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Sun Feb 5 12:15 am

Big Sky Basketball - Week 14 of 17

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Standings

Where are the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Northern Arizona standings table presents the probabilities of the Lumberjacks winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Big Sky Basketball Standings
Record Rcrd Regular Season Finish
Team Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
L GPi
Games Played
18 game season
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5*
First Round Bye
6*
First Round Bye
7 8 9 10
Eastern Washington 12i
Eastern Washington Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 26 vs Idaho St.           81-68 
Won  Sat, Jan 28 vs Weber St.           75-71 
Won  Thu, Feb 02 @  Sacram. St.         82-63 
Won  Sat, Feb 04 @  Portland St.        98-88 
     Sat, Feb 11 @  Idaho              
     Thu, Feb 16 vs Northern Arizona   
     Sat, Feb 18 vs Northern Colorado  
     Thu, Feb 23 @  Weber St.          

0 12 90% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Montana St. 10
Montana St. Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 26 @  Portland St.        75-66 
Won  Sat, Jan 28 @  Sacram. St.         72-65 
Won  Thu, Feb 02 vs Northern Arizona    69-68 
Won  Sat, Feb 04 vs Northern Colorado   75-62 
     Thu, Feb 09 @  Weber St.          
     Sat, Feb 11 @  Idaho St.          
     Sat, Feb 18 vs Montana            
     Thu, Feb 23 vs Sacram. St.        

2 12 10% 78% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Weber St. 7
Weber St. Recent Games

Won  Sat, Jan 21 vs Sacram. St.         50-48 
Won  Thu, Jan 26 @  Idaho               73-65 
Lost Sat, Jan 28 @  Eastern Washington  71-75 
Won  Sat, Feb 04 @  Idaho St.           72-71 
     Mon, Feb 06 @  Northern Colorado  
     Thu, Feb 09 vs Montana St.        
     Sat, Feb 11 vs Montana            
     Thu, Feb 16 @  Sacram. St.        

3 10 <1% 11% 61% 17% 7% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Montana 6
Montana Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 26 @  Sacram. St.         48-67 
Won  Sat, Jan 28 @  Portland St.        73-67 
Won  Thu, Feb 02 vs Northern Colorado   69-67 
Won  Sat, Feb 04 vs Northern Arizona    67-66 
     Thu, Feb 09 @  Idaho St.          
     Sat, Feb 11 @  Weber St.          
     Sat, Feb 18 @  Montana St.        
     Thu, Feb 23 vs Portland St.       

6 12 X <1% 13% 34% 28% 16% 7% 2% <1% <1%
Idaho St. 5
Idaho St. Recent Games

Lost Sat, Jan 21 vs Portland St.        65-72 
Lost Thu, Jan 26 @  Eastern Washington  68-81 
Won  Sat, Jan 28 @  Idaho               95-91 
Lost Sat, Feb 04 vs Weber St.           71-72 
     Mon, Feb 06 @  Northern Arizona   
     Thu, Feb 09 vs Montana            
     Sat, Feb 11 vs Montana St.        
     Thu, Feb 16 @  Portland St.       

5 10 <1% <1% 4% 14% 20% 24% 22% 11% 4% 1%
Sacramento St. 5
Sacramento St. Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 26 vs Montana             67-48 
Lost Sat, Jan 28 vs Montana St.         65-72 
Lost Thu, Feb 02 vs Eastern Washington  63-82 
Lost Sat, Feb 04 vs Idaho               76-82 
     Thu, Feb 09 @  Northern Arizona   
     Sat, Feb 11 @  Northern Colorado  
     Thu, Feb 16 vs Weber St.          
     Sat, Feb 18 vs Idaho St.          

6 11 X <1% 9% 26% 26% 20% 12% 5% 1% <1%
Portland St. 4
Portland St. Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 26 vs Montana St.         66-75 
Lost Sat, Jan 28 vs Montana             67-73 
Won  Thu, Feb 02 vs Idaho               69-66 
Lost Sat, Feb 04 vs Eastern Washington  88-98 
     Thu, Feb 09 @  Northern Colorado  
     Sat, Feb 11 @  Northern Arizona   
     Thu, Feb 16 vs Idaho St.          
     Sat, Feb 18 vs Weber St.          

7 11 X <1% 2% 8% 16% 25% 26% 15% 7% 2%
Idaho 3
Idaho Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 26 vs Weber St.           65-73 
Lost Sat, Jan 28 vs Idaho St.           91-95 
Lost Thu, Feb 02 @  Portland St.        66-69 
Won  Sat, Feb 04 @  Sacram. St.         82-76 
     Sat, Feb 11 vs Eastern Washington 
     Thu, Feb 16 vs Northern Colorado  
     Sat, Feb 18 vs Northern Arizona   
     Thu, Feb 23 @  Idaho St.          

