PlayoffStatus.com

Fri Dec 8 8:45 am

Big Sky Basketball - Week 5 of 18

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Standings

Where are the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Northern Arizona standings table presents the probabilities of the Lumberjacks winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Big Sky Basketball Standings
Record Rcrd Regular Season Finish
Team Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
L GPi
Games Played
18 game season
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5*
First Round Bye
6*
First Round Bye
7 8 9 10
Portland St. 0i
Portland St. Recent Games

Lost Sun, Nov 19 @  St. Thomas          70-76 
Won  Tue, Nov 28 vs Portland            75-74 
Lost Sat, Dec 02 @  Washington St.      61-71 
Won  Wed, Dec 06 vs Lewis & Clark      104-60 
     Sat, Dec 09 vs George Fox         
     Fri, Dec 15 @  San Diego          
     Mon, Dec 18 @  Fresno St.         
     Thu, Dec 28 @  Eastern Washington 

0 0 42% 19% 13% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1%
Northern Arizona 0
Northern Arizona Recent Games

Lost Wed, Nov 22 @  Hawai'i             61-70 
Lost Wed, Nov 29 @  UCSB                59-70 
Won  Sat, Dec 02 vs Pacific             78-58 
Won  Wed, Dec 06 @  Abilene Christian   78-76 
     Sat, Dec 09 @  Incarnate W.       
     Sat, Dec 16 vs Southern Utah      
     Wed, Dec 20 @  San Francisco      
     Sat, Dec 30 @  Northern Colorado  

0 0 17% 17% 14% 12% 10% 9% 8% 6% 5% 2%
Montana 0
Montana Recent Games

Lost Fri, Nov 24 @  Houston             44-79 
Lost Wed, Nov 29 @  Nevada              66-77 
Won  Sat, Dec 02 vs San José State      75-58 
Won  Tue, Dec 05 vs Mont. St.-Northern  91-67 
     Fri, Dec 08 vs Montana Tech       
     Sun, Dec 17 @  San José State     
     Tue, Dec 19 @  UC Davis           
     Thu, Dec 28 @  Weber St.          

0 0 12% 14% 13% 12% 11% 10% 9% 8% 6% 4%
Weber St. 0
Weber St. Recent Games

Won  Sat, Nov 18 vs Yale                75-65 
Lost Sun, Nov 19 @  Colgate             55-57 
Won  Mon, Nov 27 vs Navajo Tech        107-45 
Lost Tue, Dec 05 @  Utah Valley         54-70 
     Sat, Dec 09 vs Cal Poly           
     Wed, Dec 13 @  Nevada             
     Sat, Dec 16 @  Wyoming            
     Thu, Dec 21 vs Park (AZ)          

0 0 9% 12% 12% 11% 11% 11% 10% 10% 8% 6%
Idaho 0
Idaho Recent Games

Won  Fri, Nov 24 vs UC San Diego        73-70 
Lost Wed, Nov 29 vs Denver              65-67 
Won  Sat, Dec 02 vs Cal Poly            85-70 
Won  Tue, Dec 05 vs Pacific             83-53 
     Sat, Dec 09 @  Utah Tech          
     Sun, Dec 17 @  Stanford           
     Thu, Dec 21 @  UC Riverside       
     Thu, Dec 28 vs Sacram. St.        

0 0 8% 11% 12% 12% 11% 11% 11% 10% 9% 6%
Northern Colorado 0
Northern Colorado Recent Games

Won  Tue, Nov 21 @  Chicago State       78-77 
Lost Wed, Nov 22 @  Radford             68-79 
Lost Wed, Nov 29 @  San Diego           72-74 
Won  Sat, Dec 02 vs CSU Northridge      75-71 
     Mon, Dec 11 @  TX A&M-Comm        
     Fri, Dec 15 @  Colorado           
     Thu, Dec 21 @  Air Force          
     Sat, Dec 30 vs Northern Arizona   

0 0 6% 10% 11% 12% 11% 11% 11% 11% 10% 8%
Eastern Washington 0
Eastern Washington Recent Games

Lost Fri, Nov 17 @  Stanford            70-95 
Won  Wed, Nov 22 vs Walla Walla         97-46 
Lost Mon, Nov 27 @  Washington St.      72-82 
Lost Wed, Nov 29 @  USC                 78-106
     Sat, Dec 09 @  Air Force          
     Wed, Dec 13 vs Portland Bible     
     Mon, Dec 18 @  Cal Poly           
     Thu, Dec 21 @  Washington         

0 0 2% 5% 8% 9% 11% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15%
Idaho St. 0
Idaho St. Recent Games

Won  Tue, Nov 21 @  Campbell            69-55 
Lost Tue, Nov 28 @  Pepperd.            62-77 
Won  Sat, Dec 02 vs Lindenwood          76-70 
Lost Tue, Dec 05 @  Fresno St.          67-79 
     Sat, Dec 09 @  Southern Utah      
     Thu, Dec 21 @  Oregon St.         
     Thu, Dec 28 vs Montana St.        
     Sat, Dec 30 vs Montana            

0 0 2% 5% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15%
Montana St. 0
Montana St. Recent Games

Won  Wed, Nov 22 vs UC Riverside        69-68 
Lost Sun, Nov 26 vs Long Beach St.      69-75 
Lost Thu, Nov 30 vs Rocky Mountain      62-70 
Lost Tue, Dec 05 @  Washington          61-85 
     Sat, Dec 16 vs SAGU American Indian 
     Tue, Dec 19 vs Southern Utah      
     Fri, Dec 22 @  CSU Northridge     
     Thu, Dec 28 @  Idaho St.          

