ Georgia Tech 83-67 Won Sat, Feb 14 vs Stanford 68-63 Wed, Feb 18 vs Clemson Sat, Feb 21 @ Virginia Tech Tue, Feb 24 @ Boston College Sat, Feb 28 vs Syracuse |
8 | 12 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 24% | 13% | 6% |
| Notre Dame | 3 Notre Dame Recent Games Lost Wed, Feb 04 @ Louisville 65-76 Lost Sat, Feb 07 vs Florida St. 79-82 Lost Tue, Feb 10 @ SMU 81-89 Won Sat, Feb 14 vs Georgia Tech 89-74 Sat, Feb 21 @ Pittsburgh Tue, Feb 24 vs Duke Sat, Feb 28 vs N.C. State Wed, Mar 04 vs Stanford |
10 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 15% | 45% | 32% |
| Boston College | 2 Boston College Recent Games Lost Tue, Feb 03 @ Duke 49-67 Lost Sat, Feb 07 vs Miami 68-74 Lost Wed, Feb 11 vs Stanford 64-70 Lost Sat, Feb 14 vs California 75-86 Tue, Feb 17 @ Florida St. Sat, Feb 21 @ SMU Tue, Feb 24 vs Wake Forest Sat, Feb 28 @ Miami |
10 | 12 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 84% |
| Pittsburgh | 2 Pittsburgh Recent Games Lost Tue, Feb 03 @ Virginia 47-67 Lost Sat, Feb 07 vs SMU 67-86 Lost Tue, Feb 10 vs Duke 54-70 Lost Sat, Feb 14 @ North Carolina 65-79 Sat, Feb 21 vs Notre Dame Wed, Feb 25 @ Stanford Sat, Feb 28 @ California Wed, Mar 04 vs Florida St. |
11 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 15% | 79% |
| Georgia Tech | 2 Georgia Tech Recent Games Lost Wed, Feb 04 @ California 85-90 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ Stanford 72-95 Lost Wed, Feb 11 vs Wake Forest 67-83 Lost Sat, Feb 14 @ Notre Dame 74-89 Wed, Feb 18 vs Virginia Sat, Feb 21 @ Louisville Sat, Feb 28 vs Florida St. Wed, Mar 04 vs California |
11 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 97% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 70% | ||
| (15)Notre Dame | 3 | 10 | 7% |
| (14)Wake Forest | 4 | 8 | 6% |
| (13)Stanford | 5 | 8 | 4% |
| (10)Syracuse | 6 | 7 | 3% |
| (12)Florida St. | 5 | 7 | 3% |
| (17)Pittsburgh | 2 | 11 | 2% |
| (9)Virginia Tech | 6 | 7 | 2% |
| (16)Boston College | 2 | 10 | 2% |
| (11)California | 6 | 7 | 1% |
| (18)Georgia Tech | 2 | 11 | <1% |
| (6)North Carolina | 8 | 4 | <1% |
| (5)N.C. State | 9 | 4 | <1% |
| (7)Louisville | 8 | 4 | <1% |
| (4)Miami | 9 | 3 | <1% |
| (3)Clemson | 10 | 3 | <1% |
| (2)Virginia | 10 | 2 | <1% |
| (1)Duke | 12 | 1 | X |
| Elimination | <1% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | North Carolina (20‑5) |
97‑83 | Home | Sat Jan 3, 2:15 pm |
| 10 | Clemson (20‑6) |
70‑74 | Away | Wed Jan 7, 9:00 pm |
| 10 | Duke (23‑2) |
75‑82 | Away | Sat Jan 10, 2:00 pm |
| 11 | Virginia Tech (17‑9) |
77‑76 | Home | Wed Jan 14, 9:00 pm |
| 11 | Virginia (21‑3) |
68‑72 | Home | Sat Jan 17, 12:00 pm |
| 12 | Wake Forest (13‑12) |
91‑79 | Away | Tue Jan 20, 9:00 pm |
| 12 | Florida St. (12‑13) |
83‑80 | Home | Sat Jan 24, 4:00 pm |
| 13 | Louisville (19‑6) |
74‑88 | Away | Sat Jan 31, 2:00 pm |
| 14 | N.C. State (18‑8) |
83‑84 | Home | Tue Feb 3, 9:00 pm |
| 14 | Pittsburgh (9‑17) |
86‑67 | Away | Sat Feb 7, 3:45 pm |
| 15 | Notre Dame (12‑14) |
89‑81 | Home | Tue Feb 10, 7:00 pm |
| 15 | Syracuse (15‑11) |
78‑79 | Away | Sat Feb 14, 2:00 pm |
| 16 | Louisville (19‑6) |
Home | Tue Feb 17, 7:00 pm | |
| 16 | Boston College (9‑16) |
Home | Sat Feb 21, 4:00 pm | |
| 17 | California (18‑8) |
Away | Wed Feb 25, 10:00 pm | |
| 17 | Stanford (16‑10) |
Away | Sat Feb 28, 6:00 pm | |
| 18 | Miami (20‑5) |
Home | Wed Mar 4, 7:00 pm | |
| 18 | Florida St. (12‑13) |
Away | Sat Mar 7, 2:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tarleton St. (12‑13) |
WACWAC | 96‑76 | Home | Mon Nov 3 |
| 1 | Texas A&M C.C. (13‑12) |
SouthlandSouth-land | 69‑58 | Home | Thu Nov 6 |
| 2 | Murray State (19‑8) |
Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley | 102‑91 | Home | Tue Nov 11 |
| 2 | Butler (13‑12) |
Big EastBig East | 87‑85 | Home | Sat Nov 15, 2:00 pm |
| 3 | AR Pine Bluff (11‑14) |
SouthwesternSWAC | 106‑60 | Home | Tue Nov 18, 8:00 pm |
| 3 | Arkansas St. (16‑11) |
SunbeltSunbelt | 100‑69 | Home | Fri Nov 21, 9:00 pm |
| 4 | Radford (14‑13) |
Big SouthBig South | 89‑72 | Home | Mon Nov 24, 8:00 pm |
| 4 | Mississippi St.Miss. St. (11‑13) |
SECSEC | 87‑81 (OT) | Away | Fri Nov 28, 7:00 pm |
| 5 | Vanderbilt (20‑4) |
SECSEC | 69‑88 | Away | Wed Dec 3, 9:15 pm |
| 5 | Texas A&M (17‑8) |
SECSEC | 93‑80 (OT) | Home | Sun Dec 7, 5:00 pm |
| 6 | LSU (14‑10) |
SECSEC | 77‑89 | Away | Sat Dec 13, 8:30 pm |
| 7 | Central Arkansas (17‑10) |
Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun | 99‑82 | Home | Sun Dec 21, 2:00 pm |
| 8 | CSU Fullerton (13‑13) |
Big WestBig West | 110‑63 | Home | Sun Dec 28, 3:00 pm |