The Revolution What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Revolution play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 10 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 2% | 15% | 30% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Standings | 9 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 1% | 12% | 27% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Lose Next Game | 9 | 6 | 3 | 30 | 1% | 9% | 24% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 2% |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 2% | 15% | 32% | 21% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Standings | 1% | 12% | 27% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 1% | 8% | 22% | 21% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 2% |
|
Best Case Scenario CF Montréal beats D.C. United Revolution beats Toronto FC Timbers beats Fire |
Worst Case Scenario D.C. United beats CF Montréal Toronto FC beats Revolution Fire beats Timbers |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
| 17 of 17 | 100% | 26 | 5 | 3 | 81 | 92% | 8% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 17 | 94% | 25 | 6 | 3 | 78 | 78% | 22% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 17 | 88% | 24 | 7 | 3 | 75 | 56% | 43% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 17 | 82% | 23 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 31% | 61% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 17 | 76% | 22 | 9 | 3 | 69 | 14% | 64% | 22% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 17 | 71% | 21 | 10 | 3 | 66 | 4% | 51% | 44% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 17 | 65% | 20 | 11 | 3 | 63 | 1% | 29% | 61% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 10 of 17 | 59% | 19 | 12 | 3 | 60 | <1% | 11% | 60% | 26% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 9 of 17 | 53% | 18 | 13 | 3 | 57 | <1% | 3% | 38% | 44% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 8 of 17 | 47% | 17 | 14 | 3 | 54 | <1% | <1% | 14% | 40% | 34% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 7 of 17 | 41% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 51 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 39% | 32% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 6 of 17 | 35% | 15 | 16 | 3 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 37% | 33% | 10% | 1% | <1% |
| 5 of 17 | 29% | 14 | 17 | 3 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 35% | 35% | 13% | 2% |
| 4 of 17 | 24% | 13 | 18 | 3 | 42 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 30% | 37% | 23% |
| 3 of 17 | 18% | 12 | 19 | 3 | 39 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 21% | 74% |
| 2 of 17 | 12% | 11 | 20 | 3 | 36 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 98% |
| 1 of 17 | 6% | 10 | 21 | 3 | 33 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 0 of 17 | 0% | 9 | 22 | 3 | 30 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |