The Revolution What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Revolution play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 10 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 2% | 15% | 33% | 21% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 9 | 5 | 2 | 29 | 2% | 13% | 31% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Lose Next Game | 9 | 6 | 2 | 29 | 1% | 9% | 27% | 22% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 2% | 15% | 33% | 21% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 2% | 13% | 31% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 1% | 9% | 27% | 22% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Revolution beats CF Montréal |
Worst Case Scenario CF Montréal beats Revolution |
|||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
| 18 of 18 | 100% | 27 | 5 | 2 | 83 | 93% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 18 | 94% | 26 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 80% | 20% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 18 | 89% | 25 | 7 | 2 | 77 | 58% | 40% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 18 | 83% | 24 | 8 | 2 | 74 | 35% | 59% | 7% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 18 | 78% | 23 | 9 | 2 | 71 | 16% | 64% | 20% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 18 | 72% | 22 | 10 | 2 | 68 | 6% | 53% | 41% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 18 | 67% | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65 | 1% | 35% | 60% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 11 of 18 | 61% | 20 | 12 | 2 | 62 | <1% | 16% | 67% | 16% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 10 of 18 | 56% | 19 | 13 | 2 | 59 | <1% | 5% | 53% | 35% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 9 of 18 | 50% | 18 | 14 | 2 | 56 | <1% | 1% | 27% | 46% | 22% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 8 of 18 | 44% | 17 | 15 | 2 | 53 | <1% | <1% | 8% | 32% | 41% | 17% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 7 of 18 | 39% | 16 | 16 | 2 | 50 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 34% | 38% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 6 of 18 | 33% | 15 | 17 | 2 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 34% | 37% | 14% | 2% | <1% |
| 5 of 18 | 28% | 14 | 18 | 2 | 44 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 31% | 37% | 18% | 4% |
| 4 of 18 | 22% | 13 | 19 | 2 | 41 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 24% | 38% | 31% |
| 3 of 18 | 17% | 12 | 20 | 2 | 38 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 81% |
| 2 of 18 | 11% | 11 | 21 | 2 | 35 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| 1 of 18 | 6% | 10 | 22 | 2 | 32 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 0 of 18 | 0% | 9 | 23 | 2 | 29 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |