The Nashville SC What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Nashville SC play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 13 | 4 | 5 | 44 | 35% | 26% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 12 | 4 | 5 | 41 | 25% | 22% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 17% | 21% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 42% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 25% | 22% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 14% | 20% | 22% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Revolution beats Inter Miami CF Nashville SC beats Inter Miami CF Red Bulls beats Union |
Worst Case Scenario Inter Miami CF beats Revolution Inter Miami CF beats Nashville SC Union beats Red Bulls |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
| 13 of 13 | 100% | 25 | 4 | 5 | 80 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 13 | 92% | 24 | 5 | 5 | 77 | 99% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 13 | 85% | 23 | 6 | 5 | 74 | 96% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 13 | 77% | 22 | 7 | 5 | 71 | 84% | 16% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 13 | 69% | 21 | 8 | 5 | 68 | 60% | 34% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 13 | 62% | 20 | 9 | 5 | 65 | 28% | 46% | 23% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 13 | 54% | 19 | 10 | 5 | 62 | 6% | 29% | 42% | 20% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 6 of 13 | 46% | 18 | 11 | 5 | 59 | <1% | 6% | 26% | 41% | 23% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 5 of 13 | 38% | 17 | 12 | 5 | 56 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 20% | 41% | 28% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 4 of 13 | 31% | 16 | 13 | 5 | 53 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 37% | 34% | 12% | 2% | <1% |
| 3 of 13 | 23% | 15 | 14 | 5 | 50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 31% | 37% | 18% | 4% |
| 2 of 13 | 15% | 14 | 15 | 5 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 26% | 39% | 27% |
| 1 of 13 | 8% | 13 | 16 | 5 | 44 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 26% | 69% |
| 0 of 13 | 0% | 12 | 17 | 5 | 41 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 94% |