The Revolution What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Revolution play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 7 | 8 | 6 | 27 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 52% |
Current Standings | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 60% |
Lose Next Game | 6 | 9 | 6 | 24 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 69% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 49% |
Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 60% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 70% |
Best Case Scenario Revolution beats Austin FC San Diego FC beats Fire |
Worst Case Scenario Austin FC beats Revolution Fire beats San Diego FC |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
14 of 14 | 100% | 20 | 8 | 6 | 66 | 30% | 46% | 21% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
13 of 14 | 93% | 19 | 9 | 6 | 63 | 6% | 29% | 40% | 20% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
12 of 14 | 86% | 18 | 10 | 6 | 60 | <1% | 6% | 26% | 40% | 23% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
11 of 14 | 79% | 17 | 11 | 6 | 57 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 20% | 40% | 29% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
10 of 14 | 71% | 16 | 12 | 6 | 54 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 38% | 34% | 11% | 1% | <1% |
9 of 14 | 64% | 15 | 13 | 6 | 51 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 31% | 38% | 18% | 3% |
8 of 14 | 57% | 14 | 14 | 6 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 26% | 40% | 27% |
7 of 14 | 50% | 13 | 15 | 6 | 45 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 24% | 70% |
6 of 14 | 43% | 12 | 16 | 6 | 42 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 95% |
5 of 14 | 36% | 11 | 17 | 6 | 39 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
4 of 14 | 29% | 10 | 18 | 6 | 36 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
3 of 14 | 21% | 9 | 19 | 6 | 33 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
2 of 14 | 14% | 8 | 20 | 6 | 30 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
1 of 14 | 7% | 7 | 21 | 6 | 27 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
0 of 14 | 0% | 6 | 22 | 6 | 24 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |