The Most Important Games for the Ball State Cardinals are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cardinals final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Ball State Cardinals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Ball State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | |||
| Ball State (3‑5) vs UMass (4‑4) |
3 | Ball State Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 17% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ||
| UMass Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 16% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Akron (1‑7) vs Ohio (6‑2) |
1 | Akron Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 9% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Ohio Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Sacramento St. (2‑7) vs Toledo (6‑2) |
1 | Sacramento St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Toledo Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Central Michigan (3‑5) vs Eastern Michigan (4‑5) |
0 | Central Michigan Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 11% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Eastern Michigan Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Buffalo (5‑3) vs Miami OH (5‑3) |
0 | Buffalo Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 10% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Miami OH Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ||