The Nashville SC What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Nashville SC play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 13 | 5 | 5 | 44 | 16% | 23% | 26% | 17% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 12% | 19% | 23% | 19% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
Lose Next Game | 12 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 7% | 13% | 20% | 23% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 19% | 25% | 27% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 12% | 19% | 23% | 19% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
Worst Case Scenario | 3% | 8% | 16% | 23% | 23% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
Best Case Scenario Nashville SC beats Crew Nashville SC beats Toronto FC |
Worst Case Scenario Crew beats Nashville SC Toronto FC beats Nashville SC |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
12 of 12 | 100% | 24 | 5 | 5 | 77 | 98% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
11 of 12 | 92% | 23 | 6 | 5 | 74 | 90% | 10% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
10 of 12 | 83% | 22 | 7 | 5 | 71 | 71% | 26% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
9 of 12 | 75% | 21 | 8 | 5 | 68 | 42% | 44% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
8 of 12 | 67% | 20 | 9 | 5 | 65 | 15% | 42% | 35% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
7 of 12 | 58% | 19 | 10 | 5 | 62 | 2% | 20% | 45% | 29% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
6 of 12 | 50% | 18 | 11 | 5 | 59 | <1% | 3% | 22% | 45% | 26% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
5 of 12 | 42% | 17 | 12 | 5 | 56 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 22% | 47% | 24% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
4 of 12 | 33% | 16 | 13 | 5 | 53 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 22% | 42% | 27% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
3 of 12 | 25% | 15 | 14 | 5 | 50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 18% | 38% | 31% | 10% | 1% |
2 of 12 | 17% | 14 | 15 | 5 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 33% | 36% | 16% |
1 of 12 | 8% | 13 | 16 | 5 | 44 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 33% | 56% |
0 of 12 | 0% | 12 | 17 | 5 | 41 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 91% |