Where are the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Northern Arizona standings table presents the probabilities of the Lumberjacks winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| Eastern Washington | 12i Eastern Washington Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 26 vs Idaho St. 81-68 Won Sat, Jan 28 vs Weber St. 75-71 Won Thu, Feb 02 @ Sacram. St. 82-63 Won Sat, Feb 04 @ Portland St. 98-88 Sat, Feb 11 @ Idaho Thu, Feb 16 vs Northern Arizona Sat, Feb 18 vs Northern Colorado Thu, Feb 23 @ Weber St. |
0 | 12 | 90% | 10% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Montana St. | 10 Montana St. Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 26 @ Portland St. 75-66 Won Sat, Jan 28 @ Sacram. St. 72-65 Won Thu, Feb 02 vs Northern Arizona 69-68 Won Sat, Feb 04 vs Northern Colorado 75-62 Thu, Feb 09 @ Weber St. Sat, Feb 11 @ Idaho St. Sat, Feb 18 vs Montana Thu, Feb 23 vs Sacram. St. |
2 | 12 | 10% | 78% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Weber St. | 7 Weber St. Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 21 vs Sacram. St. 50-48 Won Thu, Jan 26 @ Idaho 73-65 Lost Sat, Jan 28 @ Eastern Washington 71-75 Won Sat, Feb 04 @ Idaho St. 72-71 Mon, Feb 06 @ Northern Colorado Thu, Feb 09 vs Montana St. Sat, Feb 11 vs Montana Thu, Feb 16 @ Sacram. St. |
3 | 10 | <1% | 11% | 61% | 17% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Montana | 6 Montana Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 26 @ Sacram. St. 48-67 Won Sat, Jan 28 @ Portland St. 73-67 Won Thu, Feb 02 vs Northern Colorado 69-67 Won Sat, Feb 04 vs Northern Arizona 67-66 Thu, Feb 09 @ Idaho St. Sat, Feb 11 @ Weber St. Sat, Feb 18 @ Montana St. Thu, Feb 23 vs Portland St. |
6 | 12 | X | <1% | 13% | 34% | 28% | 16% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Idaho St. | 5 Idaho St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 21 vs Portland St. 65-72 Lost Thu, Jan 26 @ Eastern Washington 68-81 Won Sat, Jan 28 @ Idaho 95-91 Lost Sat, Feb 04 vs Weber St. 71-72 Mon, Feb 06 @ Northern Arizona Thu, Feb 09 vs Montana Sat, Feb 11 vs Montana St. Thu, Feb 16 @ Portland St. |
5 | 10 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 14% | 20% | 24% | 22% | 11% | 4% | 1% |
| Sacramento St. | 5 Sacramento St. Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 26 vs Montana 67-48 Lost Sat, Jan 28 vs Montana St. 65-72 Lost Thu, Feb 02 vs Eastern Washington 63-82 Lost Sat, Feb 04 vs Idaho 76-82 Thu, Feb 09 @ Northern Arizona Sat, Feb 11 @ Northern Colorado Thu, Feb 16 vs Weber St. Sat, Feb 18 vs Idaho St. |
6 | 11 | X | <1% | 9% | 26% | 26% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Portland St. | 4 Portland St. Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 26 vs Montana St. 66-75 Lost Sat, Jan 28 vs Montana 67-73 Won Thu, Feb 02 vs Idaho 69-66 Lost Sat, Feb 04 vs Eastern Washington 88-98 Thu, Feb 09 @ Northern Colorado Sat, Feb 11 @ Northern Arizona Thu, Feb 16 vs Idaho St. Sat, Feb 18 vs Weber St. |
7 | 11 | X | <1% | 2% | 8% | 16% | 25% | 26% | 15% | 7% | 2% |
| Idaho | 3 Idaho Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 26 vs Weber St. 65-73 Lost Sat, Jan 28 vs Idaho St. 91-95 Lost Thu, Feb 02 @ Portland St. 66-69 Won Sat, Feb 04 @ Sacram. St. 82-76 Sat, Feb 11 vs Eastern Washington Thu, Feb 16 vs Northern Colorado Sat, Feb 18 vs Northern Arizona Thu, Feb 23 @ Idaho St. |
9 | 12 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 29% | 33% | 23% |
| Northern Arizona | 2 Northern Arizona Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 21 vs Eastern Washington 76-79 Won Sat, Jan 28 vs Northern Colorado 83-73 Lost Thu, Feb 02 @ Montana St. 68-69 Lost Sat, Feb 04 @ Montana 66-67 Mon, Feb 06 vs Idaho St. Thu, Feb 09 vs Sacram. St. Sat, Feb 11 vs Portland St. Thu, Feb 16 @ Eastern Washington |
9 | 11 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 17% | 28% | 43% |
| Northern Colorado | 2 Northern Colorado Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 21 vs Idaho 73-67 Lost Sat, Jan 28 @ Northern Arizona 73-83 Lost Thu, Feb 02 @ Montana 67-69 Lost Sat, Feb 04 @ Montana St. 62-75 Mon, Feb 06 vs Weber St. Thu, Feb 09 vs Portland St. Sat, Feb 11 vs Sacram. St. Thu, Feb 16 @ Idaho |
9 | 11 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 22% | 26% | 31% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 4% | ||
| (8)Idaho | 3 | 9 | 30% |
| (10)Northern Colorado | 2 | 9 | 24% |
| (7)Portland St. | 4 | 7 | 17% |
| (5)Idaho St. | 5 | 5 | 15% |
| (6)Sacramento St. | 5 | 6 | 7% |
| (4)Montana | 6 | 6 | 4% |
| (3)Weber St. | 7 | 3 | <1% |
| (2)Montana St. | 10 | 2 | <1% |
| (1)Eastern Washington | 12 | 0 | X |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Idaho St. (8‑15) |
53‑79 | Away | Thu Dec 29, 9:00 pm |
| 8 | Weber St. (12‑11) |
60‑76 | Away | Sat Dec 31, 4:00 pm |
| 9 | Montana (12‑12) |
75‑74 (OT) | Home | Thu Jan 5, 8:00 pm |
| 9 | Montana St. (17‑8) |
54‑69 | Home | Sat Jan 7, 4:00 pm |
| 10 | Portland St. (10‑14) |
74‑75 | Away | Thu Jan 12, 10:00 pm |
| 10 | Sacramento St. (12‑12) |
56‑59 | Away | Sat Jan 14, 5:00 pm |
| 11 | Idaho (9‑16) |
83‑88 | Home | Thu Jan 19, 8:00 pm |
| 11 | Eastern Washington (18‑7) |
76‑79 | Home | Sat Jan 21, 4:00 pm |
| 12 | Northern Colorado (7‑16) |
83‑73 | Home | Sat Jan 28, 4:00 pm |
| 13 | Montana St. (17‑8) |
68‑69 | Away | Thu Feb 2, 9:00 pm |
| 13 | Montana (12‑12) |
66‑67 | Away | Sat Feb 4, 9:00 pm |
| 14 | Idaho St. (8‑15) |
Home | Mon Feb 6, 8:00 pm | |
| 14 | Sacramento St. (12‑12) |
Home | Thu Feb 9, 8:00 pm | |
| 14 | Portland St. (10‑14) |
Home | Sat Feb 11, 4:00 pm | |
| 15 | Eastern Washington (18‑7) |
Away | Thu Feb 16, 9:00 pm | |
| 15 | Idaho (9‑16) |
Away | Sat Feb 18, 3:00 pm | |
| 16 | Northern Colorado (7‑16) |
Away | Sat Feb 25, 3:00 pm | |
| 17 | Weber St. (12‑11) |
Home | Mon Feb 27, 8:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michigan St. (14‑9) |
Big 10Big 10 | 55‑73 | Away | Mon Nov 7 |
| 1 | Arizona St. (16‑8) |
PAC 12PAC 12 | 68‑84 | Away | Thu Nov 10 |
| 1 | Utah Valley (18‑6) |
WACWAC | 69‑73 | Away | Sat Nov 12 |
| 2 | BENEDICTINE (AZ) | ‑‑ | 105‑49 | Home | Tue Nov 15 |
| 2 | UCSB (18‑3) |
Big WestBig West | 63‑54 | Home | Fri Nov 18 |
| 3 | Texas (19‑4) |
Big 12Big 12 | 48‑73 | Home | Mon Nov 21 |
| 3 | UT-Rio Grande Valley (12‑12) |
WACWAC | 79‑91 | Away | Tue Nov 22 |
| 3 | Abilene Christian (13‑11) |
WACWAC | 82‑92 | Home | Sun Nov 27 |
| 4 | OTTAWA U. ARIZONA | ‑‑ | 82‑51 | Home | Tue Nov 29 |
| 4 | Pepperdine (8‑17) |
West CoastWest Coast | 69‑88 | Away | Sat Dec 3 |
| 5 | Pacific (11‑14) |
West CoastWest Coast | 73‑69 | Away | Tue Dec 6, 10:00 pm |
| 5 | Utah Valley (18‑6) |
WACWAC | 75‑80 (OT) | Home | Sat Dec 10, 4:00 pm |
| 6 | Southern Utah (16‑8) |
WACWAC | 101‑106 (OT) | Away | Sat Dec 17, 3:00 pm |