9 12 X X <1% <1% 1% 4% 11% 29% 33% 23%
Northern Arizona 2
Northern Arizona Recent Games

Lost Sat, Jan 21 vs Eastern Washington  76-79 
Won  Sat, Jan 28 vs Northern Colorado   83-73 
Lost Thu, Feb 02 @  Montana St.         68-69 
Lost Sat, Feb 04 @  Montana             66-67 
     Mon, Feb 06 vs Idaho St.          
     Thu, Feb 09 vs Sacram. St.        
     Sat, Feb 11 vs Portland St.       
     Thu, Feb 16 @  Eastern Washington 

9 11 X X <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 17% 28% 43%
Northern Colorado 2
Northern Colorado Recent Games

Won  Sat, Jan 21 vs Idaho               73-67 
Lost Sat, Jan 28 @  Northern Arizona    73-83 
Lost Thu, Feb 02 @  Montana             67-69 
Lost Sat, Feb 04 @  Montana St.         62-75 
     Mon, Feb 06 vs Weber St.          
     Thu, Feb 09 vs Portland St.       
     Sat, Feb 11 vs Sacram. St.        
     Thu, Feb 16 @  Idaho              

9 11 X X <1% <1% 2% 6% 14% 22% 26% 31%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament


(9) Lumberjacks 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Probability
Opponent W L
Bye 4%
(8)Idaho 3 9 30%
(10)Northern Colorado 2 9 24%
(7)Portland St. 4 7 17%
(5)Idaho St. 5 5 15%
(6)Sacramento St. 5 6 7%
(4)Montana 6 6 4%
(3)Weber St. 7 3 <1%
(2)Montana St. 10 2 <1%
(1)Eastern Washington 12 0 X
Elimination X



Lumberjacks Conference Schedule
Current Week 14
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
8 Idaho St.
(8‑15)
53‑79 Away Thu Dec 29, 9:00 pm
8 Weber St.
(12‑11)
60‑76 Away Sat Dec 31, 4:00 pm
9 Montana
(12‑12)
75‑74 (OT) Home Thu Jan 5, 8:00 pm
9 Montana St.
(17‑8)
54‑69 Home Sat Jan 7, 4:00 pm
10 Portland St.
(10‑14)
74‑75 Away Thu Jan 12, 10:00 pm
10 Sacramento St.
(12‑12)
56‑59 Away Sat Jan 14, 5:00 pm
11 Idaho
(9‑16)
83‑88 Home Thu Jan 19, 8:00 pm
11 Eastern Washington
(18‑7)
76‑79 Home Sat Jan 21, 4:00 pm
12 Northern Colorado
(7‑16)
83‑73 Home Sat Jan 28, 4:00 pm
13 Montana St.
(17‑8)
68‑69 Away Thu Feb 2, 9:00 pm
13 Montana
(12‑12)
66‑67 Away Sat Feb 4, 9:00 pm
14 Idaho St.
(8‑15)
  Home Mon Feb 6, 8:00 pm
14 Sacramento St.
(12‑12)
  Home Thu Feb 9, 8:00 pm
14 Portland St.
(10‑14)
  Home Sat Feb 11, 4:00 pm
15 Eastern Washington
(18‑7)
  Away Thu Feb 16, 9:00 pm
15 Idaho
(9‑16)
  Away Sat Feb 18, 3:00 pm
16 Northern Colorado
(7‑16)
  Away Sat Feb 25, 3:00 pm
17 Weber St.
(12‑11)
  Home Mon Feb 27, 8:00 pm


Lumberjacks Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 Michigan St.
(14‑9)
Big 10Big 10 55‑73 Away Mon Nov 7
1 Arizona St.
(16‑8)
PAC 12PAC 12 68‑84 Away Thu Nov 10
1 Utah Valley
(18‑6)
WACWAC 69‑73 Away Sat Nov 12
2 BENEDICTINE (AZ) ‑‑ 105‑49 Home Tue Nov 15
2 UCSB
(18‑3)
Big WestBig West 63‑54 Home Fri Nov 18
3 Texas
(19‑4)
Big 12Big 12 48‑73 Home Mon Nov 21
3 UT-Rio Grande Valley
(12‑12)
WACWAC 79‑91 Away Tue Nov 22
3 Abilene Christian
(13‑11)
WACWAC 82‑92 Home Sun Nov 27
4 OTTAWA U. ARIZONA ‑‑ 82‑51 Home Tue Nov 29
4 Pepperdine
(8‑17)
West CoastWest Coast 69‑88 Away Sat Dec 3
5 Pacific
(11‑14)
West CoastWest Coast 73‑69 Away Tue Dec 6, 10:00 pm
5 Utah Valley
(18‑6)
WACWAC 75‑80 (OT) Home Sat Dec 10, 4:00 pm
6 Southern Utah
(16‑8)
WACWAC 101‑106 (OT) Away Sat Dec 17, 3:00 pm