Where are the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Northern Arizona standings table presents the probabilities of the Lumberjacks winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| Montana | 0i Montana Recent Games Won Wed, Nov 27 vs CSU Northridge 83-75 Won Wed, Dec 04 vs South Dakota St. 71-67 Lost Sat, Dec 07 @ St. Thomas 81-88 Won Tue, Dec 10 vs Montana Tech 89-60 Mon, Dec 16 @ Northern Iowa Sat, Dec 21 @ San Francisco Thu, Jan 02 @ Eastern Washington Sat, Jan 04 @ Idaho |
0 | 0 | 30% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Northern Colorado | 0 Northern Colorado Recent Games Won Tue, Nov 26 vs Northern N.M. 92-50 Lost Fri, Nov 29 @ Texas Tech 64-89 Lost Wed, Dec 04 vs St. Thomas 75-87 Lost Sat, Dec 07 @ North Dakota St. 70-82 Mon, Dec 16 vs Air Force Sat, Dec 21 @ Denver Thu, Jan 02 vs Weber St. Sat, Jan 04 vs Idaho St. |
0 | 0 | 15% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% |
| Montana St. | 0 Montana St. Recent Games Won Tue, Nov 26 vs Abilene Christian 85-59 Lost Sat, Nov 30 vs CSU Northridge 69-72 Won Wed, Dec 04 @ Nebraska O. 76-65 Won Sat, Dec 07 vs UMKC 74-62 Sun, Dec 15 @ USC Wed, Dec 18 @ UC Riverside Sun, Dec 22 @ TCU Thu, Jan 02 @ Idaho |
0 | 0 | 15% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% |
| Northern Arizona | 0 Northern Arizona Recent Games Won Wed, Nov 27 @ H. Christian 74-71 Lost Wed, Dec 04 @ O. Roberts 76-83 Won Sat, Dec 07 vs South Dakota 95-82 Lost Sat, Dec 14 @ Pepperd. 76-86 Sat, Dec 21 @ Southern Utah Mon, Dec 30 vs Benedictine Mesa Thu, Jan 02 vs Idaho St. Sat, Jan 04 vs Weber St. |
0 | 0 | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 4% |
| Weber St. | 0 Weber St. Recent Games Won Sat, Nov 30 @ Pepperd. 68-53 Lost Wed, Dec 04 vs North Dakota St. 73-77 Lost Sat, Dec 07 @ North Dakota 75-80 Won Fri, Dec 13 @ Utah Tech 73-71 Wed, Dec 18 vs Lincoln (CA) Sat, Dec 21 vs Utah Valley Sun, Dec 29 @ Oregon Thu, Jan 02 @ Northern Colorado |
0 | 0 | 7% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% |
| Idaho St. | 0 Idaho St. Recent Games Lost Wed, Nov 20 @ UCLA 70-84 Won Mon, Nov 25 vs Embry-Riddle (AZ) 97-46 Lost Wed, Dec 04 @ South Dakota 80-94 Won Sat, Dec 07 vs O. Roberts 71-55 Sat, Dec 14 vs Walla Walla Wed, Dec 18 vs Utah Valley Thu, Jan 02 @ Northern Arizona Sat, Jan 04 @ Northern Colorado |
0 | 0 | 7% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% |
| Idaho | 0 Idaho Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 24 @ San Diego 61-68 Won Sat, Nov 30 vs UC Riverside 80-68 Won Wed, Dec 04 @ UMKC 82-77 Lost Sat, Dec 07 @ Oregon St. 62-78 Sun, Dec 15 vs UC San Diego Wed, Dec 18 @ UC Davis Sat, Dec 21 @ Pacific Thu, Jan 02 vs Montana St. |
0 | 0 | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 10% |
| Portland St. | 0 Portland St. Recent Games Won Sat, Nov 30 vs Utah Tech 71-68 Lost Wed, Dec 04 @ Seattle 74-91 Lost Sat, Dec 07 vs Denver 67-68 Won Sat, Dec 14 vs TBD 110-48 Wed, Dec 18 @ Pacific Sat, Dec 21 @ CSU Bakersfield Tue, Dec 31 vs Walla Walla Sat, Jan 04 @ Sacram. St. |
0 | 0 | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% |
