PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Oct 2 6:45 pm

La Liga - Week 8 of 43

Barcelona What If?

The Barcelona What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Barcelona What If?

Next Game - Celta Vigo (3‑3‑1)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participate
6#
UEFA Europa Conference
League Qualifier
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 7 0 1 22 49% 26% 11% 6% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 6 0 1 19 48% 26% 12% 6% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Lose Next Game 6 1 1 19 40% 28% 13% 7% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participate
6#
UEFA Europa Conference
League Qualifier
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario 54% 23% 10% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 48% 26% 12% 6% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Worst Case Scenario 38% 29% 14% 8% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Best Case Scenario
   Girona beats Atletico Madrid
   Getafe beats Real Madrid
   Barcelona beats Celta Vigo
Worst Case Scenario
   Atletico Madrid beats Girona
   Real Madrid beats Getafe
   Celta Vigo beats Barcelona
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participate
6#
UEFA Europa Conference
League Qualifier
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
31 of 31 100% 37 0 1 112 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 31 97% 36 1 1 109 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 31 87% 33 4 1 100 94% 6% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 31 84% 32 5 1 97 85% 15% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 31 81% 31 6 1 94 73% 26% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 31 77% 30 7 1 91 57% 40% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 31 74% 29 8 1 88 39% 50% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 31 71% 28 9 1 85 22% 52% 23% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 31 68% 27 10 1 82 10% 42% 37% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 31 65% 26 11 1 79 3% 26% 43% 23% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 31 61% 25 12 1 76 1% 11% 34% 36% 15% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
18 of 31 58% 24 13 1 73 <1% 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
17 of 31 55% 23 14 1 70 <1% 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
16 of 31 52% 22 15 1 67 <1% <1% 1% 8% 24% 34% 23% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
15 of 31 48% 21 16 1 64 <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
14 of 31 45% 20 17 1 61 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
13 of 31 42% 19 18 1 58 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 27% 34% 20% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 31 39% 18 19 1 55 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
11 of 31 35% 17 20 1 52 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
10 of 31 32% 16 21 1 49 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1%
9 of 31 29% 15 22 1 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% <1% <1% <1%
8 of 31 26% 14 23 1 43 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 31% 33% 16% 4% <1% <1%
7 of 31 23% 13 24 1 40 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% <1%
6 of 31 19% 12 25 1 37 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
5 of 31 16% 11 26 1 34 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 18% 36% 31% 11%
4 of 31 13% 10 27 1 31 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 22% 40% 34%
3 of 31 10% 9 28 1 28 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 28% 65%
2 of 31 6% 8 29 1 25 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 11% 88%
0 of 31 0% 6 31 1 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes La Liga Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa Conference League Qualifing