Where are the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Northern Arizona standings table presents the probabilities of the Lumberjacks winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| Portland St. | 0i Portland St. Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 19 @ St. Thomas 70-76 Won Tue, Nov 28 vs Portland 75-74 Lost Sat, Dec 02 @ Washington St. 61-71 Won Wed, Dec 06 vs Lewis & Clark 104-60 Sat, Dec 09 vs George Fox Fri, Dec 15 @ San Diego Mon, Dec 18 @ Fresno St. Thu, Dec 28 @ Eastern Washington |
0 | 0 | 42% | 19% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Northern Arizona | 0 Northern Arizona Recent Games Lost Wed, Nov 22 @ Hawai'i 61-70 Lost Wed, Nov 29 @ UCSB 59-70 Won Sat, Dec 02 vs Pacific 78-58 Won Wed, Dec 06 @ Abilene Christian 78-76 Sat, Dec 09 @ Incarnate W. Sat, Dec 16 vs Southern Utah Wed, Dec 20 @ San Francisco Sat, Dec 30 @ Northern Colorado |
0 | 0 | 17% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 2% |
| Montana | 0 Montana Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 24 @ Houston 44-79 Lost Wed, Nov 29 @ Nevada 66-77 Won Sat, Dec 02 vs San José State 75-58 Won Tue, Dec 05 vs Mont. St.-Northern 91-67 Fri, Dec 08 vs Montana Tech Sun, Dec 17 @ San José State Tue, Dec 19 @ UC Davis Thu, Dec 28 @ Weber St. |
0 | 0 | 12% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% |
| Weber St. | 0 Weber St. Recent Games Won Sat, Nov 18 vs Yale 75-65 Lost Sun, Nov 19 @ Colgate 55-57 Won Mon, Nov 27 vs Navajo Tech 107-45 Lost Tue, Dec 05 @ Utah Valley 54-70 Sat, Dec 09 vs Cal Poly Wed, Dec 13 @ Nevada Sat, Dec 16 @ Wyoming Thu, Dec 21 vs Park (AZ) |
0 | 0 | 9% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 6% |
| Idaho | 0 Idaho Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 24 vs UC San Diego 73-70 Lost Wed, Nov 29 vs Denver 65-67 Won Sat, Dec 02 vs Cal Poly 85-70 Won Tue, Dec 05 vs Pacific 83-53 Sat, Dec 09 @ Utah Tech Sun, Dec 17 @ Stanford Thu, Dec 21 @ UC Riverside Thu, Dec 28 vs Sacram. St. |
0 | 0 | 8% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 6% |
| Northern Colorado | 0 Northern Colorado Recent Games Won Tue, Nov 21 @ Chicago State 78-77 Lost Wed, Nov 22 @ Radford 68-79 Lost Wed, Nov 29 @ San Diego 72-74 Won Sat, Dec 02 vs CSU Northridge 75-71 Mon, Dec 11 @ TX A&M-Comm Fri, Dec 15 @ Colorado Thu, Dec 21 @ Air Force Sat, Dec 30 vs Northern Arizona |
0 | 0 | 6% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% |
| Eastern Washington | 0 Eastern Washington Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 17 @ Stanford 70-95 Won Wed, Nov 22 vs Walla Walla 97-46 Lost Mon, Nov 27 @ Washington St. 72-82 Lost Wed, Nov 29 @ USC 78-106 Sat, Dec 09 @ Air Force Wed, Dec 13 vs Portland Bible Mon, Dec 18 @ Cal Poly Thu, Dec 21 @ Washington |
0 | 0 | 2% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 15% |
| Idaho St. | 0 Idaho St. Recent Games Won Tue, Nov 21 @ Campbell 69-55 Lost Tue, Nov 28 @ Pepperd. 62-77 Won Sat, Dec 02 vs Lindenwood 76-70 Lost Tue, Dec 05 @ Fresno St. 67-79 Sat, Dec 09 @ Southern Utah Thu, Dec 21 @ Oregon St. Thu, Dec 28 vs Montana St. Sat, Dec 30 vs Montana |
0 | 0 | 2% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 15% |
| Montana St. | 0 Montana St. Recent Games Won Wed, Nov 22 vs UC Riverside 69-68 Lost Sun, Nov 26 vs Long Beach St. 69-75 Lost Thu, Nov 30 vs Rocky Mountain 62-70 Lost Tue, Dec 05 @ Washington 61-85 Sat, Dec 16 vs SAGU American Indian Tue, Dec 19 vs Southern Utah Fri, Dec 22 @ CSU Northridge Thu, Dec 28 @ Idaho St. |
0 | 0 | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 22% |
| Sacramento St. | 0 Sacramento St. Recent Games Lost Mon, Nov 20 @ CSU Bakersfield 71-75 Lost Wed, Nov 22 vs Austin Peay 71-74 Won Sun, Nov 26 @ UC Davis 69-63 Lost Sat, Dec 02 @ Long Beach St. 73-83 Sat, Dec 09 vs CSU Fullerton Mon, Dec 18 vs UC San Diego Thu, Dec 21 vs Bethesda (CA) Thu, Dec 28 @ Idaho |
0 | 0 | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 21% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 79% | ||
| (9)Montana St. | 0 | 0 | 4% |
| (10)Sacramento St. | 0 | 0 | 4% |
| (8)Idaho St. | 0 | 0 | 3% |
| (7)Eastern Washington | 0 | 0 | 3% |
| (6)Northern Colorado | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (5)Idaho | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (4)Weber St. | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (3)Montana | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (1)Portland St. | 0 | 0 | <1% |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Northern Colorado (4‑4) |
Away | Sat Dec 30, 4:00 am | |
| 10 | Montana St. (3‑5) |
Away | Thu Jan 11, 9:00 am | |
| 10 | Montana (4‑4) |
Away | Sat Jan 13, 9:00 am | |
| 11 | Portland St. (7‑2) |
Home | Thu Jan 18, 8:00 am | |
| 11 | Sacramento St. (2‑6) |
Home | Sat Jan 20, 4:00 am | |
| 12 | Idaho (5‑4) |
Away | Thu Jan 25, 9:00 am | |
| 12 | Eastern Washington (1‑6) |
Away | Sat Jan 27, 4:00 am | |
| 13 | Weber St. (4‑3) |
Home | Thu Feb 1, 8:00 am | |
| 13 | Idaho St. (4‑5) |
Home | Sat Feb 3, 4:00 am | |
| 14 | Montana (4‑4) |
Home | Thu Feb 8, 8:00 am | |
| 14 | Montana St. (3‑5) |
Home | Sat Feb 10, 4:00 am | |
| 15 | Sacramento St. (2‑6) |
Away | Thu Feb 15, 9:00 am | |
| 15 | Portland St. (7‑2) |
Away | Sat Feb 17, 7:00 am | |
| 16 | Eastern Washington (1‑6) |
Home | Thu Feb 22, 8:00 am | |
| 16 | Idaho (5‑4) |
Home | Sat Feb 24, 4:00 am | |
| 17 | Idaho St. (4‑5) |
Away | Thu Feb 29, 9:00 am | |
| 17 | Weber St. (4‑3) |
Away | Sat Mar 2, 4:00 am | |
| 18 | Northern Colorado (4‑4) |
Home | Mon Mar 4, 8:00 am |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UConn (8‑1) |
Big EastBig East | 52‑95 | Away | Mon Nov 6, 6:30 am |
| 1 | Grand Canyon (7‑1) |
WACWAC | 55‑89 | Away | Sun Nov 12, 5:30 am |
| 2 | Seattle (5‑3) |
WACWAC | 62‑60 | Away | Wed Nov 15, 10:00 am |
| 2 | Fort Wayne (9‑1) |
HorizonHorizon | 67‑77 | Home | Fri Nov 17, 4:30 am |
| 2 | VMI (2‑7) |
SouthernSouthern | 78‑69 | Home | Sat Nov 18, 2:00 am |
| 3 | Hawai'i (6‑1) |
Big WestBig West | 61‑70 | Away | Wed Nov 22, 1:30 am |
| 4 | UCSB (4‑3) |
Big WestBig West | 59‑70 | Away | Wed Nov 29, 10:00 am |
| 4 | Pacific (4‑6) |
West CoastWest Coast | 78‑58 | Home | Sat Dec 2, 4:00 am |
| 5 | Abilene Christian (3‑6) |
WACWAC | 78‑76 | Away | Wed Dec 6, 8:00 am |
| 5 | Incarnate Word (3‑5) |
SouthlandSouth-land | Away | Sat Dec 9, 4:00 am | |
| 6 | Southern Utah (2‑6) |
WACWAC | Home | Sat Dec 16, 4:00 am | |
| 7 | San Francisco (6‑3) |
West CoastWest Coast | Away | Wed Dec 20, 10:00 am | |
| 9 | Nebraska Omaha (5‑5) |
SummitSummit | Away | Wed Jan 3, 8:00 am | |
| 9 | North Dakota (6‑3) |
SummitSummit | Home | Sat Jan 6, 3:00 am |