0 0 1% 3% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 14% 17% 22%
Sacramento St. 0
Sacramento St. Recent Games

Lost Mon, Nov 20 @  CSU Bakersfield     71-75 
Lost Wed, Nov 22 vs Austin Peay         71-74 
Won  Sun, Nov 26 @  UC Davis            69-63 
Lost Sat, Dec 02 @  Long Beach St.      73-83 
     Sat, Dec 09 vs CSU Fullerton      
     Mon, Dec 18 vs UC San Diego       
     Thu, Dec 21 vs Bethesda (CA)      
     Thu, Dec 28 @  Idaho              

0 0 1% 3% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 14% 17% 21%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament


(2) Lumberjacks 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Probability
Opponent W L
Bye 79%
(9)Montana St. 0 0 4%
(10)Sacramento St. 0 0 4%
(8)Idaho St. 0 0 3%
(7)Eastern Washington 0 0 3%
(6)Northern Colorado 0 0 2%
(5)Idaho 0 0 2%
(4)Weber St. 0 0 2%
(3)Montana 0 0 2%
(1)Portland St. 0 0 <1%
Elimination X



Lumberjacks Conference Schedule
Current Week 5
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
8 Northern Colorado
(4‑4)
  Away Sat Dec 30, 4:00 am
10 Montana St.
(3‑5)
  Away Thu Jan 11, 9:00 am
10 Montana
(4‑4)
  Away Sat Jan 13, 9:00 am
11 Portland St.
(7‑2)
  Home Thu Jan 18, 8:00 am
11 Sacramento St.
(2‑6)
  Home Sat Jan 20, 4:00 am
12 Idaho
(5‑4)
  Away Thu Jan 25, 9:00 am
12 Eastern Washington
(1‑6)
  Away Sat Jan 27, 4:00 am
13 Weber St.
(4‑3)
  Home Thu Feb 1, 8:00 am
13 Idaho St.
(4‑5)
  Home Sat Feb 3, 4:00 am
14 Montana
(4‑4)
  Home Thu Feb 8, 8:00 am
14 Montana St.
(3‑5)
  Home Sat Feb 10, 4:00 am
15 Sacramento St.
(2‑6)
  Away Thu Feb 15, 9:00 am
15 Portland St.
(7‑2)
  Away Sat Feb 17, 7:00 am
16 Eastern Washington
(1‑6)
  Home Thu Feb 22, 8:00 am
16 Idaho
(5‑4)
  Home Sat Feb 24, 4:00 am
17 Idaho St.
(4‑5)
  Away Thu Feb 29, 9:00 am
17 Weber St.
(4‑3)
  Away Sat Mar 2, 4:00 am
18 Northern Colorado
(4‑4)
  Home Mon Mar 4, 8:00 am


Lumberjacks Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 UConn
(8‑1)
Big EastBig East 52‑95 Away Mon Nov 6, 6:30 am
1 Grand Canyon
(7‑1)
WACWAC 55‑89 Away Sun Nov 12, 5:30 am
2 Seattle
(5‑3)
WACWAC 62‑60 Away Wed Nov 15, 10:00 am
2 Fort Wayne
(9‑1)
HorizonHorizon 67‑77 Home Fri Nov 17, 4:30 am
2 VMI
(2‑7)
SouthernSouthern 78‑69 Home Sat Nov 18, 2:00 am
3 Hawai'i
(6‑1)
Big WestBig West 61‑70 Away Wed Nov 22, 1:30 am
4 UCSB
(4‑3)
Big WestBig West 59‑70 Away Wed Nov 29, 10:00 am
4 Pacific
(4‑6)
West CoastWest Coast 78‑58 Home Sat Dec 2, 4:00 am
5 Abilene Christian
(3‑6)
WACWAC 78‑76 Away Wed Dec 6, 8:00 am
5 Incarnate Word
(3‑5)
SouthlandSouth-land   Away Sat Dec 9, 4:00 am
6 Southern Utah
(2‑6)
WACWAC   Home Sat Dec 16, 4:00 am
7 San Francisco
(6‑3)
West CoastWest Coast   Away Wed Dec 20, 10:00 am
9 Nebraska Omaha
(5‑5)
SummitSummit   Away Wed Jan 3, 8:00 am
9 North Dakota
(6‑3)
SummitSummit   Home Sat Jan 6, 3:00 am