| Eastern Washington | 0 Eastern Washington Recent Games Lost Sat, Nov 30 @ Utah 80-88 Won Wed, Dec 04 vs North Dakota 87-81 Lost Sat, Dec 07 @ South Dakota St. 53-74 Lost Tue, Dec 10 @ Washington 69-87 Sat, Dec 21 vs Lincoln (CA) Mon, Dec 30 vs Eastern Ore. Thu, Jan 02 vs Montana Sat, Jan 04 vs Montana St. |
0 | 0 | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 15% |
| Sacramento St. | 0 Sacramento St. Recent Games Won Wed, Nov 27 @ Air Force 63-61 Lost Sat, Nov 30 vs Mercyhurst 60-66 Lost Wed, Dec 04 @ Denver 59-80 Lost Sat, Dec 07 vs Nebraska O. 60-70 Sat, Dec 14 vs UC Davis Tue, Dec 17 @ Oregon St. Sun, Dec 22 vs Stanislaus St. Mon, Dec 30 vs Bethesda (CA) |
0 | 0 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 37% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 71% | ||
| (10)Sacramento St. | 0 | 0 | 7% |
| (9)Eastern Washington | 0 | 0 | 4% |
| (8)Portland St. | 0 | 0 | 3% |
| (7)Idaho | 0 | 0 | 3% |
| (6)Idaho St. | 0 | 0 | 3% |
| (5)Weber St. | 0 | 0 | 3% |
| (2)Northern Colorado | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (3)Montana St. | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (1)Montana | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Idaho St. (4‑5) |
Home | Thu Jan 2, 8:00 pm | |
| 9 | Weber St. (5‑6) |
Home | Sat Jan 4, 4:00 pm | |
| 10 | Montana (7‑4) |
Away | Thu Jan 9, 9:00 pm | |
| 10 | Montana St. (5‑5) |
Away | Sat Jan 11, 8:00 pm | |
| 11 | Sacramento St. (2‑7) |
Home | Thu Jan 16, 8:00 pm | |
| 11 | Portland St. (5‑5) |
Home | Sat Jan 18, 8:00 pm | |
| 12 | Eastern Washington (2‑9) |
Away | Thu Jan 23, 9:00 pm | |
| 12 | Idaho (4‑6) |
Away | Sat Jan 25, 3:00 pm | |
| 13 | Northern Colorado (6‑5) |
Away | Sat Feb 1, 4:00 pm | |
| 14 | Weber St. (5‑6) |
Away | Mon Feb 3, 8:00 pm | |
| 14 | Montana St. (5‑5) |
Home | Thu Feb 6, 8:00 pm | |
| 14 | Montana (7‑4) |
Home | Sat Feb 8, 8:00 pm | |
| 15 | Portland St. (5‑5) |
Away | Thu Feb 13, 10:00 pm | |
| 15 | Sacramento St. (2‑7) |
Away | Sat Feb 15, 4:00 pm | |
| 16 | Idaho (4‑6) |
Home | Thu Feb 20, 8:00 pm | |
| 16 | Eastern Washington (2‑9) |
Home | Sat Feb 22, 4:00 pm | |
| 17 | Northern Colorado (6‑5) |
Home | Sat Mar 1, 9:00 pm | |
| 18 | Idaho St. (4‑5) |
Away | Mon Mar 3, 9:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Park (AZ) | ‑‑ | 100‑49 | Home | Mon Nov 4, 8:00 pm |
| 1 | Nelson | ‑‑ | 115‑67 | Home | Fri Nov 8, 8:00 pm |
| 2 | Stanford (8‑2) |
ACCACC | 64‑90 | Away | Tue Nov 12, 10:00 pm |
| 2 | Pacific (5‑6) |
West CoastWest Coast | 60‑57 | Away | Thu Nov 14, 10:00 pm |
| 3 | Embry-Riddle (AZ) | ‑‑ | 82‑47 | Home | Tue Nov 19, 2:00 pm |
| 3 | Incarnate Word (5‑5) |
SouthlandSouth-land | 75‑74 | Home | Fri Nov 22, 8:00 pm |
| 4 | Eastern Michigan (5‑4) |
MACMAC | 68‑72 | Home | Tue Nov 26, 9:00 pm |
| 4 | Houston Christian (3‑7) |
SouthlandSouth-land | 74‑71 | Away | Wed Nov 27, 8:00 pm |
| 5 | Oral Roberts (3‑7) |
SummitSummit | 76‑83 | Away | Wed Dec 4, 8:00 pm |
| 5 | South Dakota (9‑4) |
SummitSummit | 95‑82 | Home | Sat Dec 7, 2:00 pm |
| 6 | Pepperdine (5‑6) |
West CoastWest Coast | 76‑86 | Away | Sat Dec 14, 9:00 pm |
| 7 | Southern Utah (8‑3) |
WACWAC | Away | Sat Dec 21, 4:00 pm | |
| 9 | Benedictine Mesa | ‑‑ | Home | Mon Dec 30, 8:00 